Robin Dunbar - Optimizing Human Connection (Dunbar's Number) - [Invest Like the Best, EP.367] Transcript from https://podmenti.com/t/f1703bb96858d872 I know firsthand how complex the tech stack is for asset management firms. And seemingly every new tool and data source makes the problem even worse, adding more complexity, more headcount, and more risk. Ridge line offers a better way forward, one unified platform that automates away the complexity across portfolio accounting. Reconciliation, reporting, trading, compliance, and more, all at scale. Ridge line is revolutionizing investment management, helping ambitious firms scale faster. Operate smarter and stay ahead of the curve. See what Ridgeline can unlock for your firm. Schedule a demo at ridgeline.ai. Hello and welcome everyone. I'm Patrick O'Shaughnessy and this is Invest Like the Best. This show is an open ended exploration of markets, ideas, stories, and strategies that will help you better invest both your time and your money. Invest Like the Best is part of the Colossus family of podcasts, and you can access all our podcasts, including edited transcripts, show notes, and other resources to keep learning at joincolosis.com. Patrick O'Shaughnessy is the CEO of Positive Sun. All opinions expressed by Patrick and podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of positive some. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. Clients of positive sum may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this podcast. To learn more, visit psum.vc. My guest today is Robin Dunbar. Robin is a biological anthropologist, evolutionary psychologist, and specialist in primate behavior. He is the man behind Dunbar's number, a theory about the number of stable relationships we can maintain at once. Robin unravels the thread of research that led him to Dunbar's number and describes how this plays Into every single person's layers of human connection. It was fascinating to hear how his findings on social circles have implications for optimally structured businesses and organizations, as well as the idea. A homophily, all of which Robin thoughtfully explains. It was a treat to get to explore these topics with Robin Dunbar himself, so please enjoy this great conversation. Robin, thanks for doing this with me. I have to start with the obvious question, which is I would love to hear The story behind you arriving at the incredibly famous Dunbar's number. Oh my goodness. How long have you got? I got a long time. Yeah, quite a convoluted story, really, actually, because There was a proposal made back in the late eighties that Reason Primates Monkey's neck said. much bigger brains than anybody else was that they lived in complex societies and therefore need a big computer to manage this. But it was based on Largely casual observation as much as anything. And that was a real problem because primates do have much bigger brains. This stuff is expensive. Why would you be carting around all this heavy duty. computer consuming energy like Fury if if You weren't doing anything different to what everybody else is doing. So anyway, this just was made is to do with the complexity of the social systems and I have the bright idea one evening when I was trying to solve a completely different problem, which is why primates groom each other. the if that hypothesis is true, then we ought to find correlation between some measure of group size in primates and their brain size. And so I collated data on group sizes and I collated data on brain sizes. stack them together and sure enough, there's uh Very nice relationship. And now we're about three o'clock in the morning and getting quite excited about how this is going. It occurs to me that We should be able to use this to predict what humans. Group sizes are. So I did. This gave me a number about a hundred and fifty. So I then spent obviously the rest of the night and several other days and nights. Sitting in the library. Looking for data. Natural human group sizes. Metropolis is like New York and London and Tokyo in mind, they're all very recent things, barely a century old. We spent most of our time in small scale hand together groups. Looking for data on the size of these groupings. Cause Quite complex grouping is not just a single group bound together as like we do live in sort of multi-layered social systems. So I was looking for. A layering. within their social systems that was about a hundred and fifty in size rather than say two thousand or twenty five. And sure enough, there is one. It's generally called a clan or a regional grouping or something like that. It's basically a unit that shares. hunting territory as much as anything that shares the rights in territory, let's say. They don't necessarily all live deer. And after that We just kept finding this number. Everywhere everywhere we looked in the modern world. Our entire modern world is built round this number. Hundred and fifty. Can you explain the scaling up and scaling down of the number that sort of dividing by three or multiplying by three, and the fact that you then see this bizarre nesting or layering everywhere too. So it's not just the one fifty, but it's these other Scalar Versions of Dunbar's number as well. Think of it best in terms of your personal social network, all the family, extended family and friendships you have. If you look at those and the frequencies with it you contact them or how emotionally close you feel to them, Oh your willingness to do them A favour that would Cost you Something serious. Not a question of just putting it. dollar in a Vegas box, as they say. But actually. Giving it. A significant amount of money they asked you to lend Money for a project. All of these reveal a kind of laid structure. And that layered structure looks pretty much like the ripples on a pond where you throw a stone into a lake, for example. So if you think of yourself as the stone. surrounding you these layers moving out from you. And as you go further and further out. The Area Covered, but each ripple. gets bigger and bigger, but the kind of amplitude of the wave, the height of the wave gets lower and lower, and that's quite a good metaphor for what your social world looks like. So you have these series of layers going out from you, which increase in size. But the quality of the relationship and the frequency with which you contact them gets Smaller and smaller and smaller, lower and lower as you go further out. So these layers occur at very, very specific numbers. Core is really this hundred and fifty number, Dunbar's number. But within that There are a series of layers at fifty Fifteen five. And the smallest one at one and a half, one point five. And then beyond the hundred and fifty going out furthest there are layers at five hundred. fifteen hundred and the last possible one is five thousand, because five thousand Identifies the number Oh. faces you can say whether you've seen them or not before. In other words the distinction between a complete stranger. I've never seen that face in my life. And somebody You've seen But um Probably for most of them you don't know much about. We don't even know their name, maybe, but then The fifteen hundred layer within there. which actually turns out to be the s typical size of tribes in hunter gather societies. The distinction there is that you can put names to faces. So for all of us Whether you like it or not. Nice Mr. Donald Trump is in your fifteen hundred layer. But that's only because if you saw him in the street. Downtown you would recognize him straight away. But if you kind of wandered up to him, slapped him around the shoulder and said, Donald, come and have a drink with me. He would look very surprised. I'm sure he'd be a good politician and pretend not to be, but so it's that kind of relationship. And as you come further in, the five hundred layer is the layer of of acquaintances. Many of the people you work with will be in that layer. In other words, you might go and have a beer with them after work. You might even spend a weekend away for some big work related project with them, but you would never invite them back to your home for a big party. Your hundred and fifty lair? Well that's what I always call your barmits for weddings and funeral party. These are the people who will turn up out of obligation to on that big once in a lifetime event. You may not know they're there the the third case, the funeral. party, but believe me, they'll be there. And then as you come in, so the relationships getting stronger and stronger, you go through the f fifteen layer is your sympathy group, the people who you would feel extremely upset about if they die. That's been known for a very long time. I didn't discover that. And then inside that is this layer at five, the cinema's layer, which is what we call the shoulders to cry on, friends. And that layer turns out to be very important for it. It usually consists of two family members and two friends, plus an odd one from either side. That number turns out to be the one that has the most influence on your general health and well being. So the best predictor of your mental health and well being, your physical health and well being and Even how long you're going to live into the future from today. Is predicted by The number and quality Of friendships you have in that layer. Define as an average. So if you only have three, then but because introverts tend to prefer to have fewer people but have stronger friendships as a result, extroverts tend to prefer slightly more. people but have weaker friendships. Those kind of If X, but on average very much five. So as I like to say, if you really want to live forever. Just make sure you've got five friends. And what about the one point five? That seems like a odd number in the the end of the cycle. I always used to sort of come out with this joke when I was giving talks'cause I actually thought it was a joke. Which was we'll just look at these series of circles and how Very tight. the kind of fractal mathematical structure is. Each layer is three times the size of the layer inside it. And remember these layers count cumulatively, so The your hundred and fifty layer includes the fifty people in the lair inside. It's not an addition. But just look at it the regularity of this structuring of these numbers, and surely there's a a layer missing. If you project backwards,'cause if we only knew about the five, we thought the five was the smallest number. If you project backwards, there's a number missing. And what is it? Well, it's one and a half. And everybody'd say, Well, how can you have one and a half relationships? The answer is obvious. Think about it. Half the population has one Very, very close. friend in that circle, and the other half the population has two. What might the difference be? Well the answer is gender. It's obvious. And if you want to know which way it goes round. He says jokingly. Well, it's men only have one in that circle and women have two. That was kind of Pulling the leg of the audience really,'cause the audience goes, Uh huh. That's your your romantic relationships. Clearly women have one and men have two. And then my collaborator said In Italy. who are analyzing Facebook data. And said, You know, we get this lair at one and a half. We think we must have made some error here. They're looking at the frequency of postings and showing very nicely you get these little You can identify these layers, but they'd found this extra layer. And I went, What? What in a half Perfect. That's it. What's it all about? Well, we don't know. So when we looked into it, yes. It's true. And the question is Why are we having two? And the answer is they have a platonic friend called a best friend forever. B F F and that's nearly always of another woman. Not a hundred percent. But eighty five percent of women at any one time. Have a best friend forever. Because the social psychologists who've explored this question. Have told us that constant reason that women always give is because their romantic partner, who statistically obviously is usually a male. It's completely useless. At emotional. Yeah. You need some else who's Better qualified to deal with emotional issues. To sort of Deal with that part of your life and the only person that falls into that. Little bracket as it were, is Is a girlfriend. Interestingly enough, when they have a male, fifteen percent of them are male, those males tend to be much more feminized. than the average male. So they're often gay men, for example. And what's interesting is that uh you can ask a guy Do you have a best? male friend to kinda do stuff with and and They often they'll say, Yes, Jimmy. Jimmy and I go for it. beer together now and again. We've known each other since primary school. And you explore a bit further the quality of that relationship, but you go, This is not a best friend forever. It's completely different. 'Cause if Jimmy decides he's going off to Thailand for the rest of his life, it is a case of out of sight, out of mind. If he comes back again, you can pick up where you left off. No problem. But While he's not there, it's really a case of outside the moment. Which will never ever happen. with women, their friendships, their Um social media that on the phone. whatever, trying to keep that relationship going and keep it ticking over. And guys don't do that. What's interesting in that particular context, though, is that it's very clear that men either have one or the other. That's why they only have a peer. With one. if you like, in that layer rather than the one and a half that or to two that the women have. Of course it's the average of The mail's one and Women's two that makes the one and a half for that there. But men tend to have either a romantic partner or a best friend. So if they don't have a romantic partner at the time or these things happen as you get older, the the intensity of a romantic relationship. Cools, as you might say, politely. And then they might We Institute. A male best friend at the Hang out with. I'm sure that you have looked at an incredible amount of data and that the Internet and social networks and just the world of digital data has exploded your ability to explore these ideas and these numbers. What has been the most surprising that you've ever encountered in or around your ideas? There are two prizes potentially here. One was a very notorious study of Facebook, which was published in a very eminent journal about ten years ago. Which became notorious because they'd used Facebook to manipulate people's feeds because they were interested in trying to understand what influence. feeds had on people's perceptions of the world's what we all worry about. Nice Mr Putin sending us endearing messages on our Pages to vote for one president candidate or another presidential candidate. According to the one he would really prefer. There are serious issues behind this, but I'm afraid they got into a lot of trouble. Anyway. They have sixty one million. as I recall Facebook pages. that they worked with. That's a huge sample. Ginormous. Probably talking about what is it? One percent of all the people. billion people on Facebook or something of that sort. Huge, huge sample from all over the world. And they came out with an average number of friends on Facebook of a hundred and forty nine. Wow. No. Believe me. If you work on animal behavior or human behavior like I do, you do not often get predictions that come out that close. So I think on the strength of that, I'm entitled To go. Go past go. Cut my two hundred dollars. And retire to the Caribbean. The other one was really cool because we'd done a lot of work and a lot of other people just started to work on which bits of the brain are involved in this and showing that you can predict The number of friends that people have in their social circles. Friends of family, of course. by the size of particular regions in the brain. Turns out to be a particular huge neural network that we use to process social information. There's some Korean guys who did an entire village. Yeah. What they did was kind of neat because most of the time what we're having to do is to ask people How many friends have you got? How many friends you got on Facebook? Che. Write down a list of all the friends and family you have. Who are you phoning? Let's look at your phone calling records on your cell phone. So we're always looking at it from The individual's point of view, you know, well Yeah, okay, you can argue. The list of people I Phone regularly. Looks. fairly hard nosed and convincing, but you know, there may be people that that actually have close relationships with That I don't phone because like they kinda live next door all in the same house. So I don't bother to phone them. And if I ask people just who are your friends. Famously, if you ask. Sort of uh kindergarten and primary school kids. Who are your friends, they'll say, you know, Jimmy, Susanna Penelope and then you go to Jimmy Zan and Penelope and and ask them. Are you friends with Santa? And I'll say, What? Never. So who knows if if the data we have is really reflective of the relationships. And what these Korean guys did is they went to everybody else in the village and said, Are you friends with Each person. I say it was The friend's evaluation of their true relationship with you. That identifies the number of friends that you as an individual had. And what they showed very nicely was that Indeed, the number of friends that Everybody could claim Because these people said yes, I'm their friend. correlated with the size of these things. regions in the brain. So I think that was Quite spectacular, but They were able to do something which nobody else had actually been able to do. What do you think are the most interesting implications of this understanding of how we work in groups. They seem to be almost Just latent features of our species and of other primates too. Is there something to do with them that you think is the most productive? And or like did you change? your behavior having discovered all this in your own life. What's the news you can use here, in your opinion? You mean did I look at my friendship circles and go, Oh my goodness, I need to get out more. Something like that. Well, it does happen. When you do this kind of research. In the end, what's important about these circles and here's another interesting feature actually I this this we hadn't quite expected. Is that it Turns out that this relationship between brain size and group size and primates is not a single homogeneous set of data. So the data points don't lie on the same line, which is ideally what you want. They scattered quite widely round it. And it's turned out since we've only recently been able to show this. Finally. Statistically, in fact, that relationship consists of four S sense of statistical relationships. So they're like four grades. And the grades differ in both group size and cognitive complexity that the animals are using. So these grades have real meaning. And it turns out that the layers for our social networks. for these values in this fractal series of fifty, fifteen, fifty, hundred and fifty, five hundred, fifteen hundred actually fall on these grades beautifully. And we see the same structure. in primates and said this is number four really. So that was number three surprise. Number four surprise was to find that this was the same thing was true of primates. Species like chimpanzees and baboons, which have complex multi level social systems. the layers within their social groups created again But Frequency as it should. Interact with each other. Strength of the friendships if you like. also fall on these layers. So there's something about these layers which is these numbers, which is kind of magical in this sense. And so This is number five surprise actually. Where's a bunch of US mathematicians. we were able to show that these numbers five, fifteen, fifty hundred, and fifty five hundred are actually Optimal points. in the efficiency with which information flows round network. If whatever your group is hits one of these numbers, then it works. as a an integrated group somehow. We don't quite understand wh why this happens, but it seems to work in a much more efficient integrated cohesive sort of way. But if you're in between Things kind of fall apart. So there are all sorts of implications here. For the structure of organizations and businesses in terms of how they Organized there. departments, how they organise their work groups, for example. You want to hit these numbers and the numbers themselves or derivative of the cause of the relationshiping involved in the emotional fit, if you like, that you have with a person in one of these layers. And one of the implications of that is if you Got a task. develop a bit of code for some computer program or a figure out some processes can allow you to produce a kit Of the kind that you make and sell to. the public, maybe it's a service you run if you're a government department. program for running street lightings or something like that. It's best to have a very small group. they will work much faster and much more efficiently. But they need to know each other. in the sense that they all come from the same background. So one of the things you mustn't do here is go, Oh, we ought to have somebody from finance and maybe somebody from HR because they'll get sort of Very upset if they're not included. And the answer is don't do it. Resist the temptation like crazy. Because what you want at that Problem solving thing is for people that don't have to explain everything to each other. So they just know when I say, right, it's what we want to do here. Everybody goes sure. Absolutely. They're all on the same page. They all understand. deep background and the mechanisms and everything else. Okay, if if it's a financial issue, then you want somebody from finance. Maybe if it's a kind of H. type issue, then you want somebody from human resources. But don't include people,'Tis the temptation we have. in organizations, and it should add people from different departments in as as sort of representative, as it were. The answer is don't do it. There is a place for that. And that comes further up the scale. And and as you go further up the scale in terms of work group size, you go through different functional things. So The fifteen layer really works much better for blue skies. Banding ideas about and then It's much better to have a diverse group of people who are coming at the problem with different perspectives. things that another area has already figured out. being able to sort of look over the parapet and say, Oh,'cause this is what ha this is how science works. Science all a big Innovations in science have come about by somebody from a completely different discipline usually poking their nose over the parapet and going, Oh, that looks like an interesting problem. What's it all about? And you explain it to him again. Oh, that's very like what we I've just solved the problem before. We know how that works. Why don't we just apply the same methods or mathematics or whatever it is? to your problem and it it might work. And very often it does and break a log jab. And likewise, think about the optimal size of boards. For example. It's gonna be one of these numbers. It's probably not going to be below fifteen because you want Uh really. wider representation, but You certainly probably. Don't want to go above fifty. I looked with horror at the size of the committee for Climate change. A hundred and fifty to two hundred, you think. Part of the problem is feeling that you make a commit contribution if there's only so much speaking time that's available. Unless you're gonna sit there for a year, by which time, of course, you've forgotten what the first person said. So you've got to bear in mind that speaking time is very limited. The issue is that if you have too big a group, you end up with people who just sit there and get bored and end up looking at their feeds or their emails on their smartphones. And this is exactly what we found during lockdown. Zoom and teams and People trying to maintain contact with work group or departmental group or whatever it may be. So you'd end up Lots of people. On a Zoom meeting. And the problem is Realistically, you can only have four people. engaged a conversation. So it would just get dominated by The four people with the loudest voices. And everybody else would kind of get bored in the background. So they ended up wasting huge time. You mentioned at the beginning that you were studying Prime in grooming. And that brings to mind a question about the quality or nature of the time that we spend with the people at these different layers of our social structure. And I'm sure that time is not created equal, like different activities function for different reasons. And I'm really curious what you've learned about The way that we spend time. with each other, what's important, what's surprising, what are some implications at the different layers, like the things we actually do with each other. What have you learned that's most interesting there? This really w Goes back to I mean is like intimated several times. The layers are created My Essentially the amount of time you spend doing stuff. with different people. So obviously the inner core layer These layers in your social network have very specific frequencies of interaction you must have to keep the person in that layer. So The people in your In a five shoulders to cry on, friends, there. You have to see at least once a week. That's the minimum. The people in the fifteen sympathy group lay next outside it, you have to see at least once a month. If you see them less, those relationships decay. Inexorably. takes about three years for somebody to go from being a member of your sympathy group, your 15 sympathy group, to falling out of your 150 and joining the layer of acquaintances, which includes your Favourite. Barista that you get your glass A coffee from every morning on the way to work and that kind of thing. So that's someone I once knew, but I don't have a meaningful relationship with them. I wouldn't invite them and it's very clear that that happens. We can show that actually happening. with data from People's networks. So You have to invest. Time. in relationships. in proportion to Essentially the emotional closeness. And it turns out that emotional closeness of relationship is highly correlated with the time you invest in it. Question is what are you doing? Well We just step back a moment to what monkeys and apes are doing. Monkeys and apes spend a lot of time grooming each other, and it turns out this is how they bond. Yeah. relationships, how they create their social bonds, as it were, the intensity of these relationships, which means they'll stick by each other, they won't Allow one person to drift off into the bush where they get lost from the rest of the group and these kind of things. They're keeping an eye on What that's involving is an awful lot of time spent grooming and and the amount of time spent grooming correlates with the size of the group in primates. To the extent that some of the most social species who are typically living in group sizes of about fifty individuals are smaller than us, but it's that second In a layer from the hundred and fifty. They're spending about twenty percent of their total available daytime engaged in this one activity social grooming. Partly because of the number of individuals they're grooming with, but actually as their group size increasing They're spending more time grooming. as a whole, but actually what they're doing is devoting more time to each individual. They're not necessarily agreing with more individuals. Or at least not. proportionately more individual. They're making those relationships more intense. And the reason that works is grooming triggers the endorphin system by a very specialised neural system from the skin. Which we all share. We have it too. This system. responds to light slow stroking only, no other action. on the skin, it doesn't respond to temperature or pain or anything like that. Just responds to light, slow stroking at around about three centimeters a second, which is the rate during glooming, where they're stroking the fur, parting it. deforming the skin underneath as it went. This is what's triggering the system up. If you try stroking someone slower than that. Or faster than that. There's no response, but get it right. and they get an endorphin hit in the brain. Dorphins are part of the brain's pain management system. They give you a kind of opiate like I. feel very relaxed and calm and Peace with the world and trusting is the person you're doing this activity. It's highly specialised. We use it all the time. Um turns out the inner ear is full of these receptors. This is why we nod our heads when we're listening to music or dancing. This is why we rock babies. If you rock them at around about three centimeters a second speed. They calm down. And go to sleep nicely. If you try it slower than that, one centimeter a second, or try it faster than that, thirsecond, it has absolutely no effect. They carry on crying. Relentlessly. Yeah, so you have to get it absolutely right. So that's the basic mechanism. We've shown that that still works with us. demonstrably still works with us. That system underpins the quality of our friendships. The problem for us is that And for primates, actually, monkeys and apes is because it's physical touch. The intimacy of that. Limit sits. capacities. So there's a limit to the number of individuals that you can engage with and build relationships with. through this mechanism. And that sets an upper limit on group size, actually, at about fifty. Animals. So The problem we had during the course of our more recent evolution as a If you like trying to increase the size of our groups up to the hundred and fifty we have now. was how to bond these groups, particularly though, okay, you can go around grooming kind of in a core. within the fifty layer, but How do you bond the other hundred people that sit in the Final hundred and fifty land. The answer is we found lots of ways. that allows us to trigger the endorphin system directly without involving physical touch. And these are in order of with which they appeared in the course of human evolution We think Laughter. Singing. Dancing. And then once language evolved, which was Probably only with the the appearance of our or least. fully modern language with our own species two hundred, two hundred and fifty thousand years ago. Lots of things derivative of language, including the rituals of religion. Feasting. eating together, drinking particularly alcohol together, stringent type things. alcoholic type drinks trigger the endorphin system. Big time. And lastly telling emotional substories. Great tragedies. And we've shared with all of these That they trigger the endorphin system and they increase the sense of bonding with the people you actually do the activity with. So it doesn't change your relationships with people who are your best friends who are not there on the day. But it does affect. the quality of the relationship you have with a complete stranger who happens to be there. And we've shown this with neuromaging experiments. Pain threshold tests. with blocker experiments where you're g giving people drugs that block the receptors for endorphins in the brain. They do the activity but they don't get the hit. In all these cases you can show very nicely that These peculiar activities, what I call our social tool kit. work extremely well for bonding large groups and they vary in the size of group that they can bond. Laughter. Ironically, as one of the smallest, there is a natural limit on the size of a laughter group at about three, very close to the limit on the size of a conversation. But still three is three times. That means you're bonding. Three people together. at the same time, whereas with grooming and physical touch, if you were just to Strike them. Physically. You would only be able to bond one person. So already laughter is three times more efficient. Singing is amazing. We call it the Icebreaker effect. community singing around the campfire can turn a group of complete strangers into a group who think they were all all at primary school together. They're telling them each other their life stories and great secrets and stuff. It's just amazing. Singing works. Minimally. uh groups of up to two hundred people we've done it with. And it was showing no sign of tailing off. It's still The bigger the group, the better the effect. So you can see a lot of these things. kind of a part and parcel of the things we do every day. With our friends. Can I jump to a conclusion that It's an enormous waste of time to just do like a normal run of course Zoom meeting all day for work. That Zoom does not create endorphins in the same way that any of the stuff that you've listed. If relationship drives everything, then This seems like a giant waste of humanity's time. I think the answer has to be yes. It can be efficient. Clearly any of the social media. including the telephone after all, can be efficient for processing and dealing with some Issues at work. And particularly when people are not present. It is sort of okay for bonding people who already know each other well. So this is my We're pretty sure for the reason Facebook was so successful. Is That it allowed people who had now separated just to remember when it was first set up by Zuckerberg and people. You know, these were final year kids at college about to disperse all over the United States. They're big buddies for the last three or four years. And suddenly they would not be able to see them easily. How do you keep in touch? Here's your answer. join Facebook and we think it worked very well. And did because what it's doing was acting like a a sticking plaster. It slowed the rate of decay down by allowing you to keep up with The person. But we think that And the general experience seems to be that If you don't Need or not. once in a while face to face, nothing on earth or face. It's getting to stop. that friendshially becoming an acquaintancehip. Yeah, it's just somebody I once knew. Haven't seen him for years, don't really know what they're doing. Check their feeds now and again, but I don't Waste a lot of time. So there's something about face to face interactions that's very important and The world of business is a village. Works best. It works like a village where everybody knows each other. So if As a default. The only way you've got. For people to meet up. is online. that will kinda do, but it's a bit clunky and it's difficult to see. whether it would In the long run. What? terribly efficiently because you're not able to do all the kinds of casual things we would do with people. Certainly with our friendship circles, but we do with people at work. We laugh at them, we have lunch with them, we Go out for a beer with them, we Tell them all um you know, troubles them off. Lives and There are rituals as the analog as it were of how religion works. Any organization. has its own internal rituals that it does in some form. But if you're in Japanese industry until about twenty years ago, everybody stood by their desks in the morning and did Calisthenics. But ten minutes. And I'm absolutely convinced this is why the Japanese car industry ended up being so successful. They've lost their way a bit. But we we used to kind of Looking at well Japanese Car companies that everybody's doing gymnastics. and Tai Chi type things i in the car park before they went into it and say, Ha ha ha, you know. Well, I think laughing was on their side of the face, not our side of the face. Because that made them feel very bonded and committed to the company. And that was Real symptom, if you like, of Japanese industry at that time when they were peaking in their Productivity is is that every worker from the big boss at the top to the Person who swept the So They belonged to company had this expression, I am a company man. Meaning This is my life and my commitment. And I think that had a lot to do with these things because what these exercises have been doing is triggering the endorphin system, making them feel very cool, calm and collected and at peace. with the fellow workers and with the company in general. So These mechanisms kind of play a role But it's underneath and I think So it's sort of going on below the surface of consciousness. And I think in our haste to Find deficiencies. We've forgotten the lessons actually of the founders, the entrepreneurs who founded the big multinationals of today. back in Victorian Edwardian times 150 years ago because they all recognized That A Bonded workforce. Happy workforce. was highly beneficial in terms of productivity. So they did things like Building social clubs on every factory. Campus. Famously. The famous ones were the railway clubs. They started here in Britain. Lots of railways before everybody else did. And every railway station had a railway club and everywhere in the empire that we built railways there was a railway club. Everybody who worked at the station was automatically a member of the railway club. It's Railway Club. They would have social events and dances and there would always be tennis courts'cause We're talking about the eighteen nineties up through the nineteen thirties, maybe. Everybody played tennis. It's the kind of the fashion and everybody loved it. I'm sure it had a lot to do with why some of these companies were successful. But I think what's happened sort of post the second world war. The accountants are looking for ways of reducing costs and stuff. Those kind of social things are being thrown out. of the window as well, you can't put them in an an income and expenditure letter very easily. What does it mean? What's your output? How do you measure that? So We're not interested in. We're just interested in the things that we can show in a an Excel sheet to have a direct effect on profit lines. And I think probably we might Just to consider taking a leaf out of their book again, going, Well What are the things that we're going to do? people would like to do now. Because obviously life is different. You've got to sit back and think, Well, what would work what would attract people come in so that You Provide them with the opportunity To meet in a casual social context, people from different parts of the company and build those kind of cross Departmental. Links that allow the things to happen. efficient on the bigger scale, rather than just everybody getting into their silos within their own little department or Group. There are a number of cases where this has been done and done very successfully. It's not a case that Nobody does it. modern companies today are doing it very, very Effectively, I I gather was Facebook has a regular Wednesday Beer and barbecue. event in the sort of space in the center of the campuses, as it were, where people just turn up and have a beer and Burger and stuff and talk to people. Not that complicated. It's not complicated. Don't have a full friend. You might even sign some nice person in Finance that you get on really well. Instead of thinking of them. There's Ogues. Yeah. You know, we give several examples. One was Just founding a choir and it's back to this magic of singing. case for a a government department. set up a choir that they decide amongst themselves to do it and eventually it Change the atmosphere. within the department from a very, very frosty one, which was very fraught because of its history. into a very much bonded and efficient working group through just once a week they sanctice in a in a seminar room somewhere. And eventually they ended up a whole lot of them competing in choir competitions and things like that. Or Big. Brewing giant SAB's South African breweries and bought Miller of Miller light fame, the American Brews. They've since combined with A and Bev. The big Dutch, I think. Brewing giant. Something like I don't know, one in every Eight Beers poured anywhere in the world is brewed by them. Huge, huge. Come. But when they first started up, they had the idea of putting a a little pub. In the entrance for of all the factory buildings. So people just called in for a beer. Only way home. from work, you know, at the end of the day. And Sam, my co author who work for them. Twenty years on. Some of the Facebook friendship groups that were set up. from those casual Bears off, but I'm still going. even though these people most of these people no longer work for SA Battered all over the world. But the friendships that were built up out Still going strong. And of course what's gonna happen sooner or later in this Big world of ours. you all bump into these same people somewhere else in another company, or your company will be trying to make some arrangement with the company they work from and oh hello. Good to see you again. Just makes everything go smoother. Can you explain the concept of Homophily. This is the secret ingredient really for friendship. So it was first discovered by sociologists about Fifteen, twenty years ago. And they noticed that people tended to hang out with People who had very similar kinds of interests. So friends tended to have same political views They tend to have same religious views, these kind of things. And since then there's been more and more evidence, in fact, shed loads of evidence showing This effect is extremely strong. And We asked people to fill in big questionnaires. About What they shared with their friends in terms of Morpholi and did some number crunching and it reduced it really to about seven. key dimensions, which we call the seven pillars of friendship. So like a sort of supermarket barcode of who you are as a person, the community you essentially belong to. But it's what you Speak rather than who you are. Biologically, if you like. It's the cultural. Elements. to define you. It turns out that These have a very, very strong effect. On the people we have in our layers. If you look at feel closest to the people in your in a five shoulders to cry on friendship group. you will share six or seven of these dimensions with them. So they're things like Sharing the same language. 'Cause that Rather crucial'cause it's all about talking to each other. But also Where did you grow up? Where did you learn what it is to be a member of the community? What's your career trajectory been? What are your hobbies and interests? What are your moral and political and religious views, what is your preferred musical taste? What's your sense of humor? So the more of these boxes you tick with somebody, the closer in they will be in your inner circles. And the more intense and the longer those relationships. Lost. In addition to that. These are what you might think as the cultural component In the end is much. But we share homophily with our friends on a lot of other fixed traits that we can't do anything about. So gender is a very, very strong one. Seventy five percent of men's social circles, the hundred and fifty are males. Seventy five percent of women's Social circles. Oh as a women. Other twenty five percent in each case is family. And I guess you don't have a lot of choice about that. Opposite sex. Twenty-five percent. But there's very, very strong gendered effect to social networks and somehow feel more comfortable. Working around. People of our own gender. Age has a very strong effect. All our friends and preferred family members that we give most time to tend to be around. All age. Personality again, introverts tend to prefer. being friends to the introverts, extroverts tend to prefer to be friends to the extroverts. And a lot of these really are about allowing you should come to compromises easily because the big problem is Just think of it in terms of extroverts and introverts. Saturday evening. You've got a choice. You can either go clubbing or you can stay in and watch a movie on the TV with a Takeaway dinner. Two introverts that both want to stay in and watch th this is Nirvana. But You got two extroverts who want to go clubbing. This is another kind of nevada. But The last option is you've got one of each, an introvert wants to stay and an extrovert who wants to go clubbing. And now you've got a problem. There's a negotiation that has to go on and somebody has to give way. Which means you've either got to sort of agree to alternate, in which case half the time you're bored silly,'cause you'd rather be doing the other thing. But you're sacrificing yourself on the altar of love or But it's still stressing the relationship, stressing the friendship. So you can see very quickly. that that applies to all these things. So this whole problem really of just engineering The smoothness And reducing the friction. involved in relationships that The long lasting. becomes very important. And you can see why homophily then becomes born, because the more things you have in common the fewer occasions you're going to disagree about what Yeah. the fewer occasions you are going to be Left. Stranded. and unable to think of anything to talk about. She's a problem you have with a stranger. What do I say now? Well, with somebody who you are well gelled with. That's less likely to happen because you got the same interests, but also you kinda don't mind if there are silent periods. You could have it just sit there and Together. So facilitating the kind of flow of the relationship becomes important. And at the end of the day, that feeds into the world of work because if two people get on they're much more likely to work efficiently together to do each other favours, then favours need to be done rather than saying, Oh, come on, you know. We got enough problems that trying to solve at our end of the business. You deal with yours. So homophily plays a very, very important role. And it really strongly underprins our friendship. We just do, for better or for worse. But at the end of the day It does mean you end up in silos. So it's what pushes us to be in silos and echo chambers is the problem. And that's the problem with scale. You know, in a small village You don't have the freedom to go off and talk with the fifty people who are all interested in shooting ducks. There aren't that many people in the village who actually enjoy shooting ducks, just statistically. So you end up having to talk to people We like doing other activities. So you end up In a small Business. A small organization or a small village. having a much more integrated, diverse Social. life, if you like, social network. And the bigger Life becomes the bigger the city, the bigger the organization, the easier it is for silos to form, which is the big problem. Yeah. large multinationals have as they build up. These thus versus them. internal structures. And the problem we have Both in everyday life, I guess. But also in particular in Organizational. structures and business and so on. is how to break those down. So you have to kind of think of ways of Overcoming the homophily effect. Tomophily is very good for certain things. Back to what I said earlier. It's a small group. with a focus on a specific task that needs to get done. Then they all need to be I'm off for it. Think the same way, know the same stuff, come from the same area. But you kinda don't want that. Probably on your Management board. Because you want some diversity of input up there. You gotta find ways of breaking down the homophilus effect. At the right level. Don't destroy it at the bottom. Or you'll lose everything, right? It's important. It really is important. But at the same time. You need to be able to introduce diversity in the right levels and the right places. But it goes back, I think. to this point I made about the Japanese car industry in this sense of I belong to the company. I am a company man. It's creating this sense of being a member of the village. I may be a very humble member of the village. All I do is sweep the odd outside. But I play my bit. So it's not easy. And there are no silver bullets. I'm so fascinated that I think in your research you show sixty percent of people's time they spend with Maybe forty percent with the closest five and another twenty with the next ten. Time. It just strikes me is the resource. It's the resource that we have to allocate thoughtfully and build in those groups. Time's the only way to do it. Conversation and activity. Yeah. Yeah. This has kind of implications for management because You can't create time. It is fixed. There is a limit, and you have to do stuff like sleep. And the problem that Most CEOs and the like. senior management get into is that End up trying to do too much. And they don't have the night to do it. So they're trying to be Engaging with everybody. in a large company from the shop floor worker to the chief finance officer and so on. And you can't do it. Um, certainly you want to engage and be seen to be engaged. with your workforce not stuck away in some C suite at the top of the How? But on the other hand, you've got to m find some way of managing your time better. And what you don't want to be doing is wasting time on micromanagement. You have to be able to trust the layers below you, the management layers below you, to do their job. while you concentrate at the top of the pyramid on the kind of strategic stuff and seem to be the charismatic leader, if you like. Trust is so important. It's a word we haven't said much about, but So much of this is just establishment and maintenance of trust. Trust is what Creates and maintains our relationships with each other. When things fall apart it's always because trust has broken down. I'd love to ask about a couple big secular trends like in humanity and how it affects all this. So The ones that come to mind are Technology, the rise of all sorts of technology. We're talking not long after the Apple Vision Pro comes out or there's always something new that seems Important for how we spend our time. The second is the secular decline in religious beliefs. Maybe that's changing a little bit very recently, but over the long term it's been in decline. And then the last one is the rise of psychological mental health problems, you know, unhappiness, mental disorders, et cetera. These seem like three important trends. related to your ideas. You can pick one or all of them. And I'm just really curious to hear your reaction to those three big trends. They're all important. And maybe they're all interrelated actually, but the last one that you mentioned. in some ways is perhaps the most worrying one. This is this tsunami of loneliness that sort of seems to have it as it was first noted. Way back in the nineties. thirty years ago started to Show up. And a lot of this is Basically. Young graduates going away to their first job in the big city, so up till then your social world has been made for you. By home, by university, college, calls of residence, these kind of things. You don't have to sort of Do much in the way of going out finding. Then you go off your first job. the big city in New York or somewhere and You don't know anybody, you don't know where to go to meet people, and especially you don't know where to go that's safe to meet people. And to meet people with similar interests of yours to narrow it down even further. But the only people you know are the people at work. And of course Five o'clock. They've all got things to do'cause they've already got Sounds like they got families. Yeah, stuck on your own. And this seems to just got worse and worse and worse and triggered collapse into depression and indeed physical illness and Because this is all related to the thing. I mentioned right at the beginning that the best predictor of your mental health and well being and your physical health and well being. Is the number of close friends you have, and those close friends need to be there. It's no good having them. at the end of a telephone line or a computer screen the other side of the country, they've gotta be on the block with you so you can at least walk around. knock on the door and say I feel like rubbish. Can you come out and at least have a coffee or something? Let's go for a walk in the park. Or something. You have to have that kind of physical contact. So this has been a big problem and I think the issue Sort of in the process of overwhelming most organizations and businesses, they're losing huge quantities of time or work. with people taking time off work. So it's becoming more inefficient. It's putting much bigger load on everybody else in the office. whatever it is, because they're now having to do not only their share of the work, but the share of the work that you're not able to do because you're all sick. So they were getting very worried and investing huge quantities of money in sort of well being. And the answer is It's expensive stuff. All you need to do is to find friends for people. And you find friends with people by providing them with the opportunity, the place to go. To meet. 'Cause friendships are organic. You can't force people to be friends. All you can do is provide the opportunity and the space and Hope that they they do it. We're so intensely social. Given the opportunity. We will do it. You can do that. Very nearly for free. Just put on it. Quiet. for people to go and sing they'll come. You don't need anybody. Yeah. You could even just put up some biscuits and coffee. a negligible amount. Compared to what you'd be paying for a sort of well being trainer or something. So those sort of things. are things we really have to look at. Now in in the past I think a lot of those support networks would have been provided by religion. There's no question in my mind that that's really what the key benefit of religion. has been for most societies. doesn't really matter whether you believe it or not, it's the activities they do and the kind of context they provide. 'Cause all the activities are just the sort of thing that kick in the endorphin system and make you feel good. And make you feel very bonded to the community, you know. Him singing. Not too. Painful stories in the form of sermons and stuff that rouse your emotions. kneeling and standing and occasionally Stretching yourself out on the ground and All these kind of things that are part of this social toolkit. And of course you don't have that. You're losing somewhat of the skeleton that has kept communities together in the past. The problem is religion is strange stuff, so You might well think that the world is better off without religions because they have this dreadful tendency to end up fighting each other. The great problem is nothing comes for free in life or biology. Nothing is there's no such place as Nirvana. There's a downside to everything. So you have to balance the upsides and the downsides to these things. And in some sense, I suppose. the internet then has become a little bit of a substitute in a way. It is very weird stuff, but it is compelling. Go online. to look something up. You just want a tiny bit of information. For something you're doing. If something else turns up in the feeding Oh that looks interesting. Oh there's a video there of my favourite pop song from forty years ago. I've just must look at that. And you end up spending the whole evening online it's very, very engaging. And it probably does trigger a certain sort of bonding. My worry with it, though, is that You're bonding with something in your head, not with something in the real world. And the problem here is precisely that in real life. You might start off in real life by being introduced to somebody by a friend or a relative or something. Which is how we used to eat meat most people. But you would Get to know them face to face. And so you'd have a kind of ground truthing that went on where you would kind of evaluate Despite all the things they say. Is it really true? Does it mean it? We get a lot of cues. from people's facial expressions on how honest they're being. Of course what happens on dating scams or any other financial scams, any of these things is they're very careful not to meet up. They're very careful not to Meet up online. visually and video. So you can't see what they actually look like. You can't see what the cues of trustworthiness on their face is like when they're talking to you. So what you're doing is you're building a a kind of Avatar in your mind. Now this is what we do anyway when we create a friendship when we create a romantic relationship. What we've initially do is build an avatar in our heads as to who this Wonderful person is. But meeting them face to face allows you to sort of knock the rough edges off a bit a little bit and get to know their inner core better. And that's the danger. of the internet, I think, is that it just lacks this capacity to be able to sit across the table in a pub or a cafe or a restaurant and stare into the whites of the other person's eyes and reach across the table and Pat them on the shoulder or something, but gives you this sense of who they really are and how honest they really are. So I I've often said You want to know how much somebody actually feels about you. Friend or romantic partner, whatever it may be, a family member, doesn't matter, how they really feel about you. Ignore everything they say. Because words are weasely things and we can misuse them. And misunderstand them. Just check how they touch you. Because that is actually the best. A touch is worth a thousand words any day in this context. You can't lie about how you touch somebody and we're very, very good at recognizing when a touch is meaningful and when it's false. If you think about everything you've studied across your life so much. You've been a prolific writer and researcher. If you set aside the social brain research and homophily and things like that. What idea or ideas do you find the most Energizing or interesting. Across your whole career of study. Is actually time. In many ways, time was the beginning of all this stuff. Having worked on the Monkeys and antelope. In Africa and Europe in the wild. You begin to realise that what's limiting for animals Is not Necessarily food. In fact. Ecologists tend to look at The way the world works in terms of food. Availability. So Population die out because there isn't enough food. In the extreme case, that's probably true. But we're talking about the demise of the dinosaurs when everybody dies because Everything's been destroyed. By some Comment coming in or Everything's got polluted, so there's no oxygen in the seas, whatever it may be. In the normal course of things, it's not food that really limits them. No matter how bad your quality of your food is, the vegetation or it may be. If you had infinite time. You can get all the food you needed. What you don't have is infinite time. You have to get The food you need to keep yourself alive. in within a certain period of time. That's usually a day, obviously. So you got it. Keep easy. Small birds and mammals. literally keel over and die if they don't eat their body weight food a day. Particularly in cold climates in the winter. So it's really time that's the problem they have. And that got expanded from the world of animals. There's all sorts of implications for things like conservation and stuff as well. It was the starting point of looking at humans and going, actually We don't have infinite time. And a lot of the things we do are attempts to cut through time constraints. fascinating application of the ideas. Robin, thanks for doing this. I've so appreciated everything you've written and sharing so much here with us today. I learned so much. Thank you so much for your time. If you enjoyed this episode, check out join colossus.com. There you'll find every episode of this podcast complete with transcripts, show notes, and resources to keep learning. You can also sign up for our newsletter, Colossus Weekly, where we condense episodes to the big ideas, quotations, and more, as well as share the best content we find on the internet every week.