Transcript
#388 Jeff Bezos's Shareholder Letters: All of Them!
0:00 I will be in New York City on May twenty seventh. I'm doing a live show. I will be interviewed by my friend Patrick O'Shaughnessy. At Ramp's headquarters. This event is free to attend. I'll leave the link down below if you want to register.
0:13 The link will be down in the show notes. I'm gonna be doing several live events. uh at ramps headquarters over the next twelve to twenty four months. So even if you can't make this one, make sure you register so you get notified. For the next one. The event this event isn't reserved. Just for ramp customers.
0:27 But future events will be because space is limited. So if you aren't already running your business on ramp. highly recommend that you do so. I run my business on ramp. Most of the top founders and CEOs that I know. Do so as well. There's actually an idea. From Jeff Bezos' shareholder letters. that I think is related to this and really just good advice for anyone in business. And it's Jeff's idea
0:49 on the importance of heavily investing. into new introductions for new customers. As you're about to hear. Jeff was very adamant, very clear from day one. that he was going to build an enduring, long lasting business. He was not interested at all
1:03 in building an undifferentiated commodity business. He wanted to build something that delivered more value to customers than anyone else in the world, and he believed that he could succeed at that goal better than anyone else. And you'll hear in this episode that If you believed what Jeff believed.
1:19 Then you would do what Jeff was doing. And Because Jeff believed he had he was building a winning system. This is the way I think about it. And if you're doing that, it makes a lot of sense to say this. This is what Jeff wrote in one of his shareholders. We will continue to invest heavily in introductions to new customers.
1:35 These are the early days of category formation where many customers are forming relationships for the first time. We must work hard to grow the number. of customers who shop with us. He saw what Jeff saw. Was that people who started to use Amazon tended to stick around because of the value that they received from Amazon? I was one of those people.
1:56 that he was trying to introduce Amadon to, and I've been a customer of his for twenty one straight years. The lesson here is like if you believe that you have the best product then you should do everything you can to get more people into your winning system. Ramp is doing the exact same thing today. And I have a mind blowing stat that will demonstrate
2:15 They are right to believe that they've built a product that delivers more value to their customers than anyone else in the world is capable of, just like Jeff did with Amazon. Last year twelve thousand and fifty nine businesses signed up to use the ramp corporate card. Okay. Only eight. Of those twelve thousand and fifty nine businesses decided ramp wasn't for them. That is a success rate. A success rate.
2:38 of ninety nine point nine three three three three three three three four percent If you have not yet started running your business on ramp, go to ramp.com today. Time. And
2:51 Money. I hope to see you in New York. And I hope you enjoy this episode. So this is the fourth or fifth time that I've read Jeff Bezos' Shareholder Letters. Every single time I read them. They're they're full of such great ideas, such clear thinking, such great strategy.
3:04 I always think, hey, I should probably reread these. every year and make another episode about them. And in case you haven't read them yet. This is the best thing, the best description I've ever heard. Of why they're so important.
3:15 says to read Bezos' sharehold letters is to get a crash course in running a high growth internet business. From someone who mastered it. before any of the playbooks were written. So what I wanna do is I'm gonna go in order by Yeah.
3:29 I'm just gonna pull out a bunch of what I think are the best ideas. And I think one of the main ideas that you learn from Bezos and his shareholder letters is that if you if you want to be the best at what you're doing if the people that survive and thrive for decades, usually what you'll find, and you see this in the biographies as well. Is they just identify a handful of principles.
3:47 They repeat these principles year after year and they they organize their entire company. And orient the company. And the mission around these principles. And one of the things that jumps out about Jeff that he was very adamant about from day one is the title of his very first shareholder. That title is it's all about the long term. This letter is the most important let letter.
4:08 That Jeff Writes. And he tells you that because he appends it. the nineteen ninety seven shareholder letter to every single shareholder letter he's gonna write over the next twenty three years. So it says it is day one for the internet. And if we execute well for Amazon dot com.
4:24 Today online commerce saves customers money and precious time. Tomorrow through personalization online commerce Will accelerate the very process of discovery. Amazon dot com uses the internet. to create real value for its customers.
4:39 And by doing so hopes to create an enduring Franchise, remember that word enduring. He uses it a lot. From day one he was going to build A durable, long lasting business. I just heard a great interview he did with Aaron uh Aaron Ross Sorkin.
4:53 Uh where he says. From day one, he wanted to build a company that could outlive him, that continues on past his own mortal lifetime. So uh so we create an enduring franchise, even in established and large markets. You know, retailing is an ancient industry. This is what he's jumping into. And he figures okay, the internet is a technology, the phenomenon that we're actually going to utilize so we can add a differentiated uh and create differentiated value for our customers through the the internet.
5:19 We have a window of opportunity as larger players marshal the resources to pursue the online opportunity, and as customers new to purchasing online. are receptive to forming new relationships. Our goal is to move quickly. To solidify and extend our current position. while we begin to pursue the online commerce opportunities in other areas.
5:40 We sort of. in the large markets we are targeting. This strategy is not without risk. It requires serious investment. And crisp execution.
5:51 Against established leaders. So then he continues. The next section. So the overall letters called it's all about the long term. Then inside each letter he'll have different categories, different sections. This this section, the very first section in the letter, is called It's All About the Long Term.
6:07 And he's laying out his entire strategy here, which is really, really incredible that he wrote this in nineteen ninety seven. We believe that a fundamental measure of our success will be the shareholder value we create over the long term. And he italicized long term. The stronger our market leadership The more powerful our economic model. The market leadership can translate to higher revenue.
6:27 Higher profitability. greater capital velocity. and correspondingly stronger returns on investing capital. So in this very first shareholder letter, he's setting the tone, say we're gonna focus on the long term and we're gonna focus on cash flow. And this is why somebody asked me one time
6:42 out of everybody, you know, out of every single person I've read about, who do you who would I think is the best strategist? And the two names that came to mind without hesitation. was Rockefeller and Bezos. And I think the strategy the the clearest demonstration of basis strategy. is actually in his shareholder letters. You just see how he understands how everything relates. Everything he's doing
7:01 can relate to something else. It's very fascinating. We have invested and will continue to invest aggressively. to expand and leverage our customer base. Brand. in infrastructure as we move to establish an enduring franchise.
7:14 There's that word again. We are Five paragraphs into this, maybe six paragraphs into this, he's already used enduring twice. Because of our emphasis on the long term We may make decisions and weigh trade offs differently than some other companies. We want to make sure to share with you our fundamental management and decision making approach, our strategy in other words.
7:34 So that you, our shareholders May confirm that it's consistent with your investment. Philosophy. We will continue. to focus relentlessly on
7:45 our customers. So there's two things I want to stop. Uh there. That's that's really interesting about Jeff. is one he toyed around with the idea. of a of naming Amazon. Relentless.
7:54 He was gonna instead of Amazon.com, it was gonna be relentless.com. In fact, to this day, when you type in relentless.com, It forwards he still owns that domain. Forwards to Amazon.com. And then this idea of We're gonna relentlessly focus on our customers. Really the way he describes that over and over again, he says, We are going to obsess
8:13 We're going to obsess over our customers. Amazon has I think fourteen leadership principles that they they publish online and they share inside the company. And a friend of mine one time made the observation that I think was pretty astute. They don't really have fourteen Principle is they have one. And it could everything ties back to we are going to obsess over customers. He says this
8:33 Yeah, in the shareholder letters. I shared this a few weeks ago when I did that that podcast on Akeo Marito, founder of Sony, Jeff Bezos studied Akio. If you haven't listened to the episode, you probably should. uh Steve Jobs studied a Keyo. Why are all these great entrepreneurs studying the sky? Why are they taking ideas from him? And and Jeff said in an interview later on that one of the things that he learned uh when he studied a Key and that he used to build Amazon is the importance of having a mission Bigger than yourself and bigger than your company. And in Kito's case is like, you know, Jet.
8:58 He's starting a company in Japan in eighteen forty six. It's known for cheap. Crappy. copycat products and he's like we are going to make Japan known for quality. Not Sony. We're gonna make Japan known for quality products. And Jeff's version of this is that
9:11 We are going to build a little bit of a little bit of a little Earth. Most Customer centric. Company.
9:17 And He wanted to influence how other people built their business and the fact that he believed that Your business should be oriented around Obsessing over customers and I'll talk about this over and over again.
9:29 That especially at the time he was writing these letters. It's very Almost parad people thought it was like a paradox. And Jeff's made the point that The long term interest Of the customer.
9:39 are in perfect o perfect alignment with the long term interest of the shareholder and that's something he's gonna talk about a lot. But again. We will continue to focus relentlessly on our customers. We will make bold
9:50 Rather than timid investment decisions where we see a sufficient probability of gaining market leadership advantages. Some of these investments will pay off. Others will not. And we will have learned another valuable lesson in either case. And this is another thing I admire about Jeff.
10:06 He's one of my favorite living entrepreneurs. He actually walks the walk. He like takes his own advice. So he's like, listen, right from the rip. We're gonna Do a lot of experiments. We are going to swing for the fences. We're gonna make bold bets. We're not gonna be timid. We're gonna build something that no one else on the planet is capable of doing. We're gonna deliver more valuable to anybody else. He makes his point later on.
10:24 That You have to if you're willing to make a difference and you want to invent and be a pioneer, which is very important to Jeff, Jeff doesn't describe himself as an entrepreneur, he describes himself as an inventor. He says, Therefore, as your company succeeds and grows, The your success will scale, but your failures have to scale too. And so he writes unabashedly later on, you know, we have multi billion dollar failures.
10:47 And we will continue to have a Ten billion dollar failures because we are going to keep doing these bold bets that he lays out in ninety seven in the very first Shareholder letter. remarkable when you read all these together. They're so great. They should be mandatory uh in any kind of business uh education. When forced to choose between optimizing the appearance of our gap accounting.
11:06 and maximizing the present value of future cash flows. We will take a The cash flows. We will work hard to spend wisely and maintain our lean culture. We understand the importance of continually reinforcing a cost.
11:18 Consciousness Culture. So there's a lot of Sam Walton esque ideas. when you study bases. And this is not something that he hid by any means, in fact.
11:29 He would go around giving copies of Sam Walton's autobiography. With his own highlights and annotations to early leaders in Amazon. And that where it says we will work hard to spend wisely, maintain our lean culture, we understand the importance of continually Reinforcing a cross conscious culture.
11:44 Sounds exactly like Sam Walter would say exactly the same thing. We will balance our focus on growth with emphasis on long term profitability and capital management at this stage. We choose to prioritize growth. Because we believe that scale is central to achieving the potential of our business model. I condense that down to a maximum that I've shared with other
12:05 founders and other companies when I go speak there. Get big fast. This is the part of the strategy. that Bezos just understood the advantage. He's like I have to move and I have to go Right now. Because scale is central to achieving the potential of our business model. He knew it from day one.
12:20 We aren't so bold. That's a claim. That these ideas is are the right investment philosophy. But it's ours. And we would be remiss if we weren't clear in the approach we have taken and will continue to take.
12:32 Again, it's good he he's attracting the right shareholders, try attracting the right employees, track the right investors and partners. by just saying, Hey, this is what's important to me, this is how I'm gonna go about about it. If you agree, then come along with this ride. Next section. This is what I mean. Next section is named Obsession. over customers. It is remarkable.
12:50 As we go through twenty three years of this. how many of these ideas he just can he repeats them and he talks about how he continuously applies them. And he applies them in in many surprising ways, but he identified these principles very, very early. From the beginning, our focus has been on offering our customers compelling value. We realize that the web was and still is the world wide weight. Therefore we set out to offer customers something they simply couldn't get any other way.
13:14 And began serving them with books. We brought them Much more selection. than was possible in a physical store. So If he
13:22 Amazon at this time when they're just selling books. was able if it was if you could contain a all their inventory in one store, it would be over six football fields. March. And we presented this inventory in a useful, easy to search and easy to browse format in a store that's opened three hundred and sixty five days a year, twenty four hours a day.
13:40 We maintained a dogged Focus. on improving the shopping experience. We dramatically lowered prices. further increasing customer value. Word of mouth remains the most powerful customer acquisition tool.
13:54 That we have. Now I do want to point out something else because This is why I'm obsessed with people. that survive and thrive and can succeed over multiple decades. I'm not interested in being successful for a year. not interesting resources for five years. I wanna keep it
14:07 forever and that is unbelievably difficult. Uh the tiniest percentage of businesses are able to do that, tiny percentage of people to do that. This is why you and I get together every week and we study these these anomalies. People are just so unusual. The reason I point this out, right? We went back hey, to read Bezos' shareholder letters to get a crash course and running a high growth internet business from someone who mastered it before any of the playbooks were written. The idea that this guy started An internet business in ninety four.
14:34 And it's still surviving and thriving more successful it's ever been. It's remarkable. And I need to point it out because even in his first shareholder letters like hey, we're establishing long term relationships. There's that word again. We're establishing long term relationships with many important strategic partners. Guess what? I'm gonna list off all these strategic partners. None of them exist anymore. This is so crazy.
14:56 These partners include America Online. Yahoo. I guess Yahoo kind of exists still. Uh Apollo still owns it, but You get the point. Excite. Netscape, Geo Cities, Alta Vista, at home.
15:08 And Prodigy all gone. Amazon still survives. And he sets the tone right right away, says this in the first shareholder letter, says it through all these speeches I've heard. This Isn't going to be easy.
15:19 It's not supposed to if you're trying to do something great and enduring, it's That's supposed to be easy. To go into it with that expectation. Setting the bar high in our approach to hiring has been and will continue to be the single most important element of Amazon's success. It is not. Easy to work here. We are working to build something important.
15:36 Something that matters to our customers. Something that we can tell our grandchildren about. Such a Things aren't meant to be easy. There is This is the magic of studying these stories. You can hear just a single line.
15:51 You can read an entire book. You can read, you know Yeah. Four hundred pages. Just a line will hit you. I think about that all the time.
16:00 This idea where it's like, Hey, I wanna build I think that's such a great Principle for your life. Try to build something that you can tell your grandkids about. Да you can be proud. And tell your grandkids, This is how I spent my life. This is what I built. This is what I created. I think that's
16:17 It'd be unbelievably satisfying if we can do that. We are still in the early stages of learning how to bring new value to our customers through in through the internet. We now know vastly more about online commerce than when we found when Amazon was founded. But we still have so much to learn. Though we're optimistic, we must remain vigilant and maintain a sense
16:35 of urgency. He has another line he says over and over again, step by step, ferociously. He is willing to be patient. he is willing to focus on the long term, but he wants you to take your day to day steps. Ferociously. I love this. Next year.
16:49 The title of this one is Obsessions. Yeah. Repetition is persuasive. We will see over and over again. He he he starts all these letters with the same idea. We are working to build a place where tens of millions of customers can come to find and discover anything they might want to buy online. It is truly day one for the internet.
17:05 And if we execute our business plan Well, it remains day one for Amazon. We think The opportunities and risks ahead of us are even greater than those behind us. We will have to make many conscious and deliberate choices, some of which will be bold.
17:20 And unconventional. Hopefully, some will turn out to be winners. Certainly some will turn out to be mistakes. Said the exact same thing. Different used a slightly different language.
17:31 Uh say the exact same thing. In the first shareholder letter. Heads down focus on customers. have helped us to make substantial progress. We intend
17:41 The world's most customer centric company. That is the mission greater than himself, greater than Amazon. But there is no rest for the weary. I constantly remind our employees to be afraid.
17:52 To wake up every morning terrified. На в ар компетиці. But of our customers is another idea that's very similar to what Sam Walton said. Our customers.
18:03 Have made our business what it is. They're the ones with whom we have a relationship and they're the ones to whom we owe a great obligation. And we consider them to be loyal to us. Right up until the second. That someone else offers them a better service.
18:17 When I read that I think of what Sam Walton said in his autobiography. that there's only one boss and that is the customer. And they can fire us. Any time they want.
18:26 By spending their money. Elsewhere. We must be committed to constant improvement. Experimentation. and innovation in every initiative. We love to be pioneers.
18:36 Jeff loves the word pioneer, so he uses it over and over again. It's in the DNA of the company and it's a good thing. Because we'll need that pioneering spirit to succeed. We're proud of the differentiation we've built through constant innovation and relentless focus on customer experience. It would be impossible.
18:52 To produce results in an environment as dynamic as the internet. Without extraordinary people. Working to create a little bit of history is not supposed to be easy. Repetition is persuasive over and over again. And we're finding that things are as they supposed to be. Setting the bar bar high in our approach to hiring has been. And will continue to be the single most important element of Amazon's success.
19:14 I feel you and I talk about this every week. It's in almost every book. These people lived at different times, they didn't know each other, they worked in different industries, lived in different parts of the world, yet they still arrived at similar conclusions through trial and error, through experience. And one of the things that they all arrive at is like, hey, Talent.
19:30 Is the most you have to work with the smartest, most talented people you possibly can find. overpay for talent'cause talent's uh it's really hard to overpay for talent, right? Yeah. Everybody knows that. Yeah, work with the very best people. Set the bar high as high as possible. It's the most important thing you could do.
19:46 Think about the there's this interview that is in this company in this book called In the Company of Giants. Which I think I did back on like episode two oh eight or something. And in nineteen ninety seven, these two Stanford MBA students Or Doing interviews with like sixteen uh technology company COs. Michael Dell's in there, Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, and Steve Jobs made the point.
20:03 Uh,'cause one of the NBA students said, Hey You know, you don't have Like time to recruit. you're like busy building a company and and Steve's like, No I spent
20:12 A ton of time recruiting. It is the most important thing I do because the pe like the company s will succeed or d thrive or die. on the the talent level we have. And he made the point. He's like, Well, wait, especially when you're starting out, you pick a co-founder. That's half of your company. You should spend a lot of time really think about that. He goes, You get to Person number ten, that's still ten percent of your company. His whole point's like you're not doing your job if you're not spending a ton of your time.
20:36 Doing everything you possibly can. What Jim Simon said last week. uh with Renaissance technology. It's like once you identify the smartest people, you go Do as as much as you can to convince them to join you. Now everybody knows
20:49 The reason I'm saying this is I'm kinda digressing here. Because everybody knows the advice. Almost nobody does that. Almost nobody does it because it's so hard. It's Easy to understand.
21:00 Very impossible'cause, you know, the best people are very hard. There's not many of them. And they're very hard. To to convince and to recruit. That's why you have to spend so much time doing it. But Jeff gives us some actual I like ideas, like okay. How can you actually
21:14 figure out if your hiring bar is high. And if th these people are g actually going to like elevate the current employees that you have. And so he just lays this out. He says during our hiring meetings we ask people to consider three questions before making a decision. Number one Will you admire this person?
21:30 I've always tried hard to work only with people I admire. Life is definitely too short to do otherwise. The second thing he says, Will this person raise the average level of effectiveness of the group that they're entering? And he has a very clear to think about this. We want to fight entropy. The bar has to continuously go up.
21:48 And the third one is very fascinating. says along what dimensions. Might this person be a superstar? And the way I think about this is something You and I have been talking about the last few weeks. is this idea of hiring for spikes.
22:01 Talent. Yeah, just likely to be found among nonconformists, dissenters, and rebels. And Just something Steve Jobs talked about. Steve Jobs is an example of this himself.
22:11 Where people are package deals. You have to take the good with the bad. The exceptionally talented people usually have these weird things about them. Let me give an example. Nolan Bushnell, founder of Atari, Steve Jobs mentor. Hires a s a nineteen year old Steve Jobs. He thought he was super talented.
22:26 hired Wozniak as well, the founding team of Apple, for God's sake. And he was willing to to deal with spikes, the fact that they were very creative, they were very good at their jobs. there's people in Nolan Bushnell's organization that complained. They're like Steve Smells,'cause he he w he went wearing deodor back then. He's walking around barefoot and he's insisting to sleep in the office. And Nolan wrote a book about this. It's called Finding the Next Steve Jobs.
22:49 And he's like, I wanted the he's like, I understood the talent and I understood that the talent comes with things that you might not like and I dealt with the the body odor, the the dirty feet, and I let him sleep in the office. Along what dimensions might this person be a superstar. As we look forward, we believe that the overall e commerce opportunity is enormous. Although Amazon has established a strong leadership position, it is certain that competition will even further escalate.
23:12 We plan to invest aggressively to build the foundation for a multi-billion dollar revenue company serving tens of millions of customers. with operational excellence And high Efficiency. So again More repetition from Jeff there.
23:28 The most important thing I could say in this letter was said in last year's letter, which detailed our long term investment approach. Because we have so many new shareholders, we've appended last year's letter immediately after this one. I invite you to please read the section titled It's All About the Long Term. you might wanna read it twice to make sure we're the kind of company
23:46 You want to be invested in. As it says there. We don't claim it's the right philosophy. We just claim It's ours. Next letter.
23:54 Titled. Building for the long term. Yeah. Says we can be uniquely positioned to serve new customers best and benefit as a result. We will maintain a relentless focus. On
24:06 Customers. So then he's gonna describe to us how he sees his own company. At a recent event at Stanford, a young woman came to the microphone and asked me a great question. I have one hundred shares of Amazon. What do I own? Jeff's answer was you own a piece of the leading e commerce platform. We believe that we've reached a tipping point where this platform allows us to launch new
24:27 E commerce businesses faster. Notice he says. New businesses faster. Not new products faster. And what becomes more obvious in time
24:39 Yeah. I I I'm led to believe that he understood this earlier than anybody else did from the outside is Really stop and think about this. Amazon is a company that builds other companies.
24:50 It's very fascinating in nineteen ninety ninety he's like, Okay, we reach tipping point This platform allows us to launch new e commerce businesses faster. With a higher quality of customer experience, a lower incremental cost, a higher chance of success, and a faster path to scale and profitability than any other company. Our vision is to use this platform to build You already know what he's about to say here.
25:09 He's repeated this how many times? Our vision is to use this platform to build earth's Most Customer centric company. I beg you, if you learn anything.
25:18 from this podcast, from these books, it's quit jumping around and focus. Identify a handful of principles For your life and for your work and as a leader of the company. Don't deviate from them. Repeat them over and over again. It's not even my advice. Just read Jeff Basil's showers.
25:35 It's so it's like glaringly obvious. And the reason I bring this up It's because it's obvious in the shareholders. It's obvious in the biographies. I don't think it's at all obvious when you look around and you see the behavior of peer entrepreneurs. They're just jumping around from thing to thing. They haven't found their mission yet. They haven't find their found their life's work. It is obvious.
25:55 Holding this book in my hand and reading these shareholder letters. Jeff Found. He likes work. He knew.
26:02 And this is something we'll talk about later on where he gets great advice from J from a much older entrepreneur. I think Jim Sinegal, the founder of Crossco, is like two decades older than than Jeff. meets with Jeff when he's thirty seven years old. And one of the things that bonded them together. They had all these acquisition offers. Both of them. Like they didn't even consider it for a second.
26:20 They were building a long lasting durable Company. Our vision is to use this platform to build Earth's most customer centric company, as it's probably clear. This platform affords an unusually large scale opportunity, one that should prove very valuable for both customers and shareholders. If we can make the most of it, despite the many risks and complexities we are
26:38 Deeply. Deeply. committed. To doing so. This is where you realise, okay.
26:44 If you have a winning system. Which Jeff has already told us in the first three years. I'm going to build more I'm going to create more value for customers than any other company on earth. Okay, that is what we are going to do. He's
26:54 You clear if you read between the lines, he believes he has the winning system. If you believe you have a better product. A superior product, superior service. What the hell is the most rational thing to do? To get more people into that winning system is exactly what he says here.
27:09 We will continue to invest heavily. In introductions to new customers. Though it's sometimes hard to imagine with all that has happened in the last five years, this remains day one for e-commerce, and these are the early days of category formation. where many customers are forming relationships for the first time. We must work hard to grow the number of customers who shop with us.
27:29 I'm one of those people. That Jeff was targeting. He this is his goal for two thousand. I think a few years later, I think it was maybe two thousand four. I think is when I created my Amazon account. I've I've been Jeff's customer. For twenty
27:41 One. Straight. Years. What was the value of the ad? or the customer experience or however I got introduced into his winning system. What was the value of that?
27:51 This is what I mean about this great strategy. Just like I know that I can deliver value more than anybody else. I know I'm doing this for the long term. I if I invest heavily in customers. I'm gonna be doing this two decades from now. So what is the value for every single if you are in your business for long term? What is the value for every single customer you pick up? Every single good experience
28:08 That you provide. It's this word of mouth. This is why you know I I I spent a lot of time. Yeah, I obviously get a lot of messages and like I don't have like any assistance or I like Like I answer them. I respond to emails and DMs. I can't obviously get to all of them, but like I write them myself.
28:24 And I talked to other people like this. And they're like I was like, What do you do with like all your DMs and messages? And like nothing. And I'm like I that to me that's like crazy. And the reason I I thought about this is because I learned this from Estee Lauder. I was thinking about uh what she would do, you know, in the early days of her company.
28:39 She'd be on the bus or on the train and she'd go to every single store opening. And while she's riding the bus or she's riding the train, she would just like see like a a young woman there. She'd go over, introduce themselves herself. say hey I'm Estee Lauder, I have a real big passion for beauty and yeah, I have all this like would you mind if I give you like a a a free, like quick Makeover. And
28:59 Yeah, she spent twenty or thirty minutes with the person. And she'd get letters twenty five years later. From that person. Who is still a customer of hers. What was the value of that one customer?
29:08 It's not'cause it's not one customer. That over twenty five years, how many other customers Did that person bring? Talk about how great these products are. People, when they this is just human nature, when they find something they like. We don't keep it ourselves, whether it's a movie, a podcast, a a product. Like we tell other people. What I realized reading through the lines in that her autobiography is like, Oh, she's not doing one on one. This is like one on a thousand.
29:31 But it only works. To tie this all back to Jeff Basis it only works if you're in it for the long term. So when Bezos says in his ninety nine shareholder letter, hey a big idea for us next year is we're gonna invest heavily. into in to introductions to new customers because we think we have a winning system here and that and these things are going to compound.
29:51 And four years later. throws me in the I I'm one of these people and twenty one years after that I'm still a customer of Amazon. Talks about operational excellence a lot. in this book. He doesn't talk about any shareholders, but I've heard interviews later.
30:05 We talked about you know at the beginning. There's some the skills and ideas that you you bring into your company and some you have to learn along the way. And one of those that he had to learn along the way he didn't understand'cause no one would had invented Amazon before Amazon. Was what operational excellence really meant. He just knew that he wanted to be excellent operationally. He set that as a principal and then went about learning how to do so. And th this is what I meant about g going back to strategy. He really does when I read this to you.
30:31 Jeff sees how everything connects and feeds into his overall plan for Amazon. And then what I also like about the section is she's just unapologetically extreme. Listen to the words he uses, he uses these words over and over again. We're gonna set a very hard high bar.
30:45 We're gonna make a world class experience. We're gonna be highly focused. We're gonna be have be doggedly determined. He's not hiding what's important to him and if you just read the language that he uses it's very he's demonstrating it to us. To us, operational excellence implies two things. Delivering continuous improvement and customer experience.
31:03 and driving productivity, margin efficiency, and asset velocity across all of our businesses. Often The best way to drive one of these is to deliver the other. And he gives us an example. For example, more efficient distribution yields faster delivery times, which in turn lowers contacts per order and customer service costs.
31:24 These in turn improve customer experience and build brand. Which in turn decreases. Customer acquisition and retention. Cost.
31:34 Our whole company. Is highly focused. on driving operational excellence in each area of our business. being world class In both customer experience
31:45 and operations will allow us to grow faster. And deliver even higher Service. levels. Consider
31:53 The most important point. The current online shopping experience is the worst it will ever be. It is good enough today to attract seventeen million customers. But it will get so much better. We are doubly blessed.
32:07 We have a market size unconstrained opportunity. In an area Where the underlying foundational technology we employ improves every day. That
32:18 Is not Normal. He understands the opportunities in front of him and he's pursuing it with his zeal, right unmatched by anybody else. And he's doing this. Right as the first
32:29 Internet bubble pops. And so he starts the next Shareholder letter with one word sentence. Ouch. It's been a brutal year for many in the capital markets and certainly for Amazon shareholders. As of this writing, our shares are down more than eighty.
32:44 Percent. From when I wrote you last year. Nevertheless, By almost any measure, Amazon the company is in a stronger position now. than at any time in its past. And so there's this idea that comes up in the books a lot.
32:57 That you have to concern yourself only with the controllables. He does not control the overall market. the anything that's you know, happening in the macroeconomic environment. But Th what was fascinating, I heard this at this time in Jeff's life
33:11 described this way that while everyone else And this is when he was getting destroyed in the press. They thought he was the Amazon was gonna die. Everyone else was focused on the stock price and Jeff was focused on the internal metrics of the business and he talks about this in Interviews later on too. Where he's just like
33:27 Yeah, the stock drop eighty. percent, but every single metric was working. It was in proving. I just had to hold on. And so he's gonna talk about some of the th the mistakes he made and some of the failures. He talks about hey Dodger's gonna take some bold bets.
33:40 I told you they weren't gonna work out. Well some of them did not work out. Many of you heard me talk about the bold bets that we have a company have made and will continue to make. Our decision to invest in smaller e commerce companies like living dot com and pest.com. both of which shut down operations in the year two thousand lost a significant amount of money for us. We made these investments because we knew we we wouldn't ourselves be entering these particular categories any time soon.
34:02 And we believe passionately in the land rush metaphor of the internet. So Again, he talks about The importance of relentless and continuously learning. For the first you know, six, seven years that we were doing this.
34:14 Might have made sense. Yeah, there's kind of this gold rush, land rush metaphor. Now he sh he re he realized it that is not a useful analogy anymore. There's this this video you can find on YouTube. You just type in Jeff Bezos Electricity Metaphor.
34:30 It's a TED talk from like seventeen years ago. I think it's absolutely excellent. And he lays out how he thinks about these thin horizontal. uh enabling layers. So he thinks the internet's one Electricity, uh is w another one. He talks about AI is another one.
34:44 And so he's like indeed that metaphor was an extraordinary useful decision aid for several years, but now we believe its usefulness largely faded away over the last couple of years. In retrospect, we significantly underestimated how much time would be available To enter these categories.
35:00 And he also what he also learned, and this is why he he keeps ha hammering on getting big fast. If you're just a single category at this point. single category e commerce company. You're not gonna achieve the scale that you need to succeed. He says over and over again that the internet destroys the middle. On the internet you can be either really, really big.
35:18 are really, really small and these are just in this messy middle. Online selling is a scale business characterized by high fixed costs and relatively low variable costs. This makes it difficult to be a medium-sized e-commerce. Company. So then he talks about But you should be unbelievably optimistic about Amazon, because we're not that. Why should you be optimistic about the future of Amazon? Industry growth and new customer adoption will be driven over the coming years by relentless improvements in the customer experience of online shopping. Remember he said that we are doubly blessed
35:49 We have a market size unconstrained opportunity. in an area where the underlying foundation of technology we employ uh improves every day. He continues that theme in the next letter. He's saying these improvements in customer experience will be driven by innovations made possible by dramatic increases in available bandwidth.
36:05 Disc space. And processing power. All of which are getting cheap fast. Amazon will be able to use sixty times As much as bandwidth per customer five years from now.
36:16 While holding our cost for bandwidth. Constant. This processing power Will allow us to do even more. And better real time personalization of our website. Other words.
36:27 The technology the the cost savings on technology are excellent and great and we will take them. But the more important thing is that what the technology allows us to invent on behalf of customers to deliver them more. Value. Such a Fucking great idea here.
36:42 In the physical world. Retailers will continue to use technology to reduce costs. But not. to transform the customer experience. We too will use technology to reduce costs, but the bigger effect
36:54 We'll be using technology to drive adoption and revenue. Other words create. And invent. More products to make. our the our customers' lives better.
37:04 Amazon today is a unique asset. We have the brand, the customer relationships, the technology, the fulfillment infrastructure, the financial strength. The people and the determination to extend our leadership. in this infant industry and to build an important and lasting company. And we will do so.
37:20 By keeping Customer. First. Starts the very next shareholder letter. saying focus on cost improvement makes it possible for us to afford lower prices.
37:31 Which drives growth. Growth then spreads fixed costs. Across more sales. Reducing cost per unit. Which makes possible more price reductions.
37:41 Customers like this. And it's good for shareholders. Please expect us. To repeat. This will loop.
37:48 Jeff says this is the single most important thing and it is probably what he repeats the most throughout this letters. He says we stayed relentlessly focused. Yeah. Then he has another section in the same letter. Obsess over customers. Repetition is persuasive.
38:03 Uh until July, Amazon had been primarily built on two pillars of customer experience, selection and convenience. In July, we added a third. Customer experience pillar. Relentlessly. Lowering
38:17 Prices. So I need this is really one of the most fascinating things I've come across. About hey, we had two pillars, we're winning on selection convenience. Now we're gonna win on a third and we're gonna make our overall offering even more valuable and we are going to relentlessly focus on lowering prices. This is the result of Jeff's meeting.
38:34 with Jim Cynigal. Keep in mind Jeff is thirty seven. Years old. When this took place, maybe thirty eight, around late thirties. I need to read this entire section to you. So Um, I have my own personal AI, which I've told you before, called Sage and it's just
38:48 trained very narrowly on just all my notes, all my highlights and all my transcripts. And I use it to to make the podcast all the time and to never forget any of the lessons that I'm learning on the podcast. And I wanna point this out because I asked Sage, like, Okay, can you just summarize for me what Jeff learn, Jeff Bezos learned from Jim Sinegal? And I think the the the answer is excellent. And I want to point out to what the hell is he talking about in the shareholders letter.
39:11 One of the most important lessons came when Bezos visited Senegal to understand the Costco model. During their meeting, Cynigal explained that Costco's entire business was built around customer loyalty. He taught Bezos that the membership fee was a one time pain. But the value was reinforced every time customers walk in and see a forty seven inch television. That's two hundred dollars cheaper than any place else.
39:32 This concept later inspired Amazon Prime. Cynical emphasized two bases. That value must always come first. Stating quote My approach has always been that value trumps Everything.
39:46 He explained how Costco maintained extremely low markups, standardized around fourteen percent markup across the board, okay? Across all products. Never wavering from this principle, even when they could charge more. Amazon was not doing that. they were taking advantage of some of the the the products where they could actually charge more.
40:04 But does it something goes like no Costco doesn't do that because value trumps everything and long term customer loyalty is what we're is a bedrock uh the foundation we're gonna build a durable enduring franchise on. I love how all this disconnects. Uh, never wavering from this principle, even when they could charge more. The commitment to consistent value impressed Bezos deeply. The impact of this conversation was immediate and profound the Monday after meeting with Senegal. Bezos opened an S team meeting. declaring that Amazon's pricing strategy was incoherent.
40:34 He announced that Amazon should adopt an everyday low price Approach. Just like Walmart. Just like Costco that July Amazon cut prices on books, music, and videos by more than twenty by twenty to thirty percent.
40:46 with Bezos declaring there are two kinds of retailers. There are folks who work hard to figure out how to charge more. And there are companies that work to figure out how charge less. We are going to be the second. F Stop. What is particularly interesting is that Cynical doesn't regret educating an entrepreneur who would later become a competitor. Both men shared similar
41:07 Values. Both have rejected acquisition offers over the years and focused on building For the long term. Rather than short. Term.
41:16 Profits. This exchange demonstrates how business ideas Can be transfer. Uh can transfer. Between great entrepreneurs. If you think about that, transferring
41:26 Great ideas. Great ideas for business from one great entrepreneur to another is exactly the reason that founders exist. It's exactly what you and I are doing, right? Now I absolutely love that. Back to Jeff Bezos' shareholder letters. I'll just point out that one of the most important things we've done to improve convenience and experience for customers All also happens to be a huge driver of variable cost.
41:47 Productivity. Eliminating mistakes. At their root. Eliminating the root causes of error saves us money and saves customers time. Our consumer franchise
41:57 is our most valuable asset. And we will nourish it with innovation and hard Work. Skipping ahead, title for another shareholder. What is good for customers is good for shareholders. I wonder if this is widely understood now. I think it's obvious.
42:12 Maybe it's just because of my weird the how I spend my days is having one sided conversations with all these great entrepreneurs. It certainly wasn't obvious at the time because he spends so much time talking about it. So he says one of our most exciting p peculiarities is poorly understood. People see that we're determined to offer both world leading customer experience and the lowest price possible prices.
42:32 But to some this dual goal seems like a paradox. So When I'm reading I don't this is you know, everything I read or everything I see, I just run it through like all I don't see it as what it is, I just see it how it relates to everything else that we've studied over the last like eight years. And What I realized like, Oh, this is like Henry Ford.
42:49 Like technically Jeff is writing this in two thousand two, but I really think this is like Henry Ford, you know, circa nineteen nineteen that point Ford bought out all his shareholders. you know, owns a hundred percent of one of the most valuable companies in the world. And you could You summarized what what
43:05 Henry Ford was doing, he's like I don't want to make a low quality Cheap product. I wanna make a high quality, inexpensive product. Henry Ford had One idea.
43:13 A single idea. Figure out how to mess. produce, which no one knew on the planet how to do. A car for the every man. That's his word. And you could summar summarise
43:24 His entire business philosophy, Henry Ford's entire business philosophy in five words. It was maximum service. at minimum costs. Very similar. To what Basis is saying here. And he s and he what he's telling us in this letter is like if I deliver on this, if I do maximum
43:38 Service for minimum cost. that will be that's better for the customer and over the long term It'll create a Hell of a lot. of shareholder.
43:47 Value. So says our pricing objective is not to discount a small number of products for a limited period of time. But to offer low prices every day and apply them broadly across our entire product range. This fills my heart with joy. Something I've noticed over and over again is like learning is not memorizing information. Learning is changing your behavior.
44:07 He took that meeting with Jim Sinegal, it's not just having a let's just have a random coffee and like waste each other's time. It's like oh shit, this wiser r really successful on Twitter has something to teach me. I'm gonna take that information and I'm gonna change my behavior. And the very next year he's writing about
44:22 The fact that he took the advice and changed his behavior. We're not gonna discount a small number of products for a limited period of time. We're gonna offer low prices every day and apply them broadly across our entire product range. Is that not What that's exactly what Costco did. That's exactly what he the advice that he got from Senegal. To illustrate the point, we recently did a price comparison versus a major well known chain of bookstores.
44:43 So this this well known chain. He doesn't name it. Sounds like Barnes and Nobles to me, though. They publish here. There's a hundred of the best selling books that we did this year. Jeff's like, Great. Great list. Let me take that list. I'm gonna see what do you pr if I wanna buy a hundred of those books from you
44:58 Or a hundred books on Amazon. What's the difference? And he mentions hey. It took us six hours. To go
45:06 With the list. And we have to visit two different stores to buy all hundred books, okay? So not even including the six hours of time that would take, you know, probably thirty minutes on Amazon. Uh those hundred books cost fifteen hundred and sixty one dollars. We did this on Amazon, they were only eleven ninety five.
45:21 So we saved our customer twenty three percent, not including all the time. So again, yeah, I just love this idea. He's like we are going to focus on the value creation. uh for the customer. And we're gonna do this over the long term.
45:34 And you as our shareholder is going to benefit if you stick with us. Over the long Term. Uh talks about over and over again on the next year, design your customer experience with the long term benefit of the customer in mind. As we design our customer experience, we do so with long term owners in mind.
45:50 We empower customers to review products. I this is very fascinating. Jeff talks about this in other interviews. Like if you're wanna do anything special, you have to be willing to be misunderstood. He is very unc very comfortable. being misunderstood. And he sometimes was misunderstood by
46:06 His employees and his shareholders. And he gives us an example of this. Anybody can review the product on the same page where you have to buy the product. People thought this was nuts. We see complaints from a few vendors basically wondering if we understood our business. You make money when you sell things. Why would you allow negative reviews on your website? speaking as a focus group of one, I know I've sometimes changed my mind before making uh purchases on Amazon as a result of a negative or Luke orum.
46:29 Customer review. Though negative reviews cost us sales in the short term. Helping customers make better purchase decisions. ultimately pays off for the company. In
46:40 Term. And then a few letters later. This part is incredible. It is likely I think is my favorite part of this d everything he says. I think this is really, really good. See it's on the need for good judgment and why data may lead you to make the wrong decision. He says not all of our important decisions can be made in a math based way.
47:00 Sometimes we have little or no historical data to guide us and proactive experimentation is impossible. The prime ingredient in these decisions is judgment. As you already know. We have made a decision to continuously and significantly lower prices for customers year after year. As our efficiency and scale make it possible.
47:19 This is an example of a very important decision. that cannot be made in a math based Way. In fact When we lower prices, we go against the math. I'm gonna pause here.
47:31 Uh he adds A footnote. onto this section. There's not many he doesn't this is not very common. There's not a lot of footnotes in his shareholder letters. He's ta this is very fascinating. He's reading a paper at the time. And it's called the structure.
47:45 of unstructured decision processes. This is a quote from the footnote. Jeff Writing. Among other gems you will find in this paper is this. Now he quotes from the paper. Excessive attention.
47:59 By management scientists. to operating decisions may well cause organizations to pursue inappropriate courses of action. more efficiently. Your Going in the wrong direction faster.
48:13 So you have to be very careful with this. So back to this. This is an example of a very important decision that cannot be made in a math based way. In fact, when we lower prices, we go against the math. Which says that the smart move is to raise prices. We have significant data related to price elasticity, with rare exceptions, the volume increase in the short term. is never enough to pay for the price decrease.
48:38 However, our qu this is the most important part of what I think is the most important section. I absolutely love this. However, our quantitative understanding of elasticity is short term. We can estimate what a price reduction will do this week and this quarter, but we cannot. Numerically estimate the effect. That consistently lower prices prices.
48:57 We'll have on our business over five Or ten years or more. Or judgment and he italicizes the word judgment. Or judgment. Is that relentlessly returning efficiency improvements and scale economies to customers in the form of lower prices creates a virtuous cycle.
49:15 That leads over the long term. to a much larger Dollar amount of free cash flow. and thereby to a much more valuable Amazon. Dot com
49:25 Math based decisions command wide agreement. Judgment based decisions are rightly debated. And often controversial. We will start with the customer and work backward.
49:36 In our judgment. This is the best way to create shareholder value. So earlier we mentioned that Amazon is really just a business that builds business businesses. a company that builds new companies. He's gonna get into that in two thousand six'cause he's asked the questions like
49:51 Okay. You're really succeeding in e commerce, why why don't you open physical stores? And his answer to that in two thousand six demonstrates how he thinks about building new businesses. And I think that that lens is good for you and I. He's like, Hey, I often get asked when you're gonna open physical stores.
50:06 The potential size of a network of physical stores is exciting. Physical world world retailing is cagey and ancient. But it's already well served. And we don't have any ideas for how to build a physical world store experience that's meaningfully Differentiated for customers. Again. He has no interest in building an undifferentiated
50:26 Commodity business. When you do see us enter new businesses, it's because we believe the above tests have been passed. Which is there's a certain return that we can get. And we are building a meaningfully differentiated Yeah, experience for the customers. And he's gonna give us two examples.
50:42 Relatively small businesses now that can grow really, really big. And that's FBA fulfillment by Amazon and AWS Amazon Web Services for fulfillment by Amazon. is a set of APIs that turn our twelve million square foot fulfillment center into a gigantic and sophisticated computer peripheral.
51:00 Pay us forty five cents. Per month per cubic foot. a fulfillment center space and you can stow your products in our network. You can make web service calls to alert us to expect inventory to arrive. You can tell us to pick and pack one or more items and tell us where to ship those items. You never have to talk to us. He de he mentions this quite a few times.
51:17 His belief on the importance of self. Service. building self service platforms so more ideas get it um get Tried.
51:26 It's differentiated. can be large and passes our returns bar. So that's FBA. thing that also fits all the criteria is AWS. AWS, we're building a new business focus on a new customer set, software developers.
51:40 We're targeting broad needs universally faced by developers, such as storage and compute capacity. areas in which we have deep expertise from scaling Amazon over the last twelve years. It is highly differentiated. Can be significant. Financially attractive business over time.
51:57 Talks about over and over again. He he believed. that AWS was market size unconstrained, I think is the word that he uses. In some large companies it might be difficult to grow new businesses from tiny seeds because of the patience and nurturing required. Amazon's culture is unusually supportive of small businesses with big potential.
52:15 And I believe that a source That's a source of competitive advantage. This is also one of my um Favor the letters. He's really telling us that patience can be a competitive advantage and that most companies lack this. We have many people at our company who have watched multiple ten million dollar seeds turn into billion dollar businesses.
52:33 That firsthand experience and the culture that has grown up around those success is a big part of why we can start businesses from scratch. The culture demands that these new businesses be high potential. And that they be innovative and differentiated. But it does not demand. that they be large on the day that they are born.
52:52 Another one of my favorite Bezos ideas is that missionaries make better products. He has a Entire letter called a team of missionaries. I put this inselfishly just because I believe that books are the anecdote to shorter attention spans that the rest of the internet is trying to like basically destroy our attention spans. And I just feel better when I when I, you know, spend several hours just focusing on a book. Think it's good for you?
53:13 But he also talks about That H him personally and Amazon as a company is they're missionaries for reading. And he talks about the development of the invention of the Kindle. And why he's doing that.
53:25 He says we humans co evolve with our tools. We change our tools and then our tools change us. Writing, which was invented thousands of years ago, is a grand whopper of a tool. And I have no doubt that it changed us dramatically. Five hundred years ago, Gutenberg's invention led to a significant step change in the cost of books. Physical books ushered in a new way of collaborating and learning.
53:45 Lately, network tools such as desktop computers, laptops, and cell phones have changed us too. He's writing this in two thousand seven. They shifted us. Toward more information snacking. And I would argue towards shorter attention spans.
54:00 If our tools make information snacking easier. We'll shift. more towards information snacking and away from long form reading. Kindle is a per is purpose built for long form reading. We hope Kindle may gradually and incrementally move us over the years into a world longer attention spans.
54:16 with longer spans of attention, providing a counterbalance to the recent proliferation of info snacking tools. I realize my tone here tends towards the missionary. And I can assure you it's heartfelt. I'm glad about that. Because missionaries
54:31 Make Better. Products and so This shareholder letter were in two thousand eight. Is
54:38 Titled Working Backwards. And I think The lesson he's teaching us here is related to the one he did two years ago about, hey, this information snacking, this seems like a bad idea. Destroying her attention span.
54:49 Bad idea. And what he's gonna It's related because he's about to say, like, if you seek instant gratification, like you're gonna s you're gonna find a crowd there. It's really hard to build a business. That's enduring and valuable.
55:02 if you're just chasing after something that if you need that instant gratification. In this turbulent global economy, our fundamental approach remains the same. Stay heads down focused on the long term and obsess over customers. Long and then what he's gonna tell us is that if you can actually be long term oriented You have a massive competitive advantage'cause it goes against human nature.
55:21 Long term thinking levers our existing capabilities and let us do new things we couldn't otherwise contemplate. It supports the failure and iteration required for invention. and frees us to pioneer in unexplored spaces. Seek instant gratification. And the chances are you'll find a crowd there ahead of you.
55:37 Long term orientation interacts well with customer obsession. Long term orientation interacts well with customer obsession. If we can identify a customer need and if we can further develop conviction that the need is meaningful and durable, Our approach permits us to work patiently for multiple years to deliver a solution. Working backwards From the customer needs can be contrasted
55:58 With the skills Forward approach. Where existing skills and competencies are used to drive business opportunities. This is another one of his genius ideas. that I don't hear expressed or talked about
56:11 Other words Like in other areas. Most companies. Most people, like I have a certain set of skills, where can I throw those skills? And he's like if you do that you'll never ha uh endure and go through the growth necessary to do something truly great. This is very fascinating.
56:26 So I'm gonna start that section again. Working backwards from customer needs can be contrasted with a skills forward approach where existing skills and competencies are used to drive business opportunities. The skills forward approach says, hey, we're really good at X. What else can we do with X? If you use that exclusively, the company employing it will never be driven to develop fresh skills. Eventually the existing skills will become outmoded. Working backwards from the customer need.
56:51 Often demands that we acquire new competencies. And exercise new muscles. Never mind how uncomfortable and awkward feeling. those first steps might be. So he actually gives us
57:03 Essentially what he's saying is like working backwards from the customer needs. You're gonna it will make you a more skilled operator over time and more make your company more valuable. And so he gives us the example of the Kindle. Like I never built hardware before. Books and CDs and music, and now I'm doing FBA or FBA and AWS. Kindle's a good example of our fundamental approach. More than four years ago, we began with a long term vision.
57:25 Every book ever printed in any language, all available in less than sixty seconds. That customer experience we envisioned. Did not allow for any hard lines of demarcation between Kindle the device and And kindle the service. The two had to blend together seamlessly.
57:41 Amazon had never designed or built a hardware device. But rather than change the vision to accommodate our then existing skills. We hired a number of talented and missionary hardware engineers. and got started n learning a new institutional skill. One that we needed to better serve readers.
58:00 In the future. Another idea that Jeff has This is gonna be very similar to all of history's greatest entrepreneurs, they understand the benefits of eliminating waste. And the fact that the benefits of eliminating waste compound Jeff is saying the same thing here.
58:11 The customer experience path we've chosen. Requires us to have an efficient cost structure. The good news for shareholders. Is that we see much opportunity for improvement in that regard. Everywhere we look
58:23 We find what experienced Japanese manufacturers will call Muda. Which translates to waste. I find this incredibly energizing. I see it as potential. Years and years of variable and fixed productivity gains and more efficient higher velocity.
58:38 More flexible capital expenditures. There's a great It's in one of the books Brad Stone wrote on Jeff Bezos. He interviews this guy that works for Jeff and there and he's like, I would I don't understand. I would tell Jeff about a problem in our business and he'd get excited. And it's because of this.
58:53 It's like I find this incredibly energizing. All this waste, good. If I fix this waste I make a more valuable company over the long term. At a fulfillment center recently, one of our Kaisan experts asked me, I'm in favor of a clean fulfillment service center. But why are you cleaning? Why don't you eliminate the source of the dirt?
59:09 I felt Like the karate. Kid. I do need to point out another thing that Bezos is constantly setting the tone. Amazon is going to invent
59:18 We are going to lead, we are not going to follow. We are going to continuously experiment and we're going to be bold. This is what I've mentioned earlier. Bezos considers himself an inventor. Many of the problems we have faced have no textbook solutions. So we happily invent new approaches. All of the effort that we put into technology might not matter that much if we kept technology off to the side in some sort of R D department, but we do not take that approach. Technology infuses all of our teams, all of our processes, all of our decision making, and our approach to innovation in each of our businesses.
59:47 It is deeply integrated into everything that we do. Invention is in our DNA. And technology is the fundamental tool. We wield to evolve and improve every aspect of the experience we provide customers.
1:00:02 I mentioned earlier that Jeff favors. These self service platforms. This is him explicitly stating why. I am emphasizing the self-service nature of these platforms because it's important for a reason I think is somewhat non-obvious. Even well meaning gatekeepers slow innovation. When a platform is self service, even the improbable ideas can get tried because there's no expert gatekeeper ready to say that will never work. And guess what?
1:00:23 Many of those improbable ideas do work. And society is the beneficiary of that diversity. Here's a great example of the clear thinking that Bezos has. He's going to describe for us in very easy to understand terms. Characteristics of a business.
1:00:37 That you should never sell. A dreamy business offering has at least four characteristics. Number one, customers love it. Number two, it can grow to a very large size. Number three, it has strong returns on capital. And number four, it is durable in
1:00:51 Time. With the potential to endure. There's that word again. With the potential to endure for decades. When you find one of these, get
1:01:00 Married. Let's go back to this idea. That you must be comfortable being misunderstood. He's going to explain. You people are like I don't understand why wouldn't a r Amazon you know, e commerce platform.
1:01:11 Why would they have A AWS like these businesses seem so different from each other. How are they owned by the same person? And That's not how Bezos looked at it. Bases looked at the similarities they have. So he actually expresses
1:01:24 Uh re really In a succinct way, like This is actually they're more summer. They they may appear From the outside.
1:01:31 There is a connection between these two businesses. They share a distinctive organizational culture. That cares deeply about and acts with conviction on a small Number Of principle.
1:01:42 I'm talking about Customer obsession. Rather than competitor obsession. Eagerness to invent and pioneer? Willingness to fail.
1:01:51 The patience to think long term. And the taking of professional pride in operational excellence. Through that lens, AWS and Amazon retail are very similar indeed. And then later on the same page he talks about the kind of corporation that he built intentionally at Amazon. This is one of the most important ideas to remember. Outsize returns often come from betting against conventional wisdom.
1:02:13 And conventional wisdom is usually right. Given a ten percent chance of a one hundred times payoff You should take that bet every time. But you're still going to be wrong nine times out of ten. We all know that if you swing for the fences, you're gonna strike out a lot. But you're also gonna hit some home runs.
1:02:27 The difference between baseball And business. is that baseball has a truncated outcome distribution. When you swing no matter how well you connect with the ball The most runs you can get is four.
1:02:39 In business, every once in a while, when you step up to the plate, you could score one thousand runs. This long tail distribution of returns is why it's important to be bold. Big winners pay for so many experiments. And then he has an entire letter dedicated to fending off day two. He's obsessed with this idea of day one and he's terrified of day two coming. And I think this is one of the most important letters wrote.
1:03:04 Jeff, what does day two look like? That's a question I got at our most recent all hands meeting. I've been reminding people that it's day one for a couple of decades. I work in an Amazon building named Day One. And when I move buildings, I took the name with me. I spend time thinking about this topic. Day two is stasis.
1:03:21 Followed by irrelevance. Followed by excruciating painful decline. Followed by Death. That
1:03:28 Is why it's always day one. To be sure, this kind of decline would happen in extreme slow motion. An established company might harvest day two for decades. But the final result will still come. I am interested in the question, how do you fend off day two? What are the techniques and tactics?
1:03:43 How do you keep the vitality of day one even inside a large organization? Such a question can't have a simple answer. There will be many elements, multiple ta paths, and multiple traps, but I don't know the whole answer. I know many bits of it. Here's a starter pack of essentials for day one defense.
1:04:02 So he lists a few of these. Tactics. And principles number one, customer obsession. We've already covered that. I th I think you get that by now, right? Number two. A sceptical view of proxies.
1:04:13 Number three, the eager adoption of external trends. And number four high velocity decision making. I'm gonna skip right to number two. Resist proxies. As companies get larger and more complex, there's a tendency to manage to proxies. This comes in many shapes and sizes and it's dangerous, subtle. And very day two.
1:04:30 A common example is process as proxy. good process serves you so you can serve customers. But if you're not watchful The process can become the thing. This can happen very easily in large organizations. The process becomes the proxy for the result you want. You stop looking at outcomes.
1:04:48 And just make sure you're doing the process right. It is not rare. to hear a junior leader defend a bad outcome with something like, Well, we follow the process. A more experienced ліder. We'll use it as an opportunity to investigate and improve the process.
1:05:03 The process is not the thing. This speaks right to my soul. He's got two paragraphs that continue on. This line of thinking that I absolutely love. Good inventors and designers deeply
1:05:15 Understand their customer. They spend tremendous energy developing that intuition. They study and understand many anecdotes rather than only the averages you'll find on surveys. They live with the design. I am not against beta testing or surveys.
1:05:30 But you, the product owner. Must understand the customer. Have a vision and love the offering. A remarkable customer experience starts with heart. Intuition
1:05:41 Curiosity. Play. Guts. Taste. You will not find any of it.
1:05:47 In a survey. The third tactic, embrace external trends. This one's pretty straightforward. The outside world can push you into day two if you won't or can't embrace powerful trends quickly. If you fight them.
1:05:58 you're probably fighting the future. Embrace them and you'll have a tailwind. He embraced the internet at the very beginning. These big trends are not that hard to spot. They get talked and written about a lot. But they can be strangely hard for large organizations to embrace. He's writing this in two thousand sixteen. He says we're in the middle of an obvious one right now.
1:06:16 That is machine learning and artificial intelligence. He nailed that one. And then the last one. Is high velocity decision making. And he says, Day two companies, they can make
1:06:27 high quality decisions. They just make high quality decisions. Slowly. I this is so great. There's another uh He he uses this example quite frequently in in talks too.
1:06:38 Where He's like, You're gonna drive great people away from your organization. If you make your decisions too slow. And you have to get comfortable making decisions with less information. Then
1:06:47 Uh you would like. Because if you make decisions slow Great people want to build things. And decision making slows down their ability to build things like hey, I love their mission. I can't build anything, so I'm leaving. And there's a great line from this, uh D Hawk, the founder of of Visa.
1:07:00 actually says something where he says, Making good judgments and acting wisely when one has complete data. facts and information is not leadership. It's not even management. It's bookkeeping. And so J Jeff's gonna say something very similar here. Amazon is determined to keep our decision making velocity high. Speed matters in business.
1:07:18 First, the first step for this is don't use a one size fits all decision making process. Many decisions are reversible, two-way doors. I think Jeff was the one that popularized this idea. Yeah. You know, you're One way door. Once you walk through there, you can't go
1:07:31 easily come reverse that decision, you better take a hell of a lot of time and make sure you're making that right decision. But most of the decisions you're making in business are not like that. You walk to the door, oh shit, I made a bad move. Let me go back the other way. So That's what he says. Don't it's not one size fits all. Many decisions are reversible. So they're two way doors. Second. Most decisions should probably be made with somewhere around seventy percent.
1:07:51 Of the information you wish you had. If you wait for ninety percent. You're being too slow. Plus, either way, you've got to get good at quickly recognizing correcting bad decisions. If you're good at course correcting, Being wrong may be less costly than you think.
1:08:04 Whereas being slow is going to be expensive for sure. Uh so he he actually has a a way to do this. That he also popularized. And it's this idea as the leader of your company, you have to disagree and commit. I disagree and commit all the time. We recently greenlit a particular Amazon studios studio's original. I told the team my view. It's debatable whether it'd be interesting enough, it's really complicated to produce. The business terms aren't even that good. We have a lot of other opportunities we could pursue.
1:08:31 But the team had a completely different opinion and wanted to go ahead. I wrote back right away. With I disagree and commit and hope it becomes the most watched thing we've ever made. Consider how much slower this decision cycle would have been if the team had to actually convince me. Rather than simply get my commitments. So if you disagree and commit, you can actually build, make decisions faster and build faster. He's got another great idea here.
1:08:53 the the idea that high standards are contagious And how you can fix The The inability to adhere to high standards with just Teaching scope.
1:09:02 I don't know if I've heard anybody else describe this idea this way, so I I think it's very fascinating. I believe high standards are teachable. People are pretty good at learning high standards simply through exposure. High standards are contagious. If you bring a new person onto a high standards team, they'll quickly adapt. The opposite is also true.
1:09:17 I believe high standards are domain specific. And then you have to learn high standards separately in every arena of interest. Understanding this point is important. Because it keeps you humble. You can consider yourself a person of high standards in general and still have deabilitating blind spots.
1:09:33 There could be whole arenas of endeavor. Well you may not even know. That your standards are low or non existent and certainly not world class. It is critical. To be open.
1:09:44 to that likelihood. And he's got a funny way to Teach this story where he says a close friend of his Wanted to learn how to do a perfect handstand. You know, that's No assistance, you can't lean against the wall, you're just a handstand in the middle of the room. No assist at all, you can do it for a long period of time.
1:09:59 And is really difficult to learn. So difficult that there's actually people whose jobs is to coach people. how to make a perfect handstand and Jeff thought that was actually fair kinda funny. that there's a coach for such thing. But then he said the coach at something was really smart that he
1:10:13 that he actually applied to Amazon. And so the coach says. Most people think that if they work hard They should be able to master a handstand in about two weeks. The reality is that it takes about six months of daily practice.
1:10:25 If you think you should be able to do it in two weeks, you're just gonna end up quitting. This is now Jeff. interpreting this. This is really, really smart. Unrealistic beliefs on scope. They're often hidden and undiscussed.
1:10:38 Kill. high standards. And so he gives this example. Everybody knows that Amazon We don't do powerpoints. You're gonna write a six page narrative. We're gonna read the six page memo before the meeting and then we're gonna talk about it.
1:10:50 And what he realized is like there's huge variance in the quality of all these memos inside of Amazon. He's like, Well, why is this happening? And he realizes Oh. We have unreal the the I've not taught. I've not I failed to do a good job teaching. That
1:11:05 Memos take an unbelievably long time. You cannot do it in a day. You cannot do it in a few hours. I had un These people had unrealistic beliefs on scope. And I have to teach them this. When a memo isn't great, it's not the writer's inability to recognize a high standard, but instead a wrong expectation on scope.
1:11:22 They mistakenly believe a high standard six page memo can be written in one or two days or even a few hours. When in reality it might take a week or more. They're trying to perfect a handstand in just two weeks, and we're not coaching them right. The great memos are written and rewritten. shared with colleagues who were asked to improve the work.
1:11:40 Set aside for a couple of days and then edit it again. With a fresh mind. They simply cannot be done in a day or two. The key point here is that you can improve results through the simple act of teaching scope. That a great memo
1:11:55 should probably take a week or more. Another great idea from Bezos. In fact, one of his most important ideas. So you can read. I I guess I should tell you. I'm working off a book called Invent and Wander, the collected writings of Jeff Bezos. Highly recommend buying the book. It's excellent. contains all of his sharehold letters except the last one, and then transcripts for some of his most important speeches. You can read the shareholders letters in here. Or you can read them, obviously, you know, they're available online for free.
1:12:19 But You know it's important because they name the book Invent and Wander and he talks about the importance of wandering over and over again throughout his career. And he's gonna tell why this is actually such a powerful thing. It can lead you to these These huge breakthroughs, these nonlinear returns. Sometimes often actually in business.
1:12:35 You do know where you're going. And when you do, you can be efficient. put in a pl place a plan and execute it. In contrast, wandering in business is not efficient. But it's also not random. It's guided by hunch.
1:12:47 Gut. Intuition, curiosity empowered by a deep conviction. That the price for customers is big enough. That it's worth being a little messy and tangential. To find our way there.
1:12:57 Wandering is an essential counterbalance to efficiency. You need to employ both. The outsize discoveries, the nonlinear ones, are highly likely. to require wandering. AWS is an example.
1:13:13 No one asked for AWS. No one. Turns out the world was in fact ready and hungry for an offering like AWS, but didn't know it. We had a hunch. Followed our curiosity.
1:13:25 took the necessary financial risks and began building. Reworking. Experimenting and iterating countless times as we proceeded. And then finally we got to the part where I mentioned earlier the fact that he believes that your failures need to scale to This is where you see that Jeff Jeff really practiced what he preached.
1:13:44 As the company grows, everything needs to scale, including the size of our failed experiments. If the size of your failures isn't growing, you're not going to be inventing at a size that can actually move the needle. Amazon will be experimenting at the right scale for a company of our size. If we occasionally have multi billion dollar failures. This kind of large scale risk taking It's part of the service.
1:14:05 We as a large company can provide to our customers and to society. The good news for shareholders Is that a single big winning bet Can more than cover the cost of many losers. Development of the firephone and echo.
1:14:19 was started around the same time. While the fire phone was a failure. We were able to take our learnings and accelerate our efforts building Echo and Alexa. No customer. was asking for echo.
1:14:31 This was definitely us wandering. Market research did not help. If you had gone to a customer in two thousand thirteen And said, would you like a black always on cylinder in your kitchen about the size of a Pringles can that you can talk to and ask questions, can turn on your lights and play music. I guarantee you they would have looked at us strangely.
1:14:49 And said no thank you. And his point about that is A since then, Amazon, I think the last number I saw, Amazon sold something like Five hundred million Devices.
1:14:59 Echo and Alexa in uh powered devices so far. And then he ends his last shareholder letter with I think some of the most important advice that he's given us and taught us really over the last twenty three years. And it's that differentiation is survival and the universe wants you to be typical. Do not Let it.
1:15:17 So he says this is my last annual shareholder letter of CO of Amazon, and I have one last thing of utmost importance I feel compelled to teach. And so he is going to actually Draw An analogy with this Excerpt from this book called The Blind Watchmaker.
1:15:32 Since he included the entire excerpt here, it's about a paragraph. I'm gonna read the whole excerpt to you'cause then it'll make sense of what why he's talking about And how he relates this to the fact that You need to embrace your distinctiveness and that your environment will try to smooth out your edges and you cannot, absolutely cannot let that happen. So let me read this excerpt from the blind watchmaker. Staving off death is a thing that you have to work at.
1:15:55 Left to itself, the body tends to revert to a state of equilibrium with its environment. If you measure some quantities such as temperature In a living body, you will typically find that it is markedly different from the corresponding measure in its surroundings. Our bodies are usually hotter than our surroundings. And in cold climates, they have to work hard to maintain that differential.
1:16:16 Венми стос. Not all animals work so hard to avoid coming into equilibrium with their surrounding temperature. But all animals do some comparable work. For instance In a dry country. Animals and plants work to maintain the fluid content of their cells.
1:16:32 Work against a natural tendency for water to flow from them. Into the dry Outside World. If they fail
1:16:41 They die. And so then Jeff says, While this passes is not intended as a metaphor, it's nevertheless a fantastic one and very relevant to Amazon. In what ways? Does the world pull at you in attempt to make you normal? How much work does it take?
1:16:58 For you to maintain your distinctiveness. Ту кіп Алайв. The things that make you special. We all know that distinctiveness, also known as originality is Is valuable.
1:17:10 We are taught to be yourself. What I'm really asking you to do is to embrace and be realistic about how much energy it takes to maintain that distinctiveness. The world wants you to be typical. In a thousand ways. It pulls at you.
1:17:27 Don't let it happen. You have to pay a price for your distinctiveness. And it's worth it. The fairy tale version of Bi Yourself.
1:17:36 Is that all the pain stops as soon as you allow your distinctiveness to shine. That version is misleading. Being yourself is worth it. But don't expect it to be easy or free. You'll have to put energy into it continuously.
1:17:52 To all of you, and he just ends with excellent advice. To all of you. Be kind. Be original. Create more than you consume and never Never.
1:18:01 Never Let the universe smooth you into your surroundings. It remains Day. One.
1:18:10 And that is where I'll leave it. I hope you now see why I think these show letters are truly, truly special, why I should read them every year. Hopefully read them every year, make a new episode on them every year. They're serve as great reminders. You can leave you can read uh the shareholders for free online. I'll leave the link down below if you want to read them there. If you wanna get this book that I worked out of, I think it's highly recommended. I will leave a link down below for the book. And if you buy the book using that link, you'll be supporting the podcast at the same time. I mentioned earlier that I have
1:18:34 My own AI assistant that is trained on all my notes, my highlights, my transcripts. if you want to get access to the same exact tool that I use, that's available at foundersnotes.com. It's a way really to never forget any of the uh lessons that we learned on the podcast. I think it's an incredible valuable tool if you wanna use it to enhance a decision making.
1:18:52 inside of your company and using Basically all of the collective knowledge of history squeeze entrepreneurs to do so. You can do that at foundersnotes.com. I'd also highly recommend that you join my personal email. Newsletter is free. It's at David Senra dot com. I email
1:19:08 The top ten highlights for every single book. That I read And you can also go to David Center dot com. I think you can read through like a hundred and seventy I think of the top ten highlights for like 170 books that I've read so far. It's at DavidCenter.com. That is.
1:19:21 Three hundred. And eighty eight books down, one thousand to go. Thank you very much for your support. Thank you very much for listening and I'll talk to you again soon.
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