Transcript
Taylor Swift (Acquired’s Version)
0:00 You're looking very good in that scarf, sir. Ah, as are you. Thanks there. Had to bust out the red scarf. Who got the truth?
0:10 Is it you, is it you, is it you Who got the truth now? Is it you, is it you, is it you Me down, say it straight. Another story Yeah.
0:24 Welcome to season ten, episode one. The season premier of Acquired, the podcast about great technology companies and the stories and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert, and I am the co-founder and managing director of Seattle-based Pioneer Square Labs and our venture fund, PSL Ventures. And I'm David Rosenthal, and I am an angel investor based In San Francisco.
0:47 And we. Are your hosts. She is Billboard's woman of the decade. She was the first woman to ever win the coveted album of the year Grammy twice. And now she's won it a third time.
1:00 She was the highest paid celebrity in the world in 2019. More than Kanye, LeBron James, Roger Federer, or even Beyonce. Her fan base is so passionate. And she's accumulated so much power. that she is leveraging it to reorganize the power dynamics of the music industry in front of our very eyes.
1:19 Taking it back for artists and of course Standing up for women everywhere. You knew her when she was fifteen. twenty two. And now she's accomplished all of this at the still unbelievably
1:31 Young age of thirty two. That was good. I re I I I like that. I like that. You probably know her all too well. She's maniacal. Come on. Okay. Okay. You could even say she's fearless. A mad woman. Or
1:49 David, or That she'll never go out of style. Today we are telling the story of the business of Taylor Swift. Have a fun uh
2:02 I thought We should guess each other's favorite T Swift album. Ooh. Let's see. I think Yours used to be
2:12 Nineteen eighty nine and now its reputation. Ooh, oh man, re uh refutation is so good. I did not like it at all before starting the research for this, and now I am such a fan. Uh but no, nineteen eighty nine is my number two. My number one is fearless.
2:30 Fearless, an uncommon pick, my friend. I know. I love it. I just love it. So good. And the song, Fearless, so good. Alright, what's mine? I think yours is nineteen eighty nine. Mine was nineteen eighty nine and I am an evermore or a uh folklore fan now. Oh, and folklore over evermore. You can't put Boni Vera on an album with Taylor Swift and expect me not to just immediately like the whole album the best.
2:53 All right listeners. Now is a great time to talk about a new partner of ours here on Acquired, Lagora. The agentic operating system that is redefining how the world's best legal teams work. Yep. It's sort of obvious that AI is gonna completely change the legal industry. I bet most of you listening have dropped a contract into some sort of AI chatbot out there. Lagora took that insight and asked the question, what if you really built something with that power from the ground up for the legal industry? So the founders did exactly what great founders do.
3:26 operate with obsessive customer focus. They embedded inside a massive law firm. For months. They sat with the lawyers just watching how the work really gets done. And that's how you get features that customers love, like tabular review, where you
3:42 Drop in a folder of hundreds of contracts and it pulls every key term into a grid a lawyer can actually work with. Legor's bet here is interesting, since it lets each lawyer handle more complexity, any given person can increase the quality of their work and do higher value work. And this means that the pie can grow even as each individual task takes less time. And they recently launched Lagora Agent, offering greater intelligence and performance. The agent lets lawyers set an objective. Then it can handle the planning and the execution and delivery of the final product. Legal teams get to maintain full control and transparency since they're still involved where judgment is required. And Lagora works where you already work. You can use it within Microsoft Word while redlining or drafting. The early Lagora numbers essentially speak for themselves. When they have a head to head pilot with their top competitor, they win seventy percent of the time. Lagora now has over a hundred thousand lawyers on the platform from twelve hundred legal teams in fifty countries.
4:43 And crazily, they went from one million To a hundred million in ARR. In about Eighteen months.
4:51 truly insane numbers. And that is the real test. Plenty of things demo well, but the question is whether a busy associate actually reaches for it during crunch time, or whether a partner trusts it before going into a conversation with a major client. If your legal team wants to check it out, whether you're a law firm or you're in-house at a company, you can learn more at Lagora.com/slash acquired. And just tell'em that Ben and David sent you. We also want to tell you, listeners, that if you are new to the acquired community, you should make it official. Join the over eleven thousand
5:24 Smart people at acquired.fm slash slack Most of you know this, but we also have a second show called the L P Show, where we cover Nerdier, deeper topics on how to raise venture capital. Things like that. Recently, uh what's going on with the very cool startup, Italic, which brings manufacturers directly to consumers. You can get access to that by searching.
5:43 acquired L P show in the podcast player. Of your choice. And without further ado, David. Take us in and listeners, as always. The show is not investment advice. David and I may have investments in the companies that we discuss in the show is for informational
5:59 And entertainment purposes only. We may on uh A few music security station. I don't know if we would recommend We we'll at the end of the episode we'll we'll decide if we recommend Buying into
6:12 Music master securitization deals or not. Amazingly, this is was like shocking to me. There is no Official like big Book, biography.
6:24 out there. About T Swift. But there is actually quite a good book out there. It's unofficial, of course, but it's really well researched by a man named Michael Francis Taylor, who is a Brit, and it is called Taylor Swift, The Brightest Star. And uh
6:38 It was Research here and story, so big Thank you to Michael for writing it. Okay.
6:46 On december thirteenth. Nineteen. eighty nine. Lucky thirteen. At the Reading Hospital.
6:54 In West. Reading. Pennsylvania. Not far from where Both of us were. Born and spent our childhood years. The wonderful southeast Pennsylvania Delaware region.
7:04 A baby girl. One. Taylor. Allison. Swift.
7:10 Is born. the parents Scott Kingsley Swift and Andrea Gardner Swift? Mid name. Finley.
7:17 So Her dad's got is a stockbroker for Merrill Lynch. That's sort of all I ever heard on him too. Based on what I could find out, he comes from like a long
7:30 Line of wealthy sort of Philadelphia, you know, area family. If you've seen kind of like the Philadelphia story, like he was born on the main line in Brynmar, like His great grandfather, so Taylor's great great grandfather. was a guy named Charles Baldy. who was an Italian immigrant came to Philadelphia in eighteen
7:49 Seventy seven. You know we gotta go back to the eighteen hundreds'cause it's quiet. Uh we can't just start it nineteen eighty nine. Of course. And he opens a coal yard. In the Philadelphia area supplying the railroads and becomes like one of the biggest oh wow coal magnets for
8:06 Railroads in the Philadelphia area. So he makes a fortune Uh he invested in newspapers, he invested in banks, he uh like like stocks of banks. Uh he buys a ton of Philadelphia area real estate. Let's just say the family has. A lot of properties.
8:21 Speaking of her mom. She also comes from quite an interesting Family. Before having Taylor Andrea had worked in marketing for various financial services firms.
8:32 Uh, and then decided to stay home to be a mom to Taylor and And her little brother. Austin. Uh but Andrea's childhood was pretty unique and Her mom, Marjorie.
8:44 Had quite a A different Path. Marjorie was an opera singer, is that right? And more. So Andrea's dad, Robert.
8:52 Taylor's grandfather. was the CEO of an engineering company. That did a lot of work in the south and particularly in the Caribbean. And so when Andrew was growing up, they lived like all over the country. And spent a lot of time.
9:06 in Cuba, uh before the revolution. And then in Puerto Rico. And her mom, Marjorie. had a college degree in music, which was pretty rare at that time. Yeah. I think she was born in like the twenties, I wanna say. And while they're living
9:21 in the Caribbean in in Cuba and Puerto Rico. She and I believe Andre was already born at this point in time. She decides That she wants to like. Become a professional singer. She gets her own TV show that she hosts.
9:34 And she's Selling out. Clubs, performing shows she sang opera. She wasn't just an opera singer, she also sang Poptoons.
9:43 Uh as well. And Sort of like Taylor to come. Not just a country singer, also sang the pop tunes. Anyway.
9:51 Marjorie and I believe also Robert. eventually end up moving in with the family, the Swift family In Reading. And live with Taylor and do obviously have a big influence on her.
10:01 So By age three. Taylor clearly has gotten the musical gene from Marjorie. She's into singing. The family also has a beach house naturally at the Jersey Shore at Stone Harbor. And supposedly Taylor would just like go up to strangers on the beach and start
10:17 Singing to them. She has this great quote. My parents have video of me on the beach. At like three. Going up to people and singing Lion King songs for them. I was literally going from towel to towel on the beach saying Hi.
10:30 I'm Taylor. I'm going to sing I just can't wait to be king for you now. When she is Six.
10:38 Her parents buy her. Her first album. Which is Leanne Rymes. Remember Leanne Rymes? Oh no way. So
10:47 Through. Yeah, and of course, Taylor gets into country music, and how perfect is this? What is country music? The defining characteristic of country music is Storytelling. So Perfect.
10:56 For Taylor. And She pretty quickly. Shania Twain. Who in addition to being
11:04 Awesome and a great Country artist. wrote all of her own. Songs. Hm.
11:10 So she decides. Why can't Taylor do this as well? So she starts going to Local venues, coffee shops, bars doing open mic nights. Karayogi.
11:21 And It turns out. regular Karaoke venues in the Redding area.
11:27 Is a roadhouse. Just outside of town. Owned by former country star. Yeah. Dare it.
11:34 He's kind of the only country star in the area. So at his roadhouse He would have Pretty big acts come through when they were in town like Charlie Daniels or George Jones and the likes. And Uh
11:47 If you won karaoke night, you'd get to open up for these acts. Hm. So Taylor just starts hanging around. She has a great quote. She says, I was kind of like an annoying fly around that place. I just would not Leave him alone. How old is she here? Ten, twelve, thirteen? Yeah, ten.
12:03 an enormous amount of parental support for a ten year old to be a fly hanging around someplace, you know? It's interesting I was thinking a lot about this and people talk about Yeah, Taylor was in many ways sort of born standing on third base and had all this privilege and support from her parents. Absolutely true. On the other hand, it's also
12:24 Pretty rare for anybody, and often especially People from wealthy families to have like Yeah. Kind of level of Ambition. Like her parents weren't pushing her to doing this. They were supporting her, but like
12:35 She was absolutely the one that was driving like, I'm gonna do this. I'm gonna go be Shania Toyan and Leanne Rhymes. I mean it shows up her entire career that she has a chip on her shoulder, that no level of accomplishment is ever enough and she needs to set her sights on the next thing. I get the sense she's the type of person who has trouble celebrating wins. Uh before immediately focusing on Whatever's next.
12:58 And that you cannot manufacture. Okay, so She's singing at the roadhouses. She starts getting on the national anthem circuit locally. She sings the national anthem. Uh for the Reading Phillies, the local minor league. Baseball team.
13:12 So Taylor one night Is watching The V H one Behind the music. On Faith Hill.
13:19 And the story goes. And she is watching this and realizes that Oh. Nashville is where
13:28 Faith Hill was signed and discovered in all these artists, all these country artists. They're all Based out of the year. Nashville. So she says, I got it into my head that there was this magical land called Nashville where dreams come true and that's where I needed to go. I began absolutely nonstop tormenting my parents
13:44 begging them on a daily basis. To move there. So of course I read this and I'm like Huh, I wonder why Nashville is the epicenter. of country music. I mean it makes sense. It's in the south. It's popular in the south. But why Nashville over Memphis or
13:58 Someplace else. On every other episode that we talk about on this show when we're talking about tech businesses. This is the part where we're talking about Silicon Valley. And it's amazing that we have a completely different version of that in the country music scene. Not only country, but bluegrass, like all of it. Nashville is The epicenter.
14:14 So it turns out That the reason for this Is that there was an insurance company. Based in Nashville, this is wild. You can't make this up. There was an insurance company based in Nashville in the twenties.
14:26 Called the National Life. An accident insurance company. And Their slogan was We Shield Millions. And they decided that as a marketing stunt
14:38 They were gonna go buy a local radio station in Nashville and change the call sign of the radio station to WSM and have it be like we shield millions. radio. So they do this. And Uh One of the things they start doing with the radio station is they do live Barn dancing.
14:58 That they broadcast on the radio station on Saturday nights. become the I know people are like, This is w where are you going with this? It becomes so popular, they're like, Oh, we gotta build a venue for this and let's make it a show and let's like really go all on is that we're getting tons of customer acquisition through this. So they build what becomes The grand old opery.
15:19 For this show, this insurance company. And that then becomes like the venue for sort of early country style music and like Johnny Cash, Dolly Parton, Hank Williams, like they all Come up in Nashville. And so that's why Music City, Nashville.
15:37 Is the place to be. Wow, I love how random I mean it's it's not that it's random, it's complexity theory. It's that There is so many factors that go into something. That
15:50 this sort of unpredictable event of this insurance company sponsoring a radio station to this huge Uh amount is a it serves as enough of a catalyst to bring together
16:02 Surely it a movement that was already happening, but to happen there. Yep. Okay, back to Taylor. She finally wears down Her parents. We say Well not gonna move there, but like
16:13 Maybe on a school break. Yeah, why don't why don't you record a demo And we'll go down to Nashville. We'll drive around and we'll take it to some labels and we'll We'll see what happens.
16:24 So in March two thousand one Andrea Takes Taylor. Done in Asheville. She comes back to Pennsylvania.
16:32 Empty handed, no record deal. Surprise, surprise, just walking into offices on her own. Didn't get her. Deal. But she's undeterred. This is Taylor Swift we're talking about.
16:43 And uh The next year in two thousand two She gets the chance to sing America the Beautiful At the US Open. In
16:53 New York. Slight twist on the national anthem. You know, it's she's uh she's branching out from her single song. So Amazingly, like the strategy. It works. It works. In the audience, uh In attendance at the open.
17:06 is a talent agent in New York. Named Dan DiMertro. And he hears Hersing. He's part of Britney Spears' management team. And he's like huh.
17:17 That girl's got talent. So he gets in touch with the open organizers. He calls her up, he gets in touch with her family and signs her. Has. A client. And uh so Taylor's like, Oh okay. Yeah.
17:28 Great, I got an agent now. They then go. Back down to Nashville. Back down to Visa Cro Dan walks her in to all the studios. This is like the big three record labels second office that's in Nashville, right? There they have Nashville specific offices for country.
17:44 Yep. And some of them it's You know, it it's very much like the movie industry. Like some of them it's, you know, Capitol Records, Nashville or you know, whatever. And and some of them they have other Oh if you go look up Universal music group, you can see that there's a thousand labels within an ep you know, U U M G And I think for a lot of these
18:05 Big label groups. They'll even have competing you know, wholly owned labels. So there might be two or three or four R C A Labels in the
18:16 Nashville or in New York or in Hollywood. Yeah. So This time once again. Taylor does not get a record deal.
18:25 But R C A Offers her. A development deal. Which
18:32 You know it's not record deal obviously is like, hey, we're gonna invest resources in you and make a record that we're then gonna release and we'll Get it on radio and see how you do. Uh.
18:42 A development deal is like We think you have potential. We're not ready to commit to A full record. It's like a small check from a venture firm, you know, like we'll participate in the round. We're not gonna lead it though. And I assume there's it's like limited investment, but kinda limited upside, and it's more about making sure you have relationships with the right people and we can keep an eye on you should you start to really shine. Exactly. And I assume that there's also a rofer on
19:08 An actual deal in there. Mm-hmm. But as folks may know, Taylor does not end up signing. With R C A, so we'll have to see. How that plays out.
19:17 Uh On the back of this though, this is the ammunition she needs with her family to be like Mom, Dad, can we move to Nashville? So she's about to start high school in the fall. They do, you know, I mean
19:28 God bless'em, her parents, they're like, Okay, let's Move to Nashville, which they do. That is so crazy. It's probably like point one percent, point oh one percent of our audience out there. is able to relate to that. Like the parents.
19:43 moving for the kids. aspirations and career at this young of an age. I mean it's extremely common to move for mom or dad got a new job, or we want to be closer to family. Almost never is there. a story in, you know, an ordinary person's life of the family picks up and move for the kid. Yeah. I mean like it happens. It's like the stuff of Olympians and future Taylor Swifts, you know.
20:06 She's so freaking smart. I think she kinda realizes through this, both through her agent and now being in this world with this development deal. There are a lot of other people out there trying to make it. Like if you wanna make it, you really gotta stand out and you gotta have Something great that makes you You
20:26 And For her, what's the natural thing? She would say all the time that she Didn't.
20:34 But she was an amazing Songwriter. So she doubles down. On Songwriting. She has this great quote.
20:42 When I first started writing songs I was pretty lonely. I was about twelve and at school in Pennsylvania. I wasn't popular and I didn't have many friends. and never knew where to sit at lunch, but songwriting became a release. I found that when I was alone a lot of the time, kinda on the outside looking into their discussions and the things they were saying to each other.
21:00 I started developing this really keen sense of observation. Of how to watch people. And see what they did. From that sense. I was able to write songs about relationships.
21:10 When I was thirteen, but not In relationships. It is so true. She's got these like love songs, uh, you know, as a middle schooler that she's written. And it it's so clear, both from her observing the world, but also like her watching TV and understanding common storylines from T V shows and movies about people falling in love that she sort of writes country music inspired by the feelings that she thinks those people are having. And she's really freaking good at it.
21:37 So word starts to get around Nashville. That there's this. Girl. Who has a development deal and You know, shows some promise as an artist, but she's a really freaking good songwriter.
21:49 So in May of two thousand fourteen, Taylor's still a freshman in high school. And is Fourteen years old. Sony A T V which is one of the Big
22:00 Publishing labels. Signs her to a songwriting contract. As their youngest Songwriter Ever.
22:07 that they have ever signed. So again, not a record deal, but she has a deal as a songwriter. And it could be songs for her, it could be songs for other people, like that Sony doesn't care. They just want Songwriter. Hm. So the CEO of Sony ATV Nashville
22:24 Says this is a quote from the time. She is among the few artists who are born with a gift that just rolls out of her. I still marvel at how this young girl with limited life experiences at that point could write such lyrics and melodies. She was born with it. That gift. Wow. Amazing.
22:43 So Sony. pairs her up like she's still she's fourteen. They pair her up with A really established Songwriter in the Nashville circuit, a woman named Liz Rose.
22:57 They of course end up becoming Super Close collaborators. But Some songs that Taylor and Liz end up collaborating on that you might know.
23:06 Tim McGraw. Tear drops on my guitar. Picture to burn, fearless. White horse, you belong with me. And then It's gonna come up later, but
23:16 Their final collaboration. Do d do you know what it is? No, I have no idea. All too well. Really? Yeah. Wow. Till he brings her back.
23:27 Current number one for Taylor Swift. Oh my gosh. Longest. Number one song. In history. This is one of the most boneheaded
23:36 Like business. M move of any type. Uh like I'm going back to like the Netflix Blockbuster. Blockbuster had it in the bag and should not have lost to Netflix and due to shareholder agitation and executive reshuffling. was forced to make an unforced error.
23:53 Yes, forced to make an unforced error. This is just a fully unforced error. R C A Tells Taylor. They see what's going on and they're like You know, we do like your singing. We think you're a talented singer.
24:08 We're just not feeling your songwriting. No way. Yes. Yes. So they tell her they want to keep her in development. For at least another year. They're not gonna give her a record deal. But what they want to do with her in development
24:22 They want to have You know, enough of this. Performing your own stuff. Singer songwriter stuff. We'll feed you some good music and you can sing that. We will feed you Teeny popper stuff. Oh my God. I mean it's just it's this classic like underestimating young talent and it happens in every industry. And I think people are so used to watching the standard path that they sort of Assume that
24:44 If you're you know, one of the greatest of all time, but you're super young. Well, you should do what other super young people do. Do the, you know, kids bop stuff. It's not kids bop, but that that sort of thing. And so like I mean it's it's almost this Taylor quote of or the Taylor lyric of when you are young they assume you know nothing. Literally.
25:02 I've got a quote on this from her. I didn't just want to be another girl singer. I wanted there to be something that set me apart and I knew that had to be my writing. Basically there are two types of people. People who see me as an artist and judge me by my music. The other people judge me by a number.
25:18 My age, which means nothing. It's not really a popular thing to do in Nashville to walk away from a major record deal, but that's what I did. And what she's referring to is when RCA does this, she tells him She tells him to go F off. She walks out on her deal. So they're just stringing her along.
25:37 Yeah, it's not like she walked out on a record deal, which I don't even know if she Could have, if she'd signed it. She walks out on the development deal, but that's what she's talking about. Like this is crazy. Everybody's dream in Nashville is to make it And having a development deal is a huge part of it. And she's just like
25:54 No, I've got a development deal with a major label, but um Uh they don't believe in what I wanna do, so I'm walking out. Hm. So in Brightest Star Michael Wright. To understand R CA's decision.
26:07 It's to be as generous as possible to them here, is to better understand the shifting music landscaped of the time. It was not exactly a golden age for country music. Teenagers were no longer buying into it in significant numbers, and the music coming out of Nashville was seen in some circles to be floundering and heavily reliant on its aging. Fan base.
26:27 And that was definitely true. Like there were You know, I she we were both growing up at the time. Like what was like the number one thing the kids would say all over the country about the music they like. I like anything but country. Don't like country. Yes, there was a lot of alternative rock. The hip hop ha was sort of graduating out of what hip hop had been in the eighties and nineties and becoming more pop, but it was still like Heavy alt rock. Yep.
26:50 And so R CA is kinda like, look, we've got a fourteen, fifteen year old Who We do think has talent as a performer. Or a country music label. She wants to write her own music. Obviously that's gonna be aimed at teenagers.
27:05 But teenagers don't listen to country We need to change this up here. So this is such a Acquired. theme that we see all the time. Like, is it that there was something inherently wrong with country music or
27:19 uh to its nature that made it not appeal to teenagers or et cetera. No, of course not. It's just that Nobody was making country music for Teenagers. At the time.
27:30 I remember thinking like well I'm not like a country type of person. And so It was less about the music itself and more about do I identify with the type of person who I perceive to listen to that thing. And it's the same with any other sort of music. It's often the same with movies to it's uh It's a form of like self identification and community building.
27:52 that just so happens to sound like this. I think that's right. Well what this makes me think of is like the auto industry and Tesla, right? Like before Tesla It wasn't like cool to be a At least in Silicon Valley to be like a car person anymore. Like everybody drove a Prius'cause like, Oh, I don't care about cars, you know? But
28:10 Was it that really like Cars weren't something that could be part of people's lives in the same way anymore, or just that Nobody had made A car targeted at
28:21 That demographic. Right. That you could use to signal within your community. Yeah. So T Swift. Decides.
28:31 In her own. Inimitable fashion. That she's gonna host her own audition. This time. So rather than going Back on the circuit out to all the labels.
28:43 Now that she's a free agent. She books. The Bluebird Cafe. in Nashville, which is like a legendary venue and uh was where Garth Brooks was discovered. She invites All the label execs in town.
28:56 To come see. Mm-hmm. perform. She's the Michael Lovitz of the teen country music industry in Nashville, right? She's like holding an auction for her herself rather than trying out. So One of the execs who shows up and and it was uh I think apparently well attended.
29:12 Is A man named. Scott. Porchetta. Mm.
29:19 Scott is an exactly a bit. you know, one of Universal's sub labels in. Nashville. And he's planning to leave Universal and start His own.
29:29 Label. So he finds Taylor. After the show. And he pitches her and says. Hey, like I I wanna sign you and I wanna sign you to a a real record deal. I wanna make an album with you. I'm about to leave Universal though.
29:43 And Start. My own indie label. And I want you to take a risk off me. And I really believe in you. I believe that you can write your own songs.
29:52 You can make country music for teenagers, like I think this is really gonna work. And Taylor doesn't agree right away. It takes a little bit of time of Scott pitching her and her family. To do this. But
30:04 They decide to do it. Taylor has this quote, You can tell when someone just really gets you. The best part of getting a record deal wasn't just It was a record deal. It was the right deal. For me. I'm with people I believe in and they Believe in.
30:19 Me. to underscore how much of a chance they were taking on each other. Taylor Swift was Scott's new label, Big Machine's very first client. So
30:31 Yep. And I don't know if it was in conjunction with doing this record deal or a little bit before, a little bit after, but there's another transaction that happens between the Swift family And big machine. Right.
30:45 Scott Borchetta needed some financing to get this off the ground. Like it costs money to make an album, to distribute an album. Right. So where did he get the money? Well One place he gets it from a minority investor is
30:59 Tailors. Dad. Hm. The Swift family. Invests a hundred and twenty thousand dollars.
31:05 in big machine for a three percent Steak. in the label. three ish. It's been reported in a few different three percent, four percent, so but somewhere in that ballpark. Somewhere in they call it two to four percent. The majority of the outside capital though comes from
31:21 I don't think this has been talked about that much. This blew my mind when I figured it out. Uh I think I already told you who it comes from. comes from Toby Keith. The Like big country singer who apparently is like a huge
31:36 Business mogul in Nashville and in the Yeah. Business of country. There's a big Forbes article from a couple of years ago. Talking about how he's worth like half a billion dollars. He's been a super, super savvy
31:48 business person outside of his musical career. So Toby invests the majority of the money. T. Get it going.
31:55 And Big machine. does a distribution deal with universal with his former major label for distribution. And uh
32:03 They're up and running. Yep. Because history has been so antagonistic between big machine and Taylor based on what would end up happening, which we will definitely get to. Uh it is worth underscoring She didn't have a record deal, and this was a person who was willing to give her a record deal on an unproven artist.
32:24 And I think In the same way that we need to throughout this entire episode. advocate for the rights of the artist and the person really creating something that people love. There is also real value in the world and taking a chance on someone.
32:39 Now that doesn't mean you have infinite upside from taking a small chance once, but It is worth recognizing that this was A risk. Right.
32:49 David, do you think this is a good Area. To do a little sidebar on How music licensing works. Absolutely. Like what does it mean when Taylor
32:59 Signs this record deal. So this has been a fun side project for me over the last few weeks diving into all of this. The thing to keep in mind as you listen is to remember the purpose of copyright law. is to spur innovation and creativity. This is true across copyrights, this is true across trademarks, patents.
33:19 IP in general. So keep thinking back on this. as you hear the whole rest of the episode, I keep thinking back, are these laws being used as intended? So There are a few really great sources on this if you're interested in learning more. The first is an excellent crossover podcast between
33:39 uh the Verge and switched on pop. Which we'll link to in the show notes. Yeah. Switch on pop. So good. Uh the other is a book. from uh the legendary music attorney Don Passman on the music business, which is on its tenth edition. That's how many sort of revisions there have been based on all these changes recently.
33:57 But Two big things to remember here. When a piece of music is created, there are two copyrights that come into existence. the sound recording copyright, the first one, which is also called a master recording or a master. which traditionally is owned by the record label.
34:16 So this is literally what it sounds like. It is a copyright on the literal recording of the music that they did in the studio, the way it came out and can be heard by your ears. And historically a label takes ownership of these masters or recording copyrights. In exchange for assuming the financial risk of betting on, distributing, promoting the artist's work. So that's the first Copyright.
34:39 It feels like the old school venture capital industry to me, like when Uh you know, back in the Eighties, nineties, seventies. When the investors would take the majority of the company for putting up the money to do it.
34:53 Yes. And ultimately everything's a market. So it's just determined by supply and demand and market terms that need to be agreed upon in order to take the appropriate risk. And uh as you're stating with the venture capital industry, the market terms have changed tremendously to take that type of risk because the appetite for capital, because of the returns that can be generated. But in the music industry. There are essentially only like three. labels when you get down to it. And there are a lot of people who want to be stars. So the second one is the musical composition copyright or the publishing right.
35:26 And now these are like the written lyrics and the melody. uh and they're traditionally held by the songwriters themselves through their music publishers. the way you can kind of think about this sort of the idea and the execution, the m musical composition copyrights, it's kinda like something you could put down on sheet music. This is like the idea of the song, but you haven't actually played a note. And then once the notes are played and recorded, that's the that's the master. So back now to the musical composition copyright.
35:52 I mentioned these can be held by songwriters But usually through a music publisher. Uh Publishers. tend to deal with these composition copyrights the same way that the music labels deal with the masters.
36:05 And historically, these publishers would take fifty percent of the royalties that come through the composition copyright, but today they actually take a lot less. So for bigger songwriters, it might just be that the songwriter pays the publisher a fixed fee to do some back office stuff. Um so for all intents and purposes, you can think about it like the songwriter themselves owns their own musical composition copyrights, the publishing rights. uh and they they can make the decision on whether or not they want to license uh that for specific purposes.
36:37 And a quick aside on publishers, even though they don't have a lot of relative power today to like the labels or big stars, they used to be insanely powerful in the era before recorded music, when the publishing rights were the major rights. Oh, right. The sheet music was like it. Exactly. And since the singers didn't used to be the same as the songwriters, and the that meant that the artist and the recording labels were like totally at the mercy of these publishers who own the sheet music rights, which is like a fascinating little Walk down history. And so these are the two big
37:11 building blocks upon which everything else is built. Some uses of music require one of these approvals. Uh and some other use cases require both. So there's sort of two different parties, whoever owns the sound recording master right and whoever owns the publishing right, both sort of have a veto right on who can use the final product for the use cases that do require both. And depending on the use of the music, the splits and the income that is generated
37:41 are wildly, wildly different. So one little final thing here. Just because it might be sort of hanging in your head. What about co writers? Well, songwriting credits, interestingly enough, can be split any which way and are privately negotiated by the songwriters with each other. So it's possible that for some types of approvals that require the publishing license there might be multiple people who wrote the song together that each have to sign off for that use case.
38:09 And the money can flow in totally unique ways too. So it could be fifty fifty, it could be ninety ten, it could be a flat fee. Let's say Taylor brings a guest on who's someone you've never heard of, she may pay a flat fee or a five percent royalty or something. So like for Liz Rose and you know, with all too well and Tim McGraw and the like there's some deal between her and Taylor. Right. But all independently privately negotiated. Interesting. So You said
38:32 At the time. typically the publishers would keep like fifty percent of the songwriting economics and the writers would keep fifty percent. Even that was very good from the artist perspective compared to
38:48 The splits with the labels on the master side, right? Exactly. Yeah, when you sign a distribution deal where a record label fronts you the money, you make the album, they then own the master, your royalty stream, again, independently negotiated, but you only end up with like ten percent, fifteen percent. Maybe if you're a really big artist, you can get like twenty, twenty two percent. But The vast majority of those economics are going to The record label.
39:13 And This is where we should mention the idea of recoupment. Right. you only get to participate in those revenues if you've recouped your The advance.
39:23 The cost. Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's like a uh an up front. Advanced. So it's like book publishing. Exactly. And so if a record label signs a deal with you and they give you five hundred thousand dollars.
39:33 Well it uh it doesn't matter if your CDs are flying off the shelves or your, you know, Spotify streams are happening. uh for the first five hundred thousand dollars that should be paid out to you. the record labels are gonna keep that and you only get to participate in your 10, 15%, whatever it is.
39:50 after you've recouped the advance. It's like a V C preference stack on a cap table. It is literally exactly what it is, and I want to talk about that later. It's so Byzantine and it's so from just like a different Yeah, uh Right. The way it cost a lot of money to make an album.
40:09 And it cost an even more boatload of money to get it on radio and get distribution and get fans to, you know, do customer acquisition for it. And more important than that, and this is I think what represents what's sort of like often perceived as a predatory deal. most of these startups, most of these artists are gonna fail and the l record labels or the book publishers or the VCs are gonna have sunk all this money in to get to a point where we can even see if it's gonna work.
40:36 And when ninety plus percent I don't know what the failure rate is in the music industry, but when, you know, ninety plus percent of startups fail, Well. You need some kind of economic split so that the benefit of the winners that you bet on can more than make up for all of the losers that you bet on.
40:52 Right, just like in a V C fund. But this is what you know Now I think it's completely changed. Yes. Yes, all that's true in the old world, where you gotta invest all this money before you know if somebody has an audience. Alright, so back to T Swift. So she and Big Machine. They start making The debut album.
41:12 While they're making it. Taylor puts up a MySpace page. That's what all the teenagers are doing at the time. Look at that, going direct to her fans. Imagine that, going direct to her fans. Even though she's not on the radio, even though nobody's spending any money here. She also chooses, you know, for the production. Again, like
41:31 Scott and big machine. They've got real money, they've got Toby Keith behind them, they've got Universal, like they've access to a lot of resources. Taylor's like, No, I want the guy who did my demo to be my Producer, guy named Nathan Chapman. Who she has a great vibe with, and most importantly, she's like, No, I wanna control this. Like, I wanna control what this sounds like. I wrote these songs.
41:51 Together with Liz with a lot of them, but like I'm the songer, like I am in control here. So in June. Two thousand six. They release.
41:59 The first single from the forthcoming album. It's Tim McGraw. Thanks to MySpace. She has twenty million interactions. Whoa, crazy.
42:09 Then on october twenty fourth, Mm. Album is Finally. Released.
42:14 And Taylor writes in the liner notes on the album. I love everyone who has inspired me to write a song, whether you know it or not. I love anyone who has ever turned the volume up when my song comes on the radio. Anyone who has bought this album? Anyone who can sing along to my song when I play them live.
42:34 Anyone who's ever requested my song on the radio or even remembered my name, if you ever see me in public, I want to meet you. I will thank you myself. You have let me into your life, and I will never be able to thank you enough for that. I love you. I love God for putting you in my life. And then little PS To all the boys who thought they were cool and break my heart, guess what? Here are fourteen songs written about you. Ha. Did she say that?
43:00 She literally wrote that. That's so funny. She knows where her power comes from. And her power comes from the fans who she's connecting with directly. I want to meet you. I want you to come up to me, say hi to me in public. I will thank you. Myself. Watching what she did for the next fourteen years after that in cultivating community on Tumblr is crazy. She has twenty seven thousand
43:25 interactions with fans on Tumblr over the years. Wow. That is her personally liking or reblogging or commenting. Like she gets use social media to to directly interact with my community.
43:38 Yeah. She's connected with teenagers all around the world on the internet. And What are they gonna do? They're gonna go buy the album. Especially in two thousand and six where I was frequently buying C Ds. Yeah.
43:50 cracks the top two hundred in November two thousand six. And then slow build over this, you know. Social media empire. I don't even know what you call it that Taylor is building. And and to contextualize this, this is before Instagram has launched. Yes.
44:06 And I think maybe even still before Tumblr, or right around the time Tum Tumblr's starting. So Well over a year later. In January two thousand eight, after sixty sixty three straight weeks in the top two hundred. It becomes the number one
44:23 album. In the world. Wow. In total on the Billboard Top Two Hundred. It's been two hundred and seventy five weeks.
44:33 On The charts. Like what other Artist and album could Do that. Sixteen year old?
44:42 She was fifteen when it came out. Yeah. Wild. Totally well. So Taylor. She's so smart. She's
44:49 building this whole direct relationship with her fans, social media, innovating, pioneering in so many ways. She also Is A master of The traditional way of doing things too. So what is the traditional thing that
45:01 an artist would do after they drop their first album. Tour, you do press. You're probably not on your first album gonna go do a headliner tour yourself. You're gonna go B.
45:13 Four. Other tourists. So first she starts opening for Hootie and the Blowfish is the first. Big act that she opens for, which is awesome. Then Rascal Flats.
45:23 Rascal Platz is gonna come back into big machine later. Uh perfect. Then George Street Brad Paisley, and then finally Tim McGraw and Faith Hill. So literally the first single Tim McGraw.
45:36 She ends the opening act phase of her career. Opening for Tim McGraw and Faith Hill. Uh there is this. Unbelievable quote from
45:46 Brad Paisley at the time about Why? He wanted. Taylor to come. Open for her.
45:52 He says, I called my manager when I heard her album and said we have to get her out on tour. For her to have written that record at sixteen. It's crazy how good it is. I figured I'd hear it and think, Well, it's good for sixteen. But it's just flat out good for any age. She is operating at a level I will never reach. already in the groundbreaking way that she has taken a new audience and said, I'm a country singer.
46:15 And they love it. Wow. That's amazing. Strong words. So
46:21 Fast forward to November. Two thousand eight. The country is in The financial crisis, uh Lehman Brothers has gone under. It's Doom and gloom, bit of great recession, blah blah blah, all that stuff.
46:34 Airbnb and Uber are starting. Taylor drops. The second album. My favorite album. Fearless.
46:42 Oh my gosh. There are so many bangers on this album. Fearless fifteen love story hey Steven White horse. And you belong with me. Those are just the first six tracks in order on this album. Whoa, I thought you were naming all the hits.
46:58 No, those are just the first six tracks. Uh now they are probably the best six tracks on the album, but uh Yeah. It is a hell of an album. So Unlike the debut self titled album which takes a year of like
47:12 This Slow burn social media campaign to hit. Number one. It debuts at number one on the billboard. Hot two hundred chart.
47:20 Where it stays for eleven Weeks. The longest since Santana's Supernatural in nineteen ninety nine. The longest In the top ten.
47:31 by a country artist, uh ever. And She becomes the Youngest artist. to have what would go on to become the best selling album.
47:41 of the year. And the only Female country artist. Ever to have the best selling album of the year. There's another couple of things about this album that I think are worth pointing out. Because she's
47:53 more of an adult now and having real world experiences, she is starting to shift her songwriting from being Uh like love songs and breakup songs about things that she may or may not have experienced that are sort of theoretical into I'm now doing autobiographical music.
48:12 And This is about me as a you know, mid teenager and the things that I'm experiencing. And that would go on Basically until
48:24 Folklore. folklore and and evermore when she starts to shift and start writing song about fictional characters and historical characters and other people again. she had this sort of like autobiographical thing of here's what I've been going through the last couple of years of my life for the next decade of her career. And this is really where that kind of starts.
48:44 That's such a good point. Because the origin the first album And you know, all those quotes about how amazing she was as a songwriter. Yeah. Were about her. Powers of observation and imagination and being able to write
48:57 other people's stories from her perspective. But you're right. Yeah. Then there's this like A long Along from our perspective here in January twenty twenty two. Uh Middle period of writing about her own experiences and then she comes back. Two.
49:12 Storytelling. Yeah, and she's also starting to take a little bit of heat here for becoming less country and becoming a little bit more pop. Which is like a funny foreshadow because what does she do with that? Like She
49:24 does nineteen eighty nine later and is like you know what? Screw it, full on pop. So back to fearless. S album of the year, the Grammy for album of the year.
49:33 Making her the youngest. artist ever to win. Album of the year. So then she goes back out on tour. Not as the opening act this time, of course, but
49:43 As The headliner. Her first real tour. That's around the fearless tour. playing big arenas like Staples Center, Madison Square Garden.
49:52 Most of these places like course Through her. Online direct connection with fans. They know when tickets are available. They're they sell out in like a minute. The tour grosses over sixty three million dollars.
50:05 She plays in front of over a million fans. And then Right in the middle of all this. On September Thirteenth.
50:16 Two thousand nine. In New York City. Radio City Music Hall. Yes. I didn't realize this happened on a thirteenth, too.
50:24 Of course it did. Of course it happened on the thirteenth. It's Taylor Swift. Taylor wins best female video for You Belong. With me. Which To be clear, is is not the biggest video word of the night.
50:38 Nope. Nope, no, nope. There is best overall video still to come. In the night. But somebody Either is unaware about that or doesn't care. Some drunk rapper thought this was the big prize.
50:53 Uh, I think we all know what happens. Next. Mm. It's kinda funny to like talk about the the Kanye Taylor moment onacquire. Um But this actually becomes like such a huge
51:07 part of the business story of Taylor's career. It's funny, it inspires so much of Her next Decade plus It's a seminal point in everything that she does from there. And everything that she does from there
51:21 inspires a lot of change in the music business. And so this point I mean, it's almost like that meme where like you tip over a small little thing and then a huge impact happens years later, like a little domino thing. Totally. But you know, drunk Kanye getting up and I'm gonna let you finish, blah, blah, blah. Like That It was a catalyst moment f that would change the economics of the music industry.
51:44 It would change so much. Well, and not to credit Kanye with that, that would piss Taylor off enough to eventually change the economics of the music industry. Well Kanye would credit Kanye with that. This was such a butterfly flapping its wings moment. In so many ways.
51:58 There's the specific to There's the Taylors. music and Kanye's music. Which
52:06 Forever change probably for the better, creatively. Yeah. I mean, Kanye's my dark twisted fantasy. Beautiful dark twisted fantasy. phenomenal tortured album. I mean like One of the all time. There's an amazing podcast. Yes, dissect.
52:21 Season two. Yes, the dissect season on that album. It's like one of the best twenty hours you can spend uh going and listening, if you like music, to how that album came to be. And I almost feel uh sacrilegious speaking so fondly of Kanye on the Taylor Swift episode, but the torture that he put himself through after being an idiot.
52:41 Or or uh what did Obama call'em? What a jackass. A jackass. Yeah. Like the president of the United States calls you a jackass for that and like he goes into hiding and emerges, you know, creatively uh from that wounded state with that amazing album. So I think there's three levels of
53:00 Butterfly wing flapping here. Musically creatively for Taylor and Kanye. Two is the business of the industry, which we're gonna get into in the rest of the episode here. I think you could maybe argue there's Also an element of like even bigger than that.
53:17 The Obama thing. I didn't put two and two together until just this morning. Is this the Kanye Trump relationship? Yeah, dude.
53:27 No way. Okay, well how's this go? Obama In I think it was like either CNN or C N B C or something, like he's setting up for an interview. And in the pre-show setup with the cameras rolling, somebody's talking about the you know, the incident at the VMAs.
53:43 And of course. Obama has two teenage daughters who love Taylor Swift and so he says Something like, you know, she seems like a perfectly nice young lady and, you know, Kanye, he's a he's a jackass. And everybody laughs, right? Well Kanye is like a dude from Chicago. There's like a real connection there in the past, and he feels so betrayed by
54:04 Obama Twenty twenty rolls around and There's a lot. A lot happening in that moment. There's some fascinating things to watch, too, if you go watch the videos surrounding that moment, because of course you know, Kanye runs up on stage, says that Taylor hears booing from everyone booing Kanye.
54:24 Kinda thinks booing her, so she's kinda standing there half smiling, frozen, like what do I Do she's of course performing. in the like right after this. So she ends up going off stage, collecting herself and successfully performing. And She's asked on the red carpet.
54:42 she responds with such poise. They they are like, What do you think of Kanye West? And she's like, I mean I don't I don't really know the guy. Yeah. And they're like, Were you a fan? And she goes I mean, yeah, he's Kanye.
54:55 And it you can just see the like the disappointment draining from her face of like Kanye West For as big as Taylor Swift is now, she wasn't Taylor Swift yet, but Kanye West was already Kanye West. And so to be a person to have Kanye say that about you. It's Obvious how that is so debilitating.
55:15 And then the deepest irony of all is that what Kanye was upset about is that he felt that had one of the greatest videos of all time for single ladies. Which she did, which everybody agreed on because she won video of the year later. In the night. Also that video is like a that that it's so
55:33 simple and pure and genius that is no doubt One of the greatest videos of all time. Totally. Was it all done in one take? It sure looks like it. It's really impressive. It's super impressive. The things we never thought we'd be talking about on Acquired, but like I I literally this is like the financial crisis. You can't understate the impact of this moment. No. And basically all future Taylor Swift conflicts stem from this too.
55:59 Like we'll get into the scooter stuff, and that of course comes from the fact that Scooter Braun was Kanye's manager. There's Kanye deciding to drudge up history again, which again we'll get to, but it's it's like All of the future conflicts really Do stem from this. Yeah. And here's kind of the sick thing about it all.
56:18 There was a tremendous amount of emotional turmoil. And there was a lot of negatives, especially immediately afterwards. Both of them. are way better off today.
56:30 Than if this never happened. Absolutely. I think that's the other dynamic here of like What what was better for both of their follower accounts on you know Twitter's just starting to come up at this point in time. Uh, this is probably right around the same time as the famous uh race to a million followers, right, on Twitter. Yep.
56:49 Yep. So After this. The following year, Speak Now comes out. Taylor's third album and uh
56:58 Once again, something I didn't really realize until The research. Why is it called Speak Now? What is what is it about? Taylor. Wrote all of the song on Speak Now.
57:08 She wanted to prove you can't say anything about me that I like Oh, I get the song writing credits, but really Liz is writing everything or somebody else is writing everything. Like no. Right. It's to basically strip herself down and show and say, like this is all one hundred percent me. So if you like this, you like me. Yep. There is no caveating, there's no possible way to say uh but she blah blah blah. And uh I think people liked it because
57:36 All Seventeen of the tracks, fourteen on the main album and three bonus tracks. Oh Chart on the Billboard Hot One Hundred All of them on the album, with at one point eleven of the tracks concurrently In the top one hundred.
57:54 Wow. So it becomes the only album in history to have Seventeen. Hot one hundred. Hits.
58:02 Four of which were in the top ten. Is that crazy? Seventeen percent of the most popular songs in America are from your new album and represent one hundred percent of your new album. Now, speaking of Songwriting. Right.
58:16 After Speak Now comes out. Taylor. Starts a new relationship. My hope was to have no Taylor relationship conversation on this episode, but I think it's kind of impossible. I know. I know. I didn't want to, but we gotta do this one. Well covered by the media. Unfortunately doesn't last very long. There's a big blow up at the end of it. She turns twenty one during this and the other party in the relationship famously
58:41 Does not come to her. Twenty first birthday, yeah. It's bad. Uh so she starts writing a song about it. And This
58:49 song she would write for over a year. And this is the one that she brings back. Liz Rose for even after having just done Speak Now about proving to the world I do everything myself. This one was so There was so much in this song that That she wanted to say that she felt like she
59:05 Needed some help from her old collaborator. Of course we're talking about All too well, Jake Gyllenhaal. This song it's a freaking masterpiece. Like It's a masterpiece. A lot of this stuff in this story is like win win win for everyone, especially Taylor. I think that kinda keeps being the punchline.
59:24 The addendum is except for Jake Jillen Hall. It's like th they had a pretty short relationship that ended up bringing him into The conversation Around her life in a way that is just like he's kind of a punching bag. And like the fact that she's re-releasing albums from this point in time now. It's like, Why are we judging this up again? Like it's just very unfortunate timing for him. Well, but this song is
59:47 Incredible. I will say I also did the Peloton Taylor Swift Taylors version ride. And uh on the thirty minute ride. Ten minutes of it is the ten minute version of all too well is a bold Peloton choice. No, no, no, no. It's not ten minutes. It's ten minutes and thirteen seconds.
1:00:05 Of course it is. Of course it is. So this is the first. Very, very extended. songwriting session.
1:00:13 Four. Material. For the new album. Which would come out in twenty twelve. Course we're talking about red.
1:00:21 Yeah. So They make the album. Taylor and and Big Machine, you know, but usual. She uses Nathan Chapman again as her producer. Uh you know, it's all it's straight.
1:00:32 Over tackle, down the middle, tailor stuff. Exactly what You know, a a label and the music industry would say to do, you've just had this like great moment. Like give the fans more of what they want.
1:00:44 They make the whole album. And Taylor's like No. This is too similar to the old stuff.
1:00:51 If I'm not learning and growing and doing new stuff. I'm not gonna do it. So Big Machine wants to release the album. And she's like, Nope.
1:01:00 I'm gonna redo it. Is that how it ended up with a twenty two track album? That could be maybe that's why there's so many tracks. So this is when she brings in Max Martin and Shellbeck, the
1:01:12 Famous. Swedish producers who had worked with Britney Spears and Backstreet Boys and they'd just done um Maroon fives moves like Jagger. And he's like we're w we're going full pop with a lot of this and we're gonna have a whole new
1:01:26 A whole new sound. Oh, that's right. Red was super poppy even before we hit nineteen eighty nine. Right, but it's got this schizophrenic vibe, right? Like there's some country on it. Still. But then there's Max Martin and Shellback on it too. So I think it's great.
1:01:40 The other thing I didn't realize about Red until now Album title is red. Uh and if you look at the cover, you know, it's Taylor sort of looking down you know, photo of her face. Yeah. I think there's like a double Easter egg in this. Oh, Taylor's the whole shtick is double, triple, quadruple Easter eggs nested in the album are and the and the inside booklet of the album and all the other crazy stuff you can research. So I can think of
1:02:06 Two. Easy. is the obvious one is it's referencing Joni Mitchell's Blue. album. We got a link to that from the show notes because the thing that you sent me, like the album cover is clearly modeled off of blue.
1:02:18 Clearly. It's like Both shots of their face looking down and uh you know, blue versus red. I think the other one it's probably referencing is the Leanne Rimes album. Interesting. A thing I wanna point out here is we've been on a pretty steady track. to date where she releases a
1:02:34 s fifteen to twenty song album every other year. So you got Oh six, oh eight, twenty ten, twenty twelve, twenty fourteen. So she's averaging writing and releasing or writing and recording ten songs a year. So we'll just seed plant that for now. That was the first decade of her career. Uh and we'll come back to it.
1:02:53 Yeah. And it would be again another Two year break before the next album. Which is of course. Nineteen eighty nine.
1:03:01 So many bops. So many earworms. No. So many like popular videos that come along with it all. This one to me was Taylor Swift hitting the mainstream and saying I am for everyone. And if you look at her Instagram follower count today of
1:03:16 just about to hit 200 million. She is indeed for everyone. She's like totally transformed herself to You know, the she's always tried to have a little bit this like Girl next door, you know, everyone's friend, trying to do the right thing, vibe. And here she's just like blowing the doors off that and being like You like
1:03:37 Apple pie in America, I have Taylor Swift for you. Yeah. And I think everybody in the orbit on Team Taylor knew that like This was gonna be really big. Cause you know, red was it was half. P like.
1:03:50 It was really successful. Red did not win. The Grammy for her album of the year, which I think Taylor still kinda resents. And she hadn't won one since Fearless, right? Yeah, I don't think so. I don't think Speak Now one. Red didn't win, Speak Now didn't win. And it's funny we're saying didn't win.
1:04:06 Yeah. It's as if it's some kind of loss if the album that you released that you're w didn't become the the album of the year. Which I think is how Taylor views it. That is totally how Taylor views it. In fact, that's the opening scene of Miss Americana, is when she gets the call that Reputation wasn't nominated and she immediately switches into this mode of saying
1:04:23 Oh. Okay, well I will write a better album. I w that's okay, I'll make a better record. that not only didn't win, but wasn't even nominated. Like that's like Oof.
1:04:31 Which in retrospect. That was a mistake. Yes. But okay, let's go to nineteen eighty nine. Welcome to New York. Blank space style shake it off. Bad blood wildest dreams.
1:04:44 I mean, it's unbelievable. She's always pushing the boundaries, like She does. Two things. One which is just so fun. And totally in the tailor cultivating the direct relationship. With fans.
1:04:56 She picks? A small number of fans based on their like engagement on social media, how engaged they are in social media. And she does this at her various houses and properties around the country. She invites them over for secret listening sessions of the album before it comes out. Under NDA, they can't talk about what's on the album. And she bakes them cookies. Incredible. And of course like photographs and you know videos the whole thing and post it on social media. Like just freaking brilliant. Right. And the lore that comes from those ten people getting to say I was there and eventually post pictures or anything like that, she just gets tremendous amplification of
1:05:31 Anybody feeling like that could happen to them. Totally. So M July.
1:05:38 What year are we in? twenty fourteen, right before the album comes out in October. She writes an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal. Saying That
1:05:49 She completely disagreed. With Spotify. And the music streaming industry. And uh
1:05:56 She believes that Everything about the way Streaming is happening is hurting artists. She says quote. In recent years, you've probably read articles about major recording artists who have decided to practically give their music away.
1:06:10 For this promotion or that exclusive deal. My hope for the future, not just in the music industry, but in every young girl I meet is Is that they realize All they're worth and ask for it. Music is art and art is important and rare. Important rare things are valuable.
1:06:25 Valuable things should be paid for. It's my opinion. That music should not be free. And my prediction. is that individual artists and their labels will someday decide what an album's price point is.
1:06:37 I hope they don't underestimate themselves or under value their art. Now what's she saying here? Like Her specific beef. is with Spotify's Free.
1:06:48 The ad supported tier just doesn't generate the royalties for people who listen to a stream that you would if you were a paying member. And I think there's kind of two levels to Taylor's objection here. One is
1:07:03 Yeah, about the money. Like lots of people are streaming my music for free and I'm not getting Paid or I'm getting paid of Very, very tiny amount for it. Very, very little. I think the other is she genuinely, as she says in this piece, has an issue with people thinking that music
1:07:18 Should be. Free. She's like No, like I made this. This is art and it's valuable and Nobody should get to consume it without paying for it.
1:07:26 Yes, this is where we're really starting to see Taylor viewing herself as the poster child for the music industry. And when I say music industry, I mean the artists. And she views herself Uh, she's even referred to herself uh on camera, which is great, as the uh resident loud person of the music industry. Which I think is such a great and a little bit self effacing way to put it, where she's looking around, she says, I believe this. We're going to hell in a handbasket here and like someone's gotta do something. It's gonna be me again. This is the first time that she's like really embracing that role. Yep.
1:07:59 Let's take a moment to talk about the decline of the music industry, and then I want to talk a little bit about how the royalties actually work in streaming. So First of all. The music industry peaked in nineteen ninety nine with about fourteen, fifteen billion dollars in recorded music revenues. So this is shipping CDs, basically. I mean, when you look at this line and we'll link to the RIAA's wonderful tableau diagram of this, it is like ninety plus percent shipping C D. So that was a
1:08:30 gold mine for the music industry. And then it starts declining and like very clearly Napster happened and then it fell like crazy. I'm looking at two thousand and five, it was at twelve billion dollars. And then just Five years later
1:08:49 It's at seven billion dollars in two thousand nine. CD sales fall like crazy. Music streaming hasn't really kicked in yet. And so there's just no money being made. And the all-time low for the entire music industry for recorded revenues was like seven billion dollars in twenty four. fourteen and fifteen. So it's like right around this time where streaming hasn't started generating real revenues yet. The industry's basically been like flat to declining for the last six, seven years. It's brutal out there. And so what Taylor's sort of looking at is like if we continue to put all our eggs in the streaming basket. Uh, I don't know. So why is she saying uh I don't know?
1:09:26 Well, let's resume our previous conversation. From when we were talking about the different types of licenses and the different types of copyrights. Oh I can't wait. Let's do it. All right.
1:09:38 So talked earlier about The uh publishing right and the master right. Which you could think of as the publishing is kinda like the songwriting, the master is kinda like the recording. So now let's talk about the different ways each song could be played and which licenses are actually required for each and what the typical economic breakdown is for each one. So while we're on the topic of streaming, let's start with that.
1:10:03 Well, when you stream a song on Spotify, the vast majority of the payout goes to the master recording. So think the label. And when I say vast majority, let's call it eighty percent. A much smaller portion, twelve percent on average, goes to the owner of the publishing right, typically the songwriter. So that eighty percent goes to the label, which then gets distributed to the artist, the singer or the band, depending on the royalty rate that they negotiated, which as I mentioned, tends to be 10 to 20 percent going to the artist. So you're thinking like eight percent now. Eight to ten percent. Right, exactly. You get ten percent of the eighty percent. So then if they're also the songwriter, which Taylor frequently is
1:10:41 let's say that they take home the vast majority of the twelve percent. So let's call it ten percent. So from a Spotify play, it's reasonable to assume that a singer songwriter would receive about 18%. For both of those credits. It's sort of useful to know That figure and what
1:10:58 licenses get used in streaming. And is the balance of the so say like eighty percent to the master license holder And then twelve ish percent to the Yeah, I don't totally know where the balance goes. It might be like BMI and Azcap or something. I've I'm wondering is the balance to Spotify or No, this is the balance of what ends up getting paid out on a play. So it's it's like ninety two percent to license holders and eight percent to I don't know who.
1:11:24 Got it. So radio, even though y you kind of feel like you're doing the same thing when you're listening to a song on the radio versus listening to it on Spotify. It's actually totally different, which is really stupid, but the way it is. A song played on the radio is technically a performance. So the rights associated with that are similar to if you decided to go on tour and play your song.
1:11:45 So in traditional radio, the split is totally flipped from what we just talked about in streaming rights. Oh. So the majority of the revenue actually goes to the songwriter. Believe it or not. Interesting. But the recording artists actually don't make that much. So in the old world, if you were a songwriter, you wanted a chart topper because that's how you would make your money. And if you were the singer or the artist, you wanted it too, but you wanted it for marketing purposes. because then people would go buy your C Ds, which is where the artists would
1:12:15 and the record labels would actually make their real money. Interesting. And of course Taylor's getting, you know, both of these, but feels rightly so like she should be getting More of each. Right, and in any songwriter economics she gets way more of a split than in any masters related economics. Another example is songs that are played as a part of like movies or commercials. These are granted via something called a synchronization license or sync rights.
1:12:41 There's a split between both the publishing and the master right for this one. I think they're about even or they're closer together. Importantly, both copyright owners need to agree to grant this license. So this is why even if an artist doesn't own their masters, but they did write the song, they can still decide if it gets used in a commercial. It's like a veto right. And so this is a smaller overall revenue stream for the industry. But there's sort of a fascinating element to it there where even if you don't participate meaningfully in the economics of something, you still have a veto right over it.
1:13:13 Interesting. So We have all heard this notion streaming doesn't pay. We had Taylor's loud about it here. I think we a lot of people know like Uh well, in the music industry, you know, streaming doesn't make the money, but uh things like touring do.
1:13:27 So Let's put some numbers around that. At least on Spotify and Spotify like services. It's about 0.4 cents per stream. And then
1:13:36 That scent. That that that point four cents. gets cut up between the label, rights organization, et cetera, before the artists. And so it's reasonable. This is a crazy thing, but it's a reasonable ballpark to say that a million streams can net about four thousand dollars for the artist and their label in revenue. And if you have a 10% royalty, that means as an artist, you make four hundred dollars for a million streams.
1:14:05 Mm. Oh, that's so brutal. And that is if you are recouped against your advance. Wow. Otherwise it's zero. Wow.
1:14:14 So For a very popular artist, you know, it you could two X this by having a twenty percent royalty, or if these streams were on Apple Music where it's subscription only and therefore a higher payout per song, that could further double it. But even if you have a twenty percent royalty on Apple Music streams, that's still you make sixteen hundred bucks. For a million streams. As the artist. So Taylor's not wrong here. Like this is no bad.
1:14:37 Yeah, and if you compare this to the old world, artists used to make like a dollar per CD sold. Like if you had a ten percent royalty on a ten dollar CD, there's some retail stuff you pay, but like You make a round. Uh dollar. And so
1:14:50 You know, a a million people. listening to one song in the old world, or more accurately,'cause you were buying CDs, a hundred thousand people. Buying your album. would be like a hundred thousand dollars for the artist. So you're used to people listening to your recorded music. netting you real dollars if you're coming from the old music industry. Right.
1:15:11 And the line I wrote in my notes David, you can kill me later, is an artist is never, ever, ever going to make a lot of money from streaming like Ever. Grown. I love it. I love it. I love it. Oh man.
1:15:28 Alright, so Taylor Swift twenty seventeen, right before their reputation tour, we're flashing forward a little bit. Uh so like she's Taylor Freaking Swift at this point. Only two point four million dollars of her total income from everything she does comes from streaming.
1:15:43 Which might sound like a lot, but she's like a number one artist at this point. Yeah, she's making between fifty to a hundred and fifty million a year, depending on whether she's touring or not. Yeah, and for even a better illustration, you two that same year made fifty four million dollars total. And only six hundred thousand of it came from streaming. Wow.
1:16:03 Uh. Like ever. Ever. Yeah. Okay.
1:16:09 So we were talking about nineteen eighty nine. Taylor. Drops the album. On October. twenty seventh.
1:16:17 twenty fourteen. It sells one point three million copies of you know physical and digital. In the first week, it's huge on streaming. Tiller had written that op ed and In the Wall Street Journal back in July. So before this, so everybody's kinda on edge. Like, what's gonna happen here? She drops the album. A week later on November third, after having been out for a week.
1:16:39 Taylor pulls her entire catalog. off of Spotify. Not just nineteen eighty nine, but All of her albums. Gone. off of
1:16:48 Spotify power move. Totally power move. It would take until Uh over two years later in in late twenty seventeen, When uh T Swift would come. back to Spotify before the reputation release. Actually I think it was just about two years.
1:17:02 I think it was three. Oh, you're right. It was three. It was three years. Yeah. Quote from Daniel Eck, when T Swift finally comes back. I should have done a much better job communicating this, so I take full ownership of that. I went to Nashville many, many times to talk to Taylor's team, spent more time explaining the model why streaming mattered. And the great news is I think she saw how streaming was growing.
1:17:24 I think she saw the fans were asking for it. So eventually win the new album being Reputation. Came out, she came to Stockholm and spent some time here figuring out a way that made sense to her. Wow. This is the CEO of Spotify. Like I mean, obviously he gets involved here. And by the way, when he says her team, there's a an organization that's pretty big. I don't know if it's twenty employees, fifteen employees, something like that, but it's called Thirteen Management. And it is it's her whole team. There are other entities associated with it, one for merchandise, one for the fan club. Like there's all these like real businesses that are sort of
1:17:59 surrounding Taylor Swift, the artist, and there's a lot of people that work on those. So we're gonna come back. A little later to talking about. why she changed her mind on streaming and wet streaming. can do for her now.
1:18:12 But there's one more thing in this chapter. Apple music. Yeah, Apple didn't exist back then. It was Beats. And she was cool with Beats because Beats was paid. There was no free tier in Beats. Yeah. After Apple bought Beats. And we covered this back on our Beats episode way back in the day. This is so fun. When they were gonna
1:18:32 Launch relaunch it as Apple Music. And this is June twenty fifteen. They announce that everybody's gonna get a three month free trial. Of Apple Music.
1:18:44 Before you have to pay. Well what they didn't announce to the world was that the back end of that for artists was gonna look just like Spotify's Add to the artists weren't gonna get paid. During that.
1:18:58 Three months. So Taylor Taylor's like, Oh no, no, no, no, no, no. Taylor's comment on this, which is un freaking believable, is End quote. We don't ask you for free iPhones. Please don't ask us to provide you with our music for no compensation. The two sentences before that in the quote, which of course she posts to Twitter and Tumblr on her own social media to her own You know, audience.
1:19:21 I find it to be shocking, disappointing, and completely unlike this historically progressive and generous company. Three months is a long time to go unpaid, and it is unfair to ask anyone to work for nothing. And then Ben, as you said, we don't ask you for free iPhones. Please don't ask us to provide you with our music for no compensation. Here she is taking on her role of industry loud person again. And uh the best part is that Eddie Q tweets back at her. Oh my gosh. So this is so great. Literally within twenty four hours, Apple changes its stance because of Taylor. Apple doesn't change its stance for freaking anybody. It's Apple. It's the biggest company in the world. Tim Sweeney can't get them to change their developer for like
1:20:03 This is unbelievable. Less than twenty four hours. Eddie Q tweets. We hear you at Taylor Swift thirteen because of course her Twitter handle is Taylor Swift thirteen. And indie artists. I don't know where the and indie artist comes from. Like, no, this is about Taylor. Yeah. So then later that day in an interview, he says
1:20:21 When I woke up this morning and I saw Taylor's note that she had written. It really solidified it that we needed to make a change. Overnight they change it and they say we're gonna eat the cost during the three month free trial for customers and pay artists. Taylor Swift versus Apple, Taylor Swift wins. That is uh It's a rare.
1:20:37 A rare, rare thing. Yeah, you might be wondering, Well, how does Taylor make all this money if it's not from streaming and you know, obviously digital album sales. She makes a good amount of money from that. She makes money from endorsements, various merch, other stuff. The nineteen eighty nine tour grosses two hundred and fifty million dollars. So that's a quarter billion dollars from
1:21:00 No that's Gross. And it is quite expensive to put a tour on. Like you gotta pay for the arena, you got, you know, fireworks crew, other musicians, like it's This is not high margin revenue, but Not software, but uh still two hundred and fifty million dollars is a lot for
1:21:18 one tour for one album. It becomes the highest grossing US tour of all time, beating the Rolling Stones. Whoa. Sadly for the nineteen eighty nine tour, but not sadly for Taylor. That record would be broken. A couple years later by the reputation tour. Which gross two hundred and sixty six million dollars.
1:21:37 In the US and three forty five worldwide. Yeah. That's a lot of money. And I have to imagine that's still the highest grossing tour today,'cause who would have performed after that with No. Covid. It is not. So this is where it's interesting. Like you can't really do apples to apples with different artist tours. Um Actually it gets eclipsed by Ed Sheeran to T Swift Bestie.
1:22:03 with his uh I think divide tour. Oh. But I think the reputation tour I'm gonna get this wrong. I wanna say it had call it fifty dates, forty, fifty dates, something like that. The divide toy went on for years and had like, you know I don't know, two hundred dates or something like that.
1:22:19 I think she still holds the record for the highest single year. Grossing to her. is also hard because it's, you know, how often do you perform? You could perform two hundred times in a year. Right. Yeah, it's really hard to normalize these. You need to do the same thing that people do in retail where they like do same store sales. So you're like, what's your Average, uh
1:22:37 price per uh arena or per show. Yep. Okay, so interesting on touring. That's the reputation tour. We did sort of flash forward here and we just started talking about reputation. Reputation. was inspired by a series of events and as A very different album than its predecessor of nineteen eighty nine.
1:22:56 It's much darker. It's uh making a loud statement. In fact, there were two years before it where she didn't release an album. versus her typical every other year. So there was a whole sort of year that she
1:23:10 Did some reflecting, some changing Some grieving, some being angry. What on earth happened that pre-dated reputation. Well, first I have a confession to make.
1:23:20 So Until like, I don't know. twenty four or forty eight hours ago. I was still in the camp that like I mean I know all this context and whatnot, but just like me personally enjoying the music.
1:23:34 I didn't like Reputation. I thought it was uh you know I was with the majority when it came out that it was a weaker album. Yeah. And as you brought up, the opening scene of Miss Americana is reputation not even getting nominated for Grammy, right? Like everybody agreed.
1:23:49 And then recently it has become very Cool. Much like Kanye's eight oh eight and heartbreak album, to say, no, actually reputation was really great. It was just ahead of its time. How dare you bring Kanye into this? Yeah. And I will say, like, so reputation has some
1:24:05 Just like Amazing songs. Ready for it. I did something bad. Look what you made me do. Anyway, I didn't like it. But now doing all the research and realisten to it, I think it's great. I love it. I'm now in the camp of It's fantastic.
1:24:19 Yeah. It's interesting when some albums are better after years go by. I really like Endgame. Oh yeah, also great. With Ed Sharon, of course.
1:24:29 By the way. David and I are not music critics. There are like four Rolling Stone podcasts linked in the sources that are like an amazing music columnist discussion of each of these albums if you want to do some like real musical analysis on it. But anyway, okay. What inspired
1:24:45 Reputation. Okay. So yeah, what is it? What inspires it? On Valentine's Day, February fourteenth, two thousand sixteen. Kanye West releases The Life of Pablo. I don't know that I've actually ever listened to Life of Pablo all the way through, but I think it's probably a pretty good album.
1:25:02 But of course it has the song. Famous. Famous. Which has the famous line in it the I don't think we need to say it here, right? I think people know what it is, right?
1:25:12 Yeah. Absolutely not. It's a pretty offensive line. uh made more offensive by a music video where Kanye finds a Uh doll that is it a doll? Is it a model? But something that looks a lot like Taylor Swift and it's nude in the video. It's it is just like
1:25:30 So much about this is so offensive and cringeworthy to look at and The album comes out, and I don't think we need to go into the whole like Kim Snapchat thing here, but suffice to say, Kanye and his team deemed it appropriate to release this album with this song to the world. And You can't ship an album without a lot of people signing off on it, including your manager.
1:25:54 And things were signed off on. Well, I mean, literally in the video of the famous phone call, Rick Rubin, the you know famous producer, is in the background in the bit like he produced. I don't know if he produced that song, but the album like he was there. Yes. Lots of people were involved.
1:26:10 I guess we should allude to at least like what it is. So there's this like terrible lyric that Kanye after the album comes out says, Oh, Taylor and I actually talked about this and she approved it. And Taylor's like, No, I didn't. And then later on, Kim Kardashian releases some Snapchats that are like, I secretly taped Uh, where Kanye secretly taped this conversation and here's you saying that it was okay, but she didn't fully say it was okay. She didn't approve the worst part of the line. Anyway, there's Lots of discrepancy over this.
1:26:39 Taylor's like What The hell I thought this thing was dead and buried five, six years ago and here we are dredging it up again. Again. Yeah. Again. How could this not send you into some like emotional duress such that
1:26:53 you're not releasing your next album when you thought you were, that it changes where you are creatively, that it inspires a whole new look and feel and tone to your music. A lot of Popular opinion turned against Taylor, and that's gotta be hurtful too. That's gotta be really hurtful. Totally. And popular opinion.
1:27:09 kind of fairly turned against her. Like she was saying th I don't know if she exactly said we never talked, but she kind of implied like There was no Agreement. And what the Snapchat so is like you definitely had a conversation. You were very thoughtful about how this is gonna come across when this gets released. You may not have heard that one lyric, but like you totally talked. So then Taylor sort of has to change her positioning to the public after she's getting sort of lambasted and people are turning on her and say, like, Well, I didn't hear that line and that's sort of what I meant.
1:27:40 And it's not a great look. No, it's it's not. And so for the first big time, a person who derives a lot of her pride and a lot of her sense of self. and has always gotten very positive, largely positive feedback from fans, is now seeing an immense amount of negative feedback. And it really she talks about this in Miss Americana, it really requires a psyche reset. Where
1:28:04 she has to retrain herself on who I am in the world and why I'm a person of value and why I need to value myself and and how I should think of myself. that is not connected from Did a million people tell me I'm great today? 'Cause a lot more than a million people were telling her she was not great at that point.
1:28:24 Yes. So yeah, that's that's the background for reputation. And you know, other than like This being hugely influencing the creative aspect of the work. This comes up in a really big way very soon in the business aspect of
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1:30:28 Right, David. I think uh Taylor's six record deal is up. Yeah. So that's the other thing about reputation. Man, reputation was such a landmark. Turning point in the career in a huge way.
1:30:40 But I think this is the thing about Taylor that we're gonna talk about in Much more in playbook, but like Every album is a turning point in her career. Like she reinvents herself. Every single time and I just have so much respect for that. Like that is So hard to do.
1:30:55 So We've talked about r the rights that you license when you you give your masters away. The way these record deals work is they sign you for a certain number of albums and they're saying, look, if I'm gonna take the risk and front you money for this first album, I'm either committing to or getting the option to Your next X albums. Taylors was six. That's about market from what I could tell. Yeah, I was gonna ask, is that normal? I think so. I th it actually used to be more, but it's like eight to ten, but it's come down in recent years. So this was her sixth album and the last one.
1:31:24 she was under contract with. Big machine for. Taylor does all of Taylor's own stuff, but she doesn't have any Issue with big machine per se. There's no bad blood there. But the industry is like, Well, this this is gonna be a big
1:31:38 Moment. A variety article from around the time. Comes out. Yeah. lays out what they see as Taylor's
1:31:47 Four options. Four. What to do. Going forward. Uh, now that this deal is expiring. And they note.
1:31:54 that probably the most important factor in her decision is going to be The master licenses. Certainly for future albums that she'll make. She's not gonna take a ten to fifteen percent cut going forward. But
1:32:08 They suggest say people in the industry are saying that Taylor is such a big star. That depending on how things go with Big Machine in this negotiation, she might be able to renegotiate the past split on old albums that she's done if Big Machine is involved going forward. So they say
1:32:25 There's probably four options here. One, Taylor. Actually genuinely could just ditch labels all together. And go run this whole thing herself. I think the bigger reason she and other people don't do this is
1:32:38 If you do go this path. you essentially have to build a whole s full stack company around yourself. And that takes a lot of time and energy and if you are an artist and the primary thing you do is create and make music That's a distraction in time away from that. There's way more stuff involved in the back office of music than you can fathom. I mean, of course there's like we need to make sure it gets in all the streaming services, but you also kinda need to be in retail, even though there's not a lot of CDs sold. If you're Taylor Swift, your CDs are being sold. You need to be able to make CDs. You need to be able to
1:33:11 make merch. You need to be able to handle all the inbound requests for people who want to use your music for certain things. You need to work with the rights organizations to go around to events who are illegally using your music and make sure that they're uh listening for that and making sure there's a matching license, and if not, sending them the invoice for it and this appeal is a unbelievable amount of things. That if you go through the traditional value chain. Through the record labels.
1:33:37 that you kinda get. The other big component that I sort of failed to realize until reading again, reading Donald Passman's book is just so enlightening. It's like the venture deals of the music industry is the right, I think the best way to put it. If you're a retailer or if you're a streaming service, You can't really piss off one of the big three. Because their clout is to take everything away from you. Or even let's say you're a retailer, and these don't matter as much anymore, but let's say you're selling CDs.
1:34:04 Like For the indie artist who dealt with you individually, the they can be the last check that you pay. But You better make sure you're writing the checks to everybody who's on the label because they sort of work as a group. And so
1:34:15 There's all these ways, you know, you want to make sure that you're getting on the right playlists on Spotify. There's all these ways where it's really helpful. to be a part of something really big for negotiations. Maybe this is part of the unsaid point of in this variety article is that like Taylor is really one of the few artists.
1:34:33 Maybe the only one who could do that. Right. That second point that you're mentioning, I think applies to almost every artist, but literally she made Apple change their policies in twenty four hours. Right. So she could, but it's unlikely that she's gonna decide to do that just because She's an artist. She wants to be an artist. Option number two that they lay out is
1:34:54 She could sign with a different kind of major label ecosystem all together. So she remember, big machine Her label is part of the universal Heritage and ecosystem. Yeah. Taylor could jump to Warner Music Group or Sony or you know, one of the other.
1:35:10 Big groups and she already has the Sony relationship for songwriting. That's not unreasonable. Probably gonna come down to like just economics and who's willing to pay the most in that. Arena.
1:35:23 Three She could leave Big Machine, but stay in the universal ecosystem and sign with, you know, the parent label itself or one of the other sub labels within Universal. And option four is she could stay with big machine. Now ultimately Has
1:35:39 We all know. She chooses option three. She does explore staying with Big Machine. She definitely does. They even publish what looks like some screenshots of legal document going back and forth and having proposed changes.
1:35:53 And it sort of seems like from those what big machine is angling for is If you sign with us for they want ten years, Taylor says seven. then by staying with us you earn back the rights to all your masters. So if you stay with us through this second term then the masters from your first term become yours. And
1:36:12 There's no way to know what the economic splits were or any of the other terms of this agreement. We don't even have it substantiated that that screenshot that Big Machine decided to put out is real. But what we do know is that Big Machine was willing to let her have her masters from the first six albums if she signed with them again and we don't know what the terms were. So She signs with Republic Records, which is another universal
1:36:36 Sub label and specifically it's universals. Pop sub label. Now this makes Tons of sense. Big machine is a country label.
1:36:45 And independently owned, but in the universal ecosystem. Republic is a pop label. Like This really is what makes sense. And and not only that, but Taylor and Big Machine had been working super closely with Republic. To get All of Taylor's
1:37:01 Songs that when they wanted pop radio play to get on Pop radio stations. Republic was the one. handling that, because obviously Big Machine didn't have those.
1:37:10 relationships. So when this is all announced, like It's very amicable. At least that's what's this is presented as Taylor is staying in the universal family. She's moving from a country label to a pop, it makes lots of sense.
1:37:24 And again, we don't know. what the tenor and tone of the negotiations were. Up to this point. But once this happens This really, really changes the business dynamic for big machine.
1:37:38 And again we don't know how much people knew this was gonna happen beforehand, but here's the reality. It's estimated that Revenue from Taylor's work was eighty percent of big machines total revenue. Now they had other artists, they had Rascal Flatts, they had other folks. both current and past, and that they own the masters of in the past.
1:37:58 But Taylor was so big it was eighty percent of the revenue of the company. While Taylor is still Signed with them. You know, that's like operating revenue. And even after Taylor's not signed with them, it's still your operating revenue because Well.
1:38:12 The nature of what this acid is. It really goes from becoming I think in my view, this is all my interpretation, that eighty percent of big machines revenue turns from being operating revenue into being like a cash flow streaming asset revenue. Like the whole nature of the company changes. Like you were a label who worked with Taylor Swift and you were produc actively producing music with her and distributing and everything.
1:38:35 So now you've got her library. And that's very different. Right. That's a great point. Yeah, it's now an income producing asset. Yes, for sure, to your point, you need people to, you know, answer the phones when somebody wants to use it in a commercial and have their relationships with the label, but like probably, I don't know, eighty, ninety percent of your operating activities around that.
1:38:58 Yeah, the Taylor Swift aspect of your business. Now just like disappear. Right. It changes the nature of what big machine as a company.
1:39:08 Is And specifically turns it into this like at the time, you would think, probably predictable cash flow. Asset. By the way, this cash flowing asset that you own is subject to someone else having strong feelings about the cash flowability of that asset. Exactly.
1:39:25 So what's the first thing that comes out in terms of uh some scuttle butt on on the steel. Well It's an extended period of time before all the drama and all the beef and everything comes out around Big Machine and the Masters.
1:39:41 I suspect what happened is that as soon as this change happened. All the dynamics we were talking about become evident. It now becomes pretty clear that like Big machine is now a securitizable asset, essentially, and Probably should be sold.
1:39:55 Skyport could hang on to it and keep the royalties associated from the old T Swift masters, but like there's not that much else going on at Big Machine as a label. It's now this cash flow asset. The market is hot for securitized I P Licensing deals. Hotter than ever. Probably he's gonna sell.
1:40:15 The reason I think this is now becomes a separate phase of the negotiations is because had Taylor made a different decision, And stayed with Big Machine. Either fully or in some form. All these dynamics would be different. Much less likely to sell.
1:40:29 Yep, exactly. But when she made the decision to leave, now it sort of kicks off this sale process. So now Lots of people are interested. They run an auction. Uh reportedly Evan Spiegel, who I didn't realize dated Taylor Swift briefly is interested in buying. Lots of PE shops are buying I think for Snap. The the idea was to like build music into the discover tab that they owned or something. Interesting. Well, they run a sale process.
1:40:56 Now here's the question. Is Taylor. part of the sale process. Could Taylor reasonably Have just bought.
1:41:05 Either big machine itself or the masters, which were the majority of the value of big machine. I mean either yes she could have outright If she was the highest bidder. Or she could have lined up financing to become the highest bidder.
1:41:19 Taylor's current net worth is five hundred and fifty million dollars, so just over half a billion. At the time. This according to Forbes at the time Forbes thought it was probably around three hundred and sixty million. the ultimate sale ends up happening for between three hundred to three hundred and thirty million. She for sure could have. Yeah. It would have been like most of her net worth to buy a dower, but she would have lined up financing, just like everybody else lined up financing to do this.
1:41:41 Now Did they pick up the phone and call her and say, Do you want to make a bid? That we don't know. She claims that she was never offered the chance. either big machine or the masters themselves.
1:41:54 Which is of course fascinating because the Owners And you can see this on the Secretary of State website for the state of Tennessee. of Big Machine Records L C there are only five members in this LLC. One, of course, is the CEO Scott Porchetta. Another, of course, is
1:42:12 Toby Keith. There are two that we don't know. At least Dave and I couldn't find in the research, and then of course the fifth is Scott Swift. So In order to make a sale.
1:42:24 Uh it's not that you need Scott's vote and what apparently happened is because there was a non disclosure agreement involved that he didn't want to attend because he, of course, would want to call Taylor But he did not attend the vote and to decide to sell this or not. But it is crazy that The Swift family is one of five shareholders of Big Machine. And
1:42:47 when the sale inevitably does happen Everybody knows this is gonna happen. Taylor even says that she knew that once she went somewhere else. It was obvious that Big Machine was gonna get sold. Yes. Now Who did it get sold to?
1:43:01 As we were saying, there's a lot of private equity interest and it does get sold to a Private equity backed. company by the name of Ithaca Holdings. Specifically it is backed by Carlisle. David, who's Ithca Holdings managed by?
1:43:15 The CEO of Ithaca Holdings is Scooter Braun. Uh and Scooter himself very well known. Famous talent manager in the industry of Artists like Justin Bieber.
1:43:27 And for a time, Kanye West. And for a time, Kanye West. And for a time. Well Kanye West put out famous Kanye West. Yes, you made the point. Lots of people knew that Famous was being worked on and was coming out and like
1:43:42 There are people in that video that obviously were there. Certainly Scooter probably knew. About it. Would any of that change Kanye doing this? Like I don't know. So
1:43:53 to cut to the chase, Taylor comes out with a post about this and says, This is my worst nightmare. not only that I wouldn't be given the opportunity to buy my masters, but also by Scooter Braun. And what's not totally clear, and it doesn't need to be public,'cause people can have private Spats is like Okay, so he banaged Kanye during that time.
1:44:12 There was one thing on Instagram that Justin Bieber posted at one point that had Scooter Braun in it that said, like, what's up, Taylor? That she screenshotted and used to show that uh in some way Scooter had been taunting her. What's not totally clear is like why there's beef and why it's her worst nightmare for it to be scooter, but she absolutely once she decided that that was true.
1:44:39 Made a gi gigantic deal about that. And I have no value judgment on that. But This served as an explosive point for her and her fan base.
1:44:49 Then things just get even more interesting from a business standpoint. There's this whole morass of rights issues around what you can and cannot do with music. Taylor owns the the not the recording copyrights, the masters, but the uh the songwriting copyrights. So she's been vetoing All these opportunities to use them. Uh in sick licenses. It's like, oh, you want to use in that commercial and that could make a bunch of money for the people that own the masters. Nope. Meanwhile, all this is playing out on the court of public opinion.
1:45:16 Public. Lots of people are listening to Taylor Swift. That's definitely happening. On july thirteenth. Singer Kelly Clarkson. Tweets at Taylor.
1:45:26 Just a thought. You should go in and re-record all the songs that you don't own the masters. On exactly how you did them. But put brand new art and some kind of incentive so fans will no longer buy the old versions. I'd buy all the new versions just to prove a point. This tweet exists. We'll link to it. It's out there.
1:45:44 Now here's what's really interesting. Where did Kelly come up with this idea? Well it turns out that uh Aside from being like a, you know, great country artist herself. Hm.
1:45:56 Mother in law. At the time. I think she's since gotten divorced, but her mother in law at the time was Reba McIntyre. And Reba did this. No way.
1:46:06 Reba did this for several reasons with old albums, but certainly one of which that Reba had told Kelly. was that By remaking albums from the earlier part of her career and releasing them later when she had a better record deal. She was obviously gonna get more.
1:46:22 Of the upside. on that it's amazing. And on the one hand, you're like, come on, that's so much work. Who would do that? You have to invite back all your collaborators, you have to re-record every single track because you can't use any of them. Your voice has changed You're singing about all these X's, do you really want to sing about them anymore? Poor Jake. But Taylor. is maniacal and on a war path.
1:46:46 And she does it. Couple weeks later, in August of twenty nineteen, Taylor goes on Good Morning America. And announces that she's gonna do this. She doesn't reference the Kelly Clarkson tweet, but I I think it's Just as plausible as not that like this is where the idea comes from. Not probable cause, but plausible cause.
1:47:03 But Ben to your point. other artists, famously Prince, had threatened to do this before, but like This isn't something you do in a weekend. This is really It's like making a whole new album. Like it is A lot of work. And the release and the promotion.
1:47:18 Taylor's time on this earth is short, and her time of being a celebrity is shorter. unless she manages to constantly keep reinventing herself and for her to dedicate prime years of her career. To this project.
1:47:33 going and and spending all the time doing this instead of creating the next album. That shows how much she f wants this. It's completely implausible that Taylor could recreate her old albums and Keep making new albums.
1:47:48 Even anything close to the pace that she had been doing, right? Yes, David, you're referring to this chart that I made last night. I made a rolling two year average. Graph of the number of songs Taylor released. To smooth out the curve, basically, since she used to release albums every other year. And it's basically
1:48:04 Two thousand six to twenty nineteen, it's right around ten songs per year that she was releasing. And then in twenty twenty she released twenty five, and in twenty twenty one, she released forty six. She managed to release two brand new albums while also doing two re releases during the pandemic. Best thing that ever happened to Taylor Swift, I guess.
1:48:22 So Lover's the first album uh on the new label, is that right? On Republican. Miss Americana comes out in January twenty twenty. It's also really good. Go watch it if you haven't. But then there was a big Tour plan for Lover.
1:48:37 Loverfest. That was gonna take. All of twenty twenty. That tour gets cancelled. And the crazy thing is she announced the re recording plan.
1:48:46 Even while Lover was gonna happen the Loverfest tour. So she was like, Oh yeah, sure, I'll be on tour all year. And I'm gonna do this. I think this is one of the like really good things that come from the pandemic. Do you mean like folklore and evermore, or do you mean folklore evermore and fearless and red and Yeah.
1:49:03 And the long pond sessions. I'm always torn in trying to decide why is she re recording? Is it Vindictive and emotional. Or is it because there's an enormous amount of money at stake if she does? And It's
1:49:16 Both? Definitely. But it is fascinating that she has this kind of dual motivation here where one of them is I definitely wanted to buy my masters. I'm kinda bummed that I couldn't get'em.
1:49:27 But oh my god, now Scooter has them, so I must wreck and destroy. So Surprise, November twenty twenty. The Long Pun Studio Sessions comes out as a film on Disney Plus where they all get together. At Long Pond Studio.
1:49:42 in person for the first time And play the songs live, you know, they are together. Right around the same time. In twenty twenty.
1:49:51 Irony of ironies. Ithaca. And scooter. And big machine. sells the asset of the masters.
1:50:00 of the first six albums. Just tailors. Big machine, the operating company, all the other masters of other artists they have. Everything that stays with Ithaca Holdings. They sell only the Tailor Masters to a
1:50:13 private equity firm. For about three hundred million dollars. So about the same price that they paid for all of Big Machine a year earlier. And assuming that eighty percent of the revenue in that so that they're they're still left with some twenty percent chunk of the value. So it's nice little markup in a year. There's some Rascal Flat stuff and you know some other stuff I think there might be some Tim McGraw work that they have, you know. Anyway.
1:50:34 The private equity firm that they sell it to is Shamrock. Capital. Which sounds innocent enough. Now, the minute I saw this, I was like, Oh my God. Because I used to work in, you know, media investment banking and one of the things that you know we would talk to one of the PE firms we would talk to would be Shamrock Capital. They did a lot of media deals because they started
1:50:55 As the family office of the Disney family. So crazy. Now there's no direct connection anymore. Like it this is more just coincidence, but like wow. And it's Roy E. Disney, which is the son of Roy O. Disney. I think I have that right, who was the uh he was the one who was kind of like agitating on the board in the CEO of transition, if you've read Right of a Lifetime. Interestingly enough, They Did this without
1:51:18 talking to Taylor, and if I were doing diligence on an asset where someone has announced that they intend to on a war path devalue the thing that I'm buying. Especially when I'm buying it at an appreciation to where it was most recently marked in the last year, I would probably call that artist and say, like, Should we do this deal? What would you do if we did this deal? Can we find a way to work together? Apparently that doesn't happen.
1:51:41 And by the way, just to underscore how unlikely it was that she would continue and go through and do this. There's a Stratekri article. From April of twenty twenty one, so only nine months ago. Where Ben Thompson says, it's easy to see how this plays out going forward. Swift probably doesn't even need to remake another album. She's demonstrated her willingness and a capability to make her old records, and her fans will do the rest.
1:52:05 But then she dropped red. Ben wrote that when The fearless. Tail each version came out. Which again wasn't until April twenty twenty one. back into December twenty twenty when Evermore comes out.
1:52:17 Because folklore had come out just a few months before. And was obviously huge. When Evermore comes out T Swift. Has concurrently. from these two albums.
1:52:28 Twenty-two of the top fifty songs on the Billboard charts. It is remarkable to as you go and listen how good the re recordings are. They're both faithful to the originals in all the ways you'd want them to be. Oh no, that that's just evermore and uh and folklore. Oh, this doesn't include red and That does not include Fearless, yeah. Whoa. Well I do want to make that point. But it's not related.
1:52:52 They're both faithful and better because she's matured so much as a singer. So April twenty twenty one fearless Taylor's version comes out. Debut's at number one. As did folklore, as did Everlowmore. So Taylor becomes the first artist in history. to have three albums
1:53:11 come out debut at number one in less than a year. All graphs of Taylor Swift look compounding. There's never been a more up as it goes to the right. At least in her industry. We gotta talk about what she calls it.
1:53:23 Taylor's version. It's Brilliant. It's so brilliant.
1:53:30 twenty twenty one version or you know, remake, remaster. If you want to identify with Taylor, this is the version for you. Dear fan base I've been cultivating for sixteen years. If you love me. You'll listen to my version. And then In November of this year, on November twelfth.
1:53:46 Taylor. Sends me a birthday present. Thank you, Taylor. It was a really, really nice birthday present. I didn't notice at the time'cause I had a one month old. But releases red, Taylor's version. The fearless Taylor's version.
1:53:58 It was so good. It's my favorite album. I loved it. I mean, this has the ten minute version of all too well. The ten minute version. The video associated with that, the other music video that came out that's directed by Blake Lively. The Saturday Night Live performance. Yes. You know. Dake Dylan Hall may have been a jerk to her ten years ago, but like, come on, give the guy a break. I mean, he just picked he had bad timing. If that was bad.
1:54:21 Timing, indeed. There is a A couple of points before we round out the story here that are worth making about her deal with UMG. And one of them will be straightforward and one of them will be a fun deep dive into Spotify history. So here's the straightforward one.
1:54:39 Taylor negotiated maybe the best, most artist favorable record contract of all time. The way that her deal with UMG works Is She actually maintains the ownership of her future master recording rights and she licenses them.
1:54:57 I own this the minute we press the album and you can use them. But That is not an unlimited period of time. The UMG only has the license up to ten years, at which point she will regain full control. So they could go make
1:55:13 U M G's version of folklore and everyone Actually they couldn't'cause she owns the songwriting credits. That's right. Yes. So Taylor has cut this just unfreaking believable deal. And Taylor's quick to point out, well, actually the bigger part of the negotiation for me
1:55:31 was this thing that I negotiated That involves All other artists benefiting from my contract. And what does that mean?
1:55:42 Well This is where we have to take a quick trip down memory lane. So Think back to 2008. If you lived in the UK
1:55:50 you could use Spotify. I think maybe Germany. If you lived in the US, you couldn't. So it's this young emerging thing. It's got about two million users in the UK. You know, brush metal is in vogue. Kinda looks like dark iTunes. Well, Spotify really, really needs the labels to play ball.
1:56:08 And what are they gonna do? Go SoundClouds route and list a bunch of indie music on there like Daniel Eck has a specific vision for mainstream music listening happening in a streaming way. And so the three big labels and some indie labels collectively together get offered the opportunity to buy Spotify shared at an extremely favorable price.
1:56:29 And so Uh whatever the basis is, it's like trivially low. And they own eighteen percent of the company. Huge amount. I mean they're As big as a V C or or bigger than any V C on the cap table.
1:56:41 And so they're, you know. incentivized to play ball for the foreseeable future and make this asset go up. They, from what I can tell, made a balance sheet investment. So it comes out of the shareholders. Coffers. And
1:56:54 Fast forward to today. Universal music group is estimated to own about three and a half percent. Wow. So that today is worth about one point five billion dollars at the current market cap. Which is basically all a capital gain since it's it was super, super low basis, super early investment.
1:57:12 So UMG, unlike the others, never sold its share. So that's been great for the Spotify stock because it's appreciated the last few years since their IPO. So what did the other two big labels do? Well Warner moved first, and they gave some of the money to artists. They gave 25% When they sold, they gave twenty five percent of the proceeds. Yes. Of the sale proceeds of Spotify stock. You might think Why are they giving any? Which is kind of a reasonable thing to think because they Made it.
1:57:39 Balance sheet investment from what I can tell. They may have been given the shares, but I think it was an investment. Yeah, right. I mean, that seems like awfully generous in a industry that isn't exactly Renowned for generosity. Right. You might say, well why are we transferring value from our shareholders to our suppliers, effectively.
1:57:58 Well artists aren't just suppliers. This is a much tighter relationship. And in some ways If by doing this the labels actually accelerated the move to streaming, and it may not have happened otherwise, then the artists as a stakeholder group, we're sort of
1:58:12 hurt by the labels deciding to Collude really and do this,'cause all three of them did it. So Interestingly enough. Warner does this, they only give twenty five percent of the appreciation.
1:58:24 But they do it as a credit. that will be recouped. against earnings from albums. So they sell it and uh they say this is great. You can have this as a basically an additional advance and you can Pay us back for it. So
1:58:39 That's Kinda shitty. So Sony was kinder. They said that the money that they gave to artists was non recoupable, totaling$250 million of a total windfall for all of the artists. This is about a third of their stake. So it's more than than what Warner did, and it's non recoupable. In Taylor's negotiation as a sticking point in her contract with UMG, She forced their hand to do the best deal.
1:59:04 any of the labels by far. It's not public, but people think it's at least the same thing that Warner did, twenty five percent. But non-recoupable. And given the size of UMG's stake from the holding, that would mean something like seven hundred million dollars would get distributed to artists with zero need to pay it back.
1:59:22 Hm. That's leverage. That is like some new customer coming to you and saying, By the way, in order to do business with us, not only do you need to give us a screaming deal, but you need to kind of change the way that your other existing contracts work that I have nothing to do with. And pledge this asset that has nothing to do with me. Yes. Now, of course, she's gonna make some money, but I think other people actually will be much larger recipients of the seven hundred and fifty million when it ultimately does get
1:59:50 Distributed. And certainly in terms of impact to those other artists who don't make as much as Taylor on an ongoing basis. So I said earlier that Taylor came around on streaming.
2:00:02 And streaming has actually been good to Taylor. And Taylor's been good at streaming. What Is The biggest.
2:00:11 Part of that. No. This was not in the works when Taylor did come back to Spotify, but has been Huge for her. The Taylor versions, right?
2:00:23 Imagine a world where streaming was not the primary Paradigm through which Customers consume music. Even the brilliant calling them Taylor version, she'd still have to go convince people who already owned Fearless and Red to go rebuy the C Ds.
2:00:37 Now it's very easy to swap it out in your playlist or if you're just like if you're not a playlister, you're just searching, you're like, Oh good, the newest one, Taylor's version, that sounds right. I've noticed I don't I can't imagine this is just for me, but if you ask your favorite virtual assistant to play Red or fearless or all too well. Are they playing Taylor's versions? Of course they're playing Taylor's versions. Whoa. It was yet another factor that enabled Taylor to really Do this.
2:01:04 Remake strategy in a big way. So Taylor Swift has an astonishing 200 million followers on Instagram, which makes her the 14th most followed in the world. But There are four people from a single family that are ahead of her. Who are they? Uh Kardashians? Yes.
2:01:25 There's stardom and then there's ludicrous stardom. And it is amazing that there are so many places in this story where it's Taylor and her crew versus Kanye and his. And it's create as I was just looking through who has the most influence on Instagram that Just did like
2:01:41 Total reach that the Kardashian Jenner, West, I know they're not together anymore, but that Team Kanye has is nuts. Yeah. Well.
2:01:51 I mentioned to you that Matsusha Electric came up again in the research and I'm sure at this point you can probably guess why. Universal music room? Yeah. So Universal Music Group is now a totally separate entity. But at one point was part of MCA Universal, which Michael Ovitz sold to Matsushta. I didn't realize that they were still
2:02:13 Together at that point in time. I thought they had already been split out. Yeah, totally crazy. So the uh fast forwarding all the way to today, UMG's owners are uh of course it's probably traded, but Vivendi still owns ten percent of it. Vincent Ballore. I don't I'm not not familiar with that. Oh it's eighteen percent.
2:02:30 Pershing Square Holdings owns ten percent as the famous uh Bill Ackman's recent s don't call it a spAC activity. Do you know who owns twenty percent of UMG that we have done an acquired episode on And uh is a big part of acquired lore. Ten cent?
2:02:46 Ten cent. Yes. Which may have come as part of a swap with Tentent Music in that IPO, I think. Something like that. Crazy how interconnected this web is. We don't yet have
2:03:00 Total earnings numbers for twenty twenty one for Taylor. But as I mentioned earlier. Hm net worth estimated by Forbes in August of twenty twenty one was five hundred and fifty million. Up from three hundred and sixty five.
2:03:16 Less than a year before. So I think it's fair to say she had a pretty good twenty twenty one. Totally. For a sense. In the music
2:03:26 Artist industry. How she stacks up. All time. For just music sales alone. So we're not including touring, we're not including merch, like just like literally consumption. of paid consumption of the music. Now this does include streaming.
2:03:41 Uh it's been accounted for in here. So you can sort of compare errors here. Taylor is thirty first. of all time in highest Pure music sales.
2:03:53 Yeah, you might say like Yeah, thirty one. I mean that's like that's great. It's impressive. It feels a little low. But I do think the way that the streams are counted is disadvantaged relative to the way that they used to count album sales,'cause they equate fifteen hundred streams to one album. Which is a little bit like
2:04:13 Okay, so you're sort of like saying that it's A hundred and fifty listens per album, which might be a little bit generous if like did I ever listen to my CDs 150 times? Yeah. Okay.
2:04:26 She is the only artist in the top fifty who started her career after the year two thousand and she started in two thousand six. Everybody else in the top fifty. started at least one, if not multiple decades before Taylor. Now you look at other artists.
2:04:44 Who started In the two thousands decade. The only others, there are three others in the top one hundred. Tail is thirty one. The next is Adele. At sixty six.
2:04:57 So this is like comparing LeBron mid career to Jordan, if you're like trying to compare Taylor Swift now to the Beatles. Beatles are number one. Now switching over to the touring side. The reputation tour. is the nineteenth highest cursing tour of all time.
2:05:13 Including ones that run for multiple years. Well that's the thing is like when you factor in Number of dates. On the tour. It has significantly less dates. I think it has less dates than
2:05:26 Every Higher ranks to or above it. And most of them it has significantly less dates. The Other thing I looked at here.
2:05:37 Which was pretty hard and fluffy as you can look at uh various publications have estimates on highest artist, you know, lists of highest starting artists for the year. And they all have different methodologies. And almost Undeniably by any measure. Uh twenty sixteen
2:05:53 Twenty nineteen, twenty twenty, and probably twenty twenty one. She will. be the highest earning artist. Totally amazing. Okay, that's my trivia now.
2:06:03 I tweeted. The other day. That's The first episode of Season.
2:06:09 10. has a direct connection to standard oil and I bet nobody Can get it. So I bet a lot of listeners at this point know exactly what the connection is.
2:06:18 But This is the most amazing part. And we gave no hints, we've told almost no one about this. Almost no one. But one person who guessed it outright immediately and nailed it.
2:06:29 Direct. Reply, nailed it, no inside knowledge, no awareness of what was happening. It's Christina from Vanta. Amazing. That is how good she is. Christina Cassiopo, that was a dead on guess, and it is scary how much you knew that uh the last great American dynasty
2:06:49 was indeed the linkage between the standard oil Trust and Taylor Swift. In twenty thirteen. Of course. Taylor.
2:06:58 But The property known as the Holiday House in Rhode Island. Uh that was previously owned by Rebecca Harkness and Bill Harkness. One of the direct descendants of the Rockefellers. Inheritor of standard oil.
2:07:11 Fortune. Heir to the standard oil name. There's a lot of fun stuff out there about Rebecca, and she was eccentric. She funded lots of stuff in the arts, particularly dance. The stories in the song about stealing the dog, dying at Key Lime Green Definitely did not steal a dog, may have died a cat.
2:07:28 But there was some poetic license taking. David, I'm moving us on. All right, seven powers. So As longtime listeners know, we are adapting using Hamilton Helmer's Seven Powers framework, which
2:07:45 is an analysis of what enables a business to achieve persistent deferential returns. In other words, how can it be more profitable than their closest competitors and do so sustainably? So David. I guess let's think about tailor as a business, not about like her previous rights or
2:08:03 U M G as a business, but like the business of being Taylor Swift and having all the assets she does and all the control that she does over what she controls and not over what she doesn't control. So you're Taylor. That that's the analysis. I think that's the only scale that we can really analyze this on. Anything else feels too small. Of course, so the seven powers are counter positioning scale economies. Switching costs, network economies, process power, branding, and cornered resource.
2:08:31 Branding is a no brainer. Like if I heard a song and then was told that it was Taylor Swift. First of all, she's recognizable enough where I probably could guess, but if I didn't guess such as in uh What's the Song where she was pseudonymous.
2:08:47 Calvin Harris song. Yep. Yes. wrote that and is singing in that, but is not named. I never knew that before. It brings up the value of the song to me and A hundred million other people. Yep.
2:08:59 So she's definitely got branding power going on. I suspect the Biggest one she's got is scale economies. Oh, you think scale economies? Well, I look at it as the scale of value she's producing in the world because so many people are consuming her music.
2:09:15 She has the opportunity to take advantage of scale economies and bring stuff in house that no other artist could bring in house. She's not necessarily doing that, but I think the fear that she could do that is one way that she got the deal that she did, where she actually owns the masters and licenses them to the labels. Right. Like we were talking about. The only reason She keeps the label around it all and didn't go do it.
2:09:41 Herself is Probably just convenience at this point. Yes. They made it cheaper for her to do that or as cheap as actually doing this in house, which would require her scale to be able to do in-house. Yeah. Okay, I can buy that. I think definitionally she also has switching costs because the CEO of Spotify, when she was not on Spotify, was flying it to
2:10:01 The U S to negotiate. For her to get back on. Clearly. you can't substitute a replacement and have equal. Which I think also implies cornered resource. Does she have network economies with
2:10:15 The fans and the Swifties? The fans with each other. Maybe I mean to the extent that like stuff like this podcast that we're doing, like the fact that the fans do so much there's so much YouTube content and podcast content about Taylor. Oh yeah. Search Taylor Swift in a podcast player. There's a lot of Taylor Swift podcasts. Yeah. Maybe I don't think it's strong network economies though.
2:10:38 If I were to take away the framework for a minute and say, Where does Taylor's power comes from? It's the relationship with the fans, which she's built over all these years and all the tiny little micro interactions that she's built to build the brand that she's built with them. And then it comes from her process to be creative.
2:10:57 Which I don't think she has a specific process. I think she has a way of existing in the world that enables her to continually be creative in different ways. And Those things I think are probably hard to fit into the powers framework, but those to me are the two big
2:11:12 Reasons. that she's able to wield a pretty big sword in all of this. The latter of those, I think. Is exactly process power. Right.
2:11:21 It's kinda like Packie's process power, where it's like I can't really explain it but it And and she even says in the tiny d the N PR Tiny Desk session, she's like, By the way This song and I think she's talking about Lover. She's like it felt like cheating to write because I did no work. I woke up in the middle of the night
2:11:40 I went over to my piano, I started voice memos and I played the chorus ex basically exactly here as you hear it on the album. And it felt like cheating because usually songwriting takes work. And then she kind of caught herself. She's like, actually, songwriting is completely different every time and there's no process for it. Probably everybody listening has a smartphone. Has voice memos if it's a
2:12:01 Apple phone or some equivalent on Android. probably can get access to a piano. And yet you cannot write like Taylor Swift. Alright, playbook. Oh, so much to talk about in playbook.
2:12:16 I feel like you have a bunch. You wanna start? Huh. Productivity has been skyrocketing. And
2:12:23 her skill and the complexity of her songs has also been increasing. I think if you go look at any rankings, Rolling Stone has a ranking of every single one of Taylor Swift's songs. The top Ten twenty thirty is pretty loaded with recent stuff.
2:12:39 So she's sort of like on two different axes, on quality and quantity. increasing. And so she has this like unbelievable quadratic effect. To the value that her music creates in the world, if you want to phrase it in a really sterile way, but the impact
2:12:55 that her music has and the amount of emotion she's able to create for people, which I think is just remarkable. Amazing observation. I love the way you phrase that. I think that's Swifty. Taylor, if you're listening, I'm sorry that I called your music uh value. I can't recreate it. Because so many of these are like undeniably laudable for Taylor. There's one that I want to call out that's worth throwing in. She's able to bend the truth a little bit or tell a specific version of the truth a little bit that usually ends up to her benefit. And often it benefits everyone involved. Sometimes it doesn't.
2:13:27 But I mean there's a bunch of different examples of this. One being she s initially said Kanye didn't call for approval. Which we know he did, but just not the full approval. Okay, fine. She said she woke up to finding out at the same time the rest of the world did that her albums were sold. According to Big Machine
2:13:47 They'd sent her a text the night before. Maybe she didn't see it. Of course her dad was also a major shareholder. Okay, he didn't show up to the meeting. But there's a little bit of like She wanted to tell a clean story there. Another example, she was never offered the chance at at her masters, that she had to earn them back one at a time. Not totally clear. Maybe she could have put in an offer to buy them.
2:14:08 This is my worst case scenario. Is it really or is that the most dramatic way to put it? And I don't think any of these things are necessarily untruthful. There's a very good chance all this is the way that she perceives these in her head. So she is speaking the truth as she experiences it, but it it is a uh she's very good at finding the version that she can tell the world that has the most possible impact. And as we've said many times, she is a tremendous storyteller. You know what this is.
2:14:37 Well, there's like nothing more acquired than what this is. It's a reality distortion field. Oh, she's the Steve Jobs of music? Absolutely. She totally is. I think she's the Michael Ovitz, too. There's so many ways that she leverages her self appointed position as the music industry's resident loud person to beat up the centralized power and and benefit the artists. Totally.
2:15:02 one big one that I have that is gonna spiral here a little bit, and then I'll hand it over to you afterwards is the litany of disruptions that happened, like actual low-end disruptions, like Christians esque that led to where we are today and Taylor's remarkable ability to use them as catalysts for herself and jump on new things.
2:15:23 So It's cheaper than ever to record your own music. It's cheaper than ever to produce and mix your own music. You have the opportunity by going viral to get an insane amount of free marketing on places like TikTok, where she's always commenting back and forth with fans or Spotify playlists or Tumblr or Twitter. Yeah. Then of course distribution in addition to marketing is also free since you no longer need to print CDs or mail them.
2:15:47 And then on top of that retail stores don't really exist, so there's no retail markup. So this and the rise of social media all at the same time, the fact that The VMAs incident wouldn't be the VMAs incident without Twitter. Like that was a catalyzing event of why everyone was talking about this. It's like the tree falling in the forest problem.
2:16:07 Kanye grabs the microphone and there's no Twitter. Did it happen? Yes. So there have been uh like a compounding set of waves that have all collapsed and she has been very effective at making sure to ride where they all peak together. Yeah. Right, so that was my big long one. Over to you. Okay.
2:16:22 First one that we talked about at the beginning of the episode is like the whole teenagers don't listen to country music narrative. Who wouldn't love country music? It's music and storytelling. People love music, people love stories. It's just that nobody was making country music for teenagers. She showed up, she made country music for teenagers.
2:16:40 Yeah. And you see that all over the tech industry and startups and et cetera. To the reinvent or die. There are two aspects to this. I have so much respect for H reinventing herself literally every single time. Like that is so hard to do for an artist for a company.
2:16:57 And yet if you don't do that, you die. I think it's also even harder for women to do that, like women artists specifically, like I think that male artists and bands and the like
2:17:09 can get away with not having to reinvent themselves for longer. Yes. And they don't have the, you know, turning thirty or turning thirty five problem where they're no longer Sex symbols. And this is all stuff she says in Miss Americana. Yeah. So not only is she like best in the world at doing this, like she does it with the dick. Stacked against her in a lot of ways. And then three.
2:17:29 Which is totally an acquired theme. Or we aspire to be She treats her audience like they're smart. Yes. And so few other people do at the scale that she does.
2:17:40 she understands the power and the value of her audience and so she spends a remarkable amount of time catering to them and building things for them and interacting with them. To my original point on the way that she tells her favorite version of the truth in some of these situations to create the largest impact. I think the savviest people in her audience.
2:18:00 could be spoken to in a little bit more of a nuanced way. Right. When you think of how she speaks to two hundred million people versus how you know, traditional media used to speak to two hundred million people. Like it's very different. Yes. Follow me on this one. The free download in ninety nine killed the CD sale. which was the cash cow of the industry. I mean for everyone, artist labels everyone.
2:18:22 So then iTunes along and individual song purchases start to save it. But don't nearly make up for the lost revenue. Streaming. takes off like crazy.
2:18:33 And then CDs really stop selling, so the primary revenue driver for labels and artists is gone. Streaming makes some money, but that revenue generated from streams that goes to the labels to be divvyed up doesn't nearly match what the CDs matched in revenue. So there's this big sort of like missing revenue gap. So all the revenue shifts toward performance royalties then. So we're in the situation where
2:19:01 In order to make money, it's touring and it's merch at this point, since streaming doesn't make a lot of money and CDs are dead. So record companies then interestingly got obsessed with Did you hear about the concept of the three sixty deal? Yes.
2:19:16 So they're trying to capture revenue even if they're not helping you create the album and you're overproducing revenue on your own on their side. They're like, Oh, we're your label, so you know, we're we're involved in everything your brand does. And we're gonna help you do everything. Blah, yeah, sure. So where does this leave us? Basically what it means is the industry is just gonna have to make it up on volume. But because streaming pays out so much less We're just gonna need a lot more streams. Now is this gonna happen?
2:19:42 Here's where there's an interesting argument, and this the the Donald Passman book is so good in bringing up two points in the introduction. And these two points are At the peak in nineteen ninety nine, an average CD buyer spent about forty five dollars per year on CDs. Today, with streaming averaging seven dollars a month, that average spent per customer has gone up to eighty-four dollars. So you have almost a two X in terms of
2:20:06 Consumer spend. Now let's look at like the number of consumers that are doing this. Well in the old days. When you were done in with your twenties, you basically stopped buying records. And you stop buying CDs.
2:20:20 You kinda had your musical taste, you had your collection, you weren't really listening to the new stuff anymore and you certainly weren't buying it. You only ever heard it on the radio, which was free. And today people of all ages are paying for streaming every month from like You know, four year olds listening to stuff that four year olds listen to on Spotify all the way to like
2:20:38 You know. Grandma having a Spotify subscription. Can confirm children like music. So there's like very real TA expansion, both in terms of the amount consumers will spend as everyone fully shifts to streaming and the number of people who will behave that way. So it's just sort of about like okay, well then How do we divvy up those dollars? Cause there should be more dollars than ever flowing in.
2:21:01 Look at you. Daniel X should have come and talked to you before he talked to Taylor. Well all all credit goes to Donald Passman. Fair enough. Fair enough. Alright, so my last one that I want to dive into a little bit here are That advances interestingly are
2:21:17 A clear sign of a power law dynamic. where you mentioned it's like book publishing. We talked about how it's like venture. It's the same thing in all these things. Music books and startups where having the big winners in your portfolio is really what matters. At one point I had a book agent tell me that America basically picks one book a year to all read together. You know, it's the Michelle Obama book or it's whatever it's gonna be. And
2:21:41 You don't know what that's gonna be ahead of time. And so You kind of don't really care that much about recouping your advances and the losers. All you care about is making it so that in your portfolio, you get the book that America reads every year. And It's just so similar to venture capital. And the way that the payback works is so similar to where
2:22:01 Okay, an advance and then you recoup against the royalties. Well, what's preferred stock? You know, the first X amount goes. to the capital provider uh you know in exchange for the capital they've provided, and then they participate with some split in whatever outcome is after that. And I don't wanna quite get into the nuances of like participating preferred and how it's slightly different, but The fact of the matter is.
2:22:23 These Contracts that seem predatory And I'm not gonna argue yet that they're not predatory, but what they're doing is basically making sure that they cover their losses. And there's this interesting human nature thing where
2:22:36 If you look around and you're the winner and you realize you're the one subsidizing everyone else, it's really easy to forget that. you had an equal chance of failing If someone was to underwrite you, so you're like, why am I paying so much back to this original capital provider? I hate being locked into this deal. But that deal was theoretically whatever the market clearing price was in order to take the risk.
2:23:00 on you as a young startup author or artist. And the only place where this falls down, which I think is what I want to do this episode instead of value creation, value capture. Is In order for this really to be fair, in order for these terms to truly be market price, You
2:23:20 Need the labels to not be making a ton of profit. If they're very profitable on like a free cash flow basis, like all the way full bottom line if they're printing money. then what you could say is, geez, is this an oligopoly? There's only three people here, so there's not actually a good competition
2:23:38 among the people that want to give you money as an advance in order to, you know, do all the stuff that a record label does. These businesses aren't that good of businesses. But like It's an oligopoly. It's an oligopoly. Yeah.
2:23:52 It's just like the old school V C industry when there were like five firms. And of course they got great deals'cause there were five firms and now it's way more competitive and Founders get way better deals. And to underscore the power law, the stat is that last year the earnings of the top one percent of artists in each music category accounted for seventy eight percent of revenue of all music sales. It's parallel. It really is. It looks like eighty twenty to me. Yes.
2:24:17 All right listeners. Now is a great time to thank our longtime friend of the show, ServiceNow. If you are running a large enterprise, AI agents are likely spread across every team, and deploying them is uh no longer the hard part. Yeah. The hard part is knowing what permissions they have, what employees are using them for, or what decisions AI is making. AI security for an enterprise at scale is not a small concern. Like the risk
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2:26:05 Okay. So grading. It's kinda weird, we're like grating Taylor here. So streaming did save the music industry. Sort of. I mean the more money was made by the music industry in paid streaming subscriptions alone in twenty twenty than the entire industry made across all formats in twenty fifteen. Streaming is a gigantic revenue driver.
2:26:26 But To be honest, none of the dollar figures in anything that we've talked about. are actually that big. The music business is is like just small. compared to the software businesses that we cover. And here was like the way that I want to show that, David, is
2:26:41 Would TechCrunch even cover a three hundred million dollar exit? No. I mean if they would, nobody would read it, right? Right. It's like sure, there might be a Tech Wrench article. It wouldn't be the biggest deal that day. Certainly. No.
2:26:56 investment amounts into companger than that. And here we hinge the whole thing on this gigantic exit. of Taylor's music catalog for three hundred million dollars. Like It's just not that much money.
2:27:09 We had Sam SPF from FTX on. who's younger than Taylor and you know awesome. That was a great episode. And I love it the end when he was like Mario asked him. what he feels about our current age and we live in the age of social media.
2:27:22 No worries this more. uh applicable than the current episode. He's the wealthiest person, I think, under thirty in the world. Because he Works in technology and started a
2:27:35 cryptocurrency firm. Well, he works in modestly regulated finance using technology. Yeah. Tailor for everything we've just discussed over a long period of time. Is worth half a billion. That's a big disconnect, it feels like, relative to like influence versus Economics.
2:27:53 Celebrity does not equal economics. Yep. And so just looking at some other deals, Bruce Springsteen's entire catalog just sold for five hundred million dollars. John Legend mid-career just sold his, there wasn't a number attached to that. Even Bob Dylan's entire catalog of more than six hundred songs. was around three hundred million dollars. So you're like, Okay, well maybe the music royalties just aren't worth that much. The entire industry of recorded music is only a fourteen billion dollar
2:28:22 industry. That is less than one tenth. of the video game industry, which is one hundred and seventy billion dollars. Music just is not that big. And if you look at the music industry as a whole, which includes tours.
2:28:35 Okay, it's a forty billion dollar industry. Still not that big. Which even That big number is about one tenth of Apple's revenue. Right.
2:28:47 All the money anyone makes on anything in music every year. Is about Ten percent of what Apple makes just in revenue on their products. And My favorite way to
2:28:57 The entire music industry's revenue. That's including all the concerts and touring and everything. is about equivalent. to best buy his revenue.
2:29:08 Or if you want another comp, American Airlines. Oh wow. Best Buy actually I feel like has done a pretty good job as of late, you know, staying alive and relevant. But yeah, oh wow. That's such a good point. Crazy.
2:29:23 I hear that and I feel like there's More opportunity for Taylor and other artists to Do other things and make more money. Or just gotta find a better way to monetize music. I mean, it is such a meaningful part of all of our lives.
2:29:37 Maybe this is part of the motivation of um Miss Americana and the long pond studio sessions and the all too well short film like Taylor's tried she's been in a bunch of movies as an actress and like you know, that's not like obviously gonna be a big thing for her, but like She can make her own movies, do her own deals with Netflix, and maybe that's a way to make a lot more money.
2:29:55 There's a thing to grade that's not like all of Taylor's career. So I it's probably worth doing grading Ithaca's purchase. Of Big machine. There's another one that's grading Shamrock's purchase.
2:30:07 of Taylor's masters. And then there's a third one, which is What price would you pay for those masters today? Which I think is sort of a fun one. It's not quite greeting, but Big machine selling when they did was a great decision.
2:30:22 And big machine shareholders should be excited by that. It was A the only decision and B Selling. While Taylor was still friendly. Amazing. Still amicable relationships. So Taylor absolutely the right move.
2:30:36 By the way, just for fun, I did a calculation on if you own three percent a big machine like Scott Swift. at the time of the sale. you would have turned your hundred and twenty K
2:30:50 Of initial investment. into nine million dollars by selling to Scooter Braun. Which represents a seventy five X. Not bad. Not bad. Not bad. Now was that a good
2:31:00 Decision for Ithaca. Well They made a pretty quick buck. Bye. Flipping.
2:31:07 eighty percent of that three hundred million Also for three hundred million then to Shamrock. They got their principal back. quickly. Yes. And more. I mean They own whatever, you know, the value of the remaining twenty percent of the assets are.
2:31:21 But now if you're Shamrock I don't think I would pay three hundred billion dollars. Feels like a pretty bad deal. There has never been a more overvalued asset in the music industry than the masters for Taylor Swift's original albums at three hundred million today. Not only is she actively devaluing them, but the whole industry is at complete. peak for what people are willing to pay for assets. Like some people are even
2:31:44 Calling it a bubble. in the music industry just like they are in public equities or in startups. I think Shamrock and the Disney family are gonna be left holding the bag on this investment that they'll never recoup. Which is uh the great irony of Taylor Swift not recouping. Right.
2:32:00 Great. Oh boy. It certainly seems that way. I mean. Yeah, things could change. But uh how? Taylor's committed to this project now. Like even if Taylor. And Shamrock were to smooth things over and have good relationships again. She're remaking them.
2:32:19 She's gonna want the new versions. Maybe. I d there still may be some deal that can be cut where you're like, I want scooter out entirely, sell me this thing, or I'm gonna make it worth, you know, thirty million dollars to you and she might be able to buy'em for a bargain basement price and stop doing this. But That's What Ben Thompson thought Before Red came out.
2:32:38 It also it's I don't know, it seems like she's an artist. She creates and she enjoys it. It seems like she's enjoying doing this. I think that's right. Yeah, seems like pretty bad deal for Tamrak. All right, what do you want to grade? Mm. Taylor Swift's career, unprecedented, unbelievable, A plus, like my God, and the
2:32:57 change that she's affecting along with it. Amazing. I mean it actually kinda reminds me of like Elon Musk, where people love to hate on Elon Musk because oh my god, he's so rich and look at all this money he's making. He's making all this positive change for the world. At least I believe that. And getting rich while doing it, which you probably should be if you're
2:33:16 making the change on the level that he's making. And like, do I care that Taylor Swift is benefiting from all these deals? While also advocating for Artists. No, I think I kinda think she should.
2:33:29 So I have no grip with that. I mean shocking the two people who host this acquired podcast about technology and Ca capitalism. No grapes with somebody making money, yeah. Musically We have anti gripes with it. Productively, financially And the way that she's affecting change it's just an A plus.
2:33:48 Yeah. She's a genius. No other way around it. Alright, quick carve outs. I can't recommend strongly enough the Beatles documentary. Oh, nice. Oh, I gotta watch that. By Peter Jackson, get back. It is like hanging out with ghosts is the best way I can describe it. The original footage and it's clearly restored'cause it's like very high quality footage. of John, Paul, George, and Ringo and you're spending
2:34:12 It's like Eight hours is many hours cut across three parts. You're just hanging out with them. while they are creating an album from nothing in a matter of a month. And it is Especially for those of us who grew up seeing pictures of Beatles, listening to the Beatles
2:34:28 music and only ever seeing like a little video here or there and usually poor quality. I think for the first hour of it I was just spending like being in a state of shock that I was just hanging out in a room informally with the Beatles. For mine, I've got a fun One.
2:34:42 That we've talked about much over on the LP show. Go check it out on PLP the now newly public. L P feed. For everyone. Uh and we are both wearing right now.
2:34:52 Italic. Yes. We did a little partnership. with them for some acquired gear for recent guests and us and our significant others and uh
2:35:04 It's just such high quality stuff. I love it. Great. Yeah, totally agree. All right, listeners. Now is a great time to talk about one of our
2:35:13 Favorite companies, Statseg. Yes, there is a reason why the best product teams rely on StatSig, whether they are iterating on their core product features or shipping AI powered experiences at scale. Yeah. In the crazy speed of today's AI world. Shipping fast is just table stakes now.
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2:36:09 All right, well listeners, with that If you're not in the Slack, you should. B. Honestly, I've met so many awesome people there and it's really cool to learn from so many of you.
2:36:21 And if you like talking about the news of the day with an intelligent group of people, who uh are into the stuff you're into, you should join at acquired.fm slash slack. I will Take the episode off from telling you to become an LP this time to just say if you've always thought about it. but uh don't know what that sort of content is. That content is all public from the back catalog now and the new stuff is just available to LPs for a couple weeks. So go look at the whole back catalog.
2:36:48 And we'll put a link uh in the show notes or just search acquired LP show in any podcast player. Including Spotify. We've got a job board. It's great. You should join that if you're looking for something new. Or feel free to submit jobs on there. We only pick the ones that David and I think are interesting. So if you want a view of what we think the interesting jobs are, go to acquired.fm slash jobs. And then lastly
2:37:11 If you wanna tweet about this, we would love that. We actually would love it even more if you just share one to one with your friends, because we think that strong connections are the best connections. And uh you can find us right along TaylorSwift on Spotify and in all of your favorite podcast players. Literally right next to Taylor Swift. Immediately next to Taylor is acquired. With that.
2:37:34 We will see you next time. We'll see you next time. Who got the truth? Is it you, is it you, is it you Who got the truth now? Oh.
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